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Taba Sabhka Trench

Figure 4.3

Cross-section of both the north and south Taba Sabkha trench walls showing faulting, stratigraphic offset, and radiocarbon dates of charcoal samples collected.

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Allison (2013)


Maps, Aerial Views, Trench Log, Stratigraphic Column, and Dating Table
Maps, Aerial Views, Trench Log, Stratigraphic Column, and Dating Table

Maps and Aerial Views

  • Fig. 1.2 Location map from Allison (2013)
  • Approximate location of Taba Sabhka Trench from Allison (2013)

Trench Log

Location Map

Figure 4.1

Geologic map of the southern Wadi ‘Arabah. The Taba Sabkha trench location is shown at the top of the map (modified after Garfunkel, 1970). DST faults in Gulf of Aqaba from Hartman, 2012.

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Allison (2013)


Trench Log

Figure 4.3

Cross-section of both the north and south Taba Sabkha trench walls showing faulting, stratigraphic offset, and radiocarbon dates of charcoal samples collected.

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Allison (2013)


Stratigraphic Column

Figure 4.4

Paleoseismic faulting and stratigraphic correlation in the Taba Sabkha trench, Wadi `Arabah, Jordan. Colored stratigraphic units correlate to colored cross-sections of trench walls (see Figure 4.3)

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Allison (2013)


Dating Table

Radiocarbon Dating Results: Taba Sabhka Trench - Allison (2013)

Table 4.1

Radiocarbon Dating Results: Taba Sabhka Trench, Jordan

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Allison (2013)


Paleoseismic Chronology
EQ IV - Before 943 CE and possibly before 43 BCE

Discussion

Discussion

References
Allison (2013)

Chapter 4 Taba Sabhka

Introduction

The goal of this study is to more thoroughly characterize the behavior and rupture pattern of the Dead Sea transform (DST) fault through time. Due to the difficulty of exposing the main fault within the city of Aqaba, another strand of the DST, the Wadi ‘Arabah (Evrona) fault, was investigated north of the city in the Taba (Yotvata) Sabkha as a part of this paleoseismic study. The Wadi ‘Arabah fault, exposed through trenching in the Taba Sabkha, was studied in order to find paleoseismic evidence for ground rupture of major earthquakes along the southern portion of the Dead Sea transform over the last two millennia.

The trench location in the Taba Sabkha provides a unique opportunity to conduct paleoseismic studies along the Wadi ‘Arabah fault segment of the DST fault zone in an area that is both uninhabited and geographically accessible. Proper military permission is required to work in this location, however, because of the sensitive position of the Taba Sabkha which straddles the international Jordanian-Israeli border. This international border, which roughly follows the Wadi ‘Arabah Valley northward, is likely one of the primary reasons this segment of the DST has not been studied in greater detail across the entire width of the valley. The focus of this research, therefore, is to determine the timing of ancient earthquakes occurring along this segment of the Dead Sea transform. To accomplish this goal, detailed mapping and radiocarbon dating of the subsurface stratigraphy as exposed in a trench that bisects the Wadi ‘Arabah fault was used in order to understand more thoroughly the seismic behavior of this transform plate boundary through time.

Description of Taba Sabkha Trench Site

The trench site in this paleoseismic study is located 35 km north of the city of Aqaba, Jordan in the Taba (Yotvata) Sabkha, a 55 km2 continental sabkha situated in the southern portion of the Wadi ‘Arabah Valley (Figure 4.1). The term ‘sabkha’ is an Arabic word that means ‘salt flat,’ regardless of its geographic position relative to the sea (Abed, 1998). There are two types of sabkhas: 1) coastal or supratidal, and 2) inland or continental sabkhas. Evaporites formed within coastal sabkhas are related to sea water (e.g. Gavish, 1974; Butler et al., 1982; Kendall and Warren, 1988). In a continental sabkha like Taba, evaporites and sediments are related to meteoric waters only, or those waters derived directly from precipitation, and form well away from seas or oceans (e.g. Kinsman, 1969; Amiel and Friedman, 1971; Handford, 1988). More specifically, Kinsman (1969) describes coastal sabkhas as supratidal surfaces developed by depositional offlap of marine sediments in which evaporites precipitate from seawater-derived brines. Continental sabkhas, in contrast, are composed of continental or earlier cycle marine sediments in which the evaporites are precipitated from evaporated meteoric waters. Abed (2002) explains that this area is most properly referred to as a sabkha and not a playa, as may be expected, based on the surrounding geology. This is because the majority of the basin that does periodically flood only holds water for a few days unlike playas which tend to hold water for longer periods of time (Abed, 2002).

The Taba Sabkha is a deflation hollow in a sand-dominated landscape (Amiel and Friedman, 1971; Abed, 1998). Kinsman (1969) describes continental sabkhas as equilibrium deflation surfaces through to the local water table, where the capillary fringe above the water table marks the base-level of wind deflation. Sediments located stratigraphically above the capillary fringe, therefore, are subject to wind removal, which results in the formation of a relatively flat land surface that is related to the local groundwater table (Amiel and Friedman, 1971). Precipitation draining down mountains located to both the east and west of the sabkha and the subsequent alluvial fans created from such drainage, as well as flood waters draining down the Wadi ‘Arabah Valley itself, all contribute to the local groundwater table in the Taba Sabkha. In particular, an important amount of groundwater flow is postulated to originate from the large Wadi Darba fan located 3-6 km NNE of Taba (Abed, 1998). Abed (1998) also reports groundwater at a depth of only one meter at the toe of one of the eastern alluvial fans nearest the Taba Sabkha, with the groundwater table deepening westward toward the center of the sabkha. Historically, local Bedouin have used wells dug into this shallow water table on the eastern side of the sabkha to water their camels and goats, and this practice continues to the present-day. In winter months, the groundwater of this fan system actually emerges on the surface some 200 m west of these wells where a palm tree oasis is supported (Abed, 1998). In the concrete-lined well located near the trench site, the water table was approximately 3-3.5 m beneath the ground surface at the time of this study in February 2009, and was not encountered during trenching.

Abed (1998) excavated seventeen shallow pits up to 1.5 m deep and drilled 8 boreholes up to 17 m deep at various locations in the Taba Sabkha in order to study the sedimentology and mineralogy. The eastern side of the sabkha laterally interfingers with several alluvial fans where wadis have cut across the Precambrian basement rocks. Sand dominates the eastern, northern, and northeastern fringes of the Taba Sabkha, while massive clays that form the vast center of the sabkha are found at the distal part of the alluvial fans (e.g. Inci, 1991; Yagmurlu and Helvaci, 1994; Abed, 1998, 2002). The clay minerals present in the Taba sediments include kaolinite, smectite, illite, chlorite, and sepiolite; these minerals form up to 60% of the sediments in the center of the sabkha (Abed, 1998, 2002). Detrital minerals such as quartz, feldspars, and micas all decrease westward with distance away from the granitic source mountains located to the east. North of the sabkha, however, sand dunes are present for a distance of approximately 35 km, and as a result sand is often blown south into the sabkha by prevailing northerly winds (Abed, 1998, 2002).

Surface water that is periodically present in the sabkha precipitates halite, giving the ground a whitish appearance in places where a thin (about 1 cm thick) mineral crust has formed. These areas are often covered by desiccation cracks of various sizes, but the cracks involve only the upper 3 mm of the surface and do not penetrate deeper (Abed, 1998). Brownish areas within the Taba Sabkha are of a slightly higher (1-3 cm) elevation, and represent older desiccation cracks where holes several centimeters deep and 2-7 cm in diameter have formed in the halite-rich crust as a result of dissolution. Salt-rich “cakes” are found underlying these dissolution holes (Abed, 1998, 2002). Gypsum (and sometimes anhydrite), also an evaporitic mineral, dominates in the eastern portion of the sabkha and also contributes to the sometimes whitish appearance of the sabkha sediments. Calcite, much of it wind-blown from the Mesozoic limestone strata on the western side of the Wadi ‘Arabah, and authigenic dolomite, are also present in the Taba Sabkha, but to a lesser degree (Abed, 1998, 2002).

Amiel and Friedman (1971) also studied the Taba Sabkha stratigraphy and mineralogy, but focused primarily on the western, Israeli side of the sabkha. They excavated a total of 330 sample pits at 250 m intervals along traverse lines and collected samples every 30 cm down to the water table (Amiel and Friedman, 1971). Based on the sediment composition, distribution of vegetation, salinity, and depth to groundwater, these authors identified three distinct zones within the Taba Sabkha: (1) the central barren zone, (2) the transitional zone, and (3) the outer vegetated zone with halophytic vegetation.

The central barren zone, as its name implies, was found to be devoid of any vegetation and is composed of silty and sandy clay with strips of aeolian sand that cut across the zone, covering the sabkha to a depth of 30-100 cm in places. The halitic crust found throughout the Taba Sabkha is most pronounced in this central area (Amiel and Friedman, 1971). The transitional zone was the second zone identified in the study and was found to have sparse vegetation, primarily tamarisk. These shrubs act as a barrier to the movement of sand in the sabkha by trapping wind-blown particles that accumulate in small, irregular hillocks. According to Amiel and Friedman (1971), the sedimentation in this zone varies. Along the far western margin of the central barren zone, the sediment of the transitional zone is generally a silty sand. It becomes predominantly sandy silt northwest of the central barren zone. In both cases, the sediment is alluvial in origin and is derived from the wadis that drain the slopes of the mountains to the east and west (Amiel and Friedman, 1971). This zone differs mineralogically from the central barren zone in that gypsum is the dominant authigenic mineral in the sediment profile. Finally, the outer vegetated zone is the marginal zone of the sabkha that interfingers with the alluvial sediments of the fans. It is the largest zone in the Taba Sabkha, and sediments here consist primarily of silt and fine-grained sand, although sedimentation can also be coarse-grained and pebbly in places. Vegetation in this outer zone is mainly halophytic in nature, and thus capable of growing in salty soil (Amiel and Friedman, 1971).

Abed (2002) also identified vegetation zones within the Taba Sabkha, except he identified four zones present on the sabkha periphery, and found the vast area occupied by the sabkha center to be completely barren. The four zones of vegetation as determined by Abed (2002) include: 1) the Acacia zone on the alluvial fans, 2) the palm zone, 3) the Nitratia retusa and Tamarix sp. zone, and 4) the Cressa cretica cf. zone, although this zone is patchy.

Active Structure of the Wadi ‘Arabah Fault

The Wadi ‘Arabah fault, or Evrona fault as it is referred to on the Israeli side, trends up the Wadi ‘Arabah Valley at approximately N15˚E and is recognizable to about 35 km north of Aqaba. It terminates under sand dunes located just north of the Taba Sabkha. The Wadi ‘Arabah fault is complex and consists of several sub-parallel fault traces. In the south, the fault crosses unconsolidated recent alluvium and playa deposits in a belt approximately 1 km wide on the western side of the valley, and in the north, the Wadi ‘Arabah fault has displaced alluvial fans by en-echelon faulting (Garfunkel et al., 1981). The geometry of small, rhomb-shaped grabens indicates left-lateral slip along this north portion of the Wadi ‘Arabah fault. Active normal faulting is also present along the western mountains that flank the southern Wadi ‘Arabah (e.g. Zak and Freund, 1966; Garfunkel et al., 1981).

In all, there has been an estimated post-Eocene displacement of 107 km across the Dead Sea transform (e.g. Quennell, 1959; Freund, 1965; Freund et al., 1970; Bartov, 1974; Steinitz et al., 1978; Garfunkel and Ben-Avraham, 1996). This left-lateral movement occurred in at least two major stages as indicated by the palinspastic reconstruction of offset geological formations and structural features. According to earlier studies, 62 km of offset occurred along the DST by the early Miocene, with another 45 km of offset occurring since the late Miocene or Pliocene to present (e.g. Quennell, 1958, 1959; Garfunkel, 1981). Hatcher et al. (1981) also conducted geophysical studies that served to verify this displacement amount. The late Quaternary slip-rate of the DST has been estimated in multiple studies to be about 3-5 mm/yr. (e.g. Zak and Freund, 1966; Freund et al., 1968; Garfunkel et al., 1981; Jestin et al., 1994; Zhang, 1998; Klinger et al., 2000a; Niemi et al., 2001; Le Béon et al., 2010).

Garfunkel (1970) notes that north of the large, active fan of the Wadi Yutim there are older alluvial fans, as indicated by their dark patina-covered surface, which are truncated by what is probably a fault extending south to the northeastern shore of the Gulf of Aqaba. Strike-slip faults in the region tend to affect very young to recent sediments, while the marginal normal faulting events are apparent only in the older parts of the rift fill (Garfunkel et al., 1981). Le Béon et al. (2010) mapped offset Quaternary alluvial fans at the sites of Jebal al-Muhtadi and Hamrat al-Fidan, and Le Béon et al. (2012) mapped offset Quaternary alluvial fans at the sites of Al-Risha, Al-Dhawi, and Mazla, in order to study early Holocene and late Pleistocene slip-rates along the DST in Wadi ‘Arabah. Le Béon et al. (2012) calculated that the slip-rate along the Dead Sea transform for the last 300 ka (late Pleistocene) was between 5-12 mm/yr with preferred values of 5-7 mm/yr, very similar to the Holocene DST slip-rate. The concurrence between slip-rates across timescales (during the Pleistocene and Holocene epochs) supports a constant-over-time fault kinematics scenario (Le Béon et al., 2010) for the Dead Sea transform, at least for time periods longer than approximately 10 ka (Le Béon et al., 2012).

Previous Geophysical Survey of the Taba Sabkha

The subsurface stratigraphy in the Taba Sabkha was previously imaged using geophysical methods. Ground penetrating radar (GPR), a non-invasive ground survey technique that uses electromagnetic waves, offers a unique high-resolution image of subsurface soil and rock conditions down to a depth of several tens of meters (Basson, 2002). Abueladas (2005) conducted a ground penetrating radar survey across the Wadi ‘Arabah fault where it enters the south end of the Taba Sabkha along the margins of a pressure or shutter ridge. Four buried fault strands were identified across an area of 12 m in the GPR section within the sabkha. A change in reflector intensity (peak amplitude) and a mismatch of reflectors suggest that the faults identified in the Taba Sabkha are strike-slip faults. The increase in reflector mismatch with the depth also indicates repeat motion on the buried faults. Along the section of the Taba Sabkha surveyed by Abueladas (2005), the fault traces are buried by approximately 1 m of sediment which is an indication that these faults have not ruptured to the ground surface for some centuries.

Basson et al. (2002) also used ground penetrating radar imaging to map faults to a depth of 25 m in the Evrona playa approximately 20-25 km south of the Taba Sabkha. The study revealed a dense, inhomogeneous distribution of subsurface discontinuities along the Wadi ‘Arabah fault. The GPR images show dense sets of fractures and faults located at various depths within the ground (Basson et al., 2002). GPR observations for this study also indicated that the density of faults increases as a function of depth at the first 25 m, and the apparent dips of the faults also suggest that they merge at a depth of a few tens of meters (Basson et al., 2002). Shallow seismic reflection (SSR) data (Shtivelman et al., 1998) were also used to identify a parent fault below the group of faults detected by the shallower GPR profile data collected by Basson et al. (2002). A comparison of the SSR and GPR data confirmed that the faults are merging at depth. According to Basson et al. (2002), a typical single fault traced through the top hundred meters along this section of the Dead Sea transform abruptly changes its characteristics as it reaches a depth of approximately 35-20 m below the ground surface. As it approaches the surface, the fault tends to fan out in a series of splays through the soft sediment, and the tectonic displacement that accumulates along a plane of a parent fault is dispersed towards the surface as a result (Basson et al., 2002).

An analysis of the faults detected by this GPR study by Basson et al. (2002), coupled with the dating of samples collected from excavated trenches, enabled an evaluation of the relative level of tectonic activity of the Wadi ‘Arabah fault zone. The GPR record indicates that tectonic activity peaked somewhere between 18,000-27,000 yr BP. It was also found that the recent period (0-9000 yr BP) can be characterized by a relatively low level of seismicity. Basson et al. (2002) found that this level of activity is approximately only 70% of the average seismic activity seen throughout the last 45,000 years in the region, and only about 50% of the determined peak activity.

Previous Paleoseismic Studies in Southern Wadi ‘Arabah

While the cumulative lateral displacement and slip-rate of the active Dead Sea transform have been well documented, the earthquake recurrence interval of the DST fault is poorly understood. Several studies in the last few decades have focused on the paleoseismicity of the Wadi ‘Arabah (Evrona) fault north of the Gulf of Aqaba (e.g. Gerson et al., 1993; Enzel et al., 1994, 1996; Amit et al., 1995, 1996, 1999, 2002; Porat et al., 1996, 2009; Zilberman et al., 2005). Previous paleoseismic work in the southern Wadi ‘Arabah has occurred in primarily two locations: along the normal faults of the Nahal Shehoret alluvial fan and strike-slip faults within the Evrona playa, both of which are located on the Israeli side of the valley (see Figure 4.1).

Twelve trenches up to 30 m long were excavated across normal fault scarps and other lineaments at the Shehoret site by Gerson et al. (1993). Located off of the main strike- slip fault of the Dead Sea transform, this site is situated 7 km north of Eilat, and approximately 28 km south of the Taba Sabkha. The presence of buried soils on the downthrown block at the fan site studied by Gerson et al. (1993) suggested a hiatus in the depositional record and was interpreted as a reliable indicator of periods of tectonic quiescence. In all, nine seismic events were identified as having occurred within the last 100,000 years along this section of the fault, with a recurrence interval of 1000-3000 years (Gerson et al., 1993). Working within the Nahal Shehoret fan site, Enzel et al. (1994) also calculated a 1000-3000 year recurrence interval by comparing the stratigraphy, sedimentology, and soils of colluvial and alluvial deposits on the fault scarps and near-by faulted terrace risers.

Infrared-stimulated luminescence ages of buried colluvial wedge deposits suggest that four surface faulting events occurred sometime between 35 ka and 14 ka with vertical displacements of 1.5 m (Amit et al., 1995, 1996; Porat et al., 1996). Smaller earthquakes are thought to have followed and continued until recent times. The mean recurrence interval for earthquakes of M ≥ 6.2 on this specific fault in the Shehoret fan was calculated as approximately 4000 years by Porat et al. (1996). Leonard et al. (1998) concluded that smaller, more frequent fault displacements in Holocene deposits within the Nahal Shehoret fan indicate a potential change in the seismic activity and behavior of the Wadi ‘Arabah fault around 14 ka. Enzel et al. (1996) suggested that at least one large seismic event (M > 6.5) occurred along the Wadi ‘Arabah fault within the last 1000-2000 years based on luminescence dating and fault scarp degradation modeling. Enzel et al. (1996) also point out that since so few fault scarps have been studied in the area, these scarps represent a minimum estimate for large (M > 6.5) earthquake events in the region.

A study by Porat et al. (2009) conducted within the Shehoret alluvial fan site dated single grains of quartz collected from colluvial wedges deposited shortly after each faulting event. Porat et al. (2009) determined that the most recent earthquake took place a short time before 500-1300 years ago, and that this chronological framework agrees with the geomorphic age of the fault scarp which was modeled to be less than 2000 years old.

A study by Amit et al. (2002) investigated both the Shehoret fan and the Evrona playa toward the center of the valley. Paleoseismic evidence shows that the southern Wadi ‘Arabah (Evrona) fault system has generated at least fifteen earthquakes of M > 6 during the Pleistocene and Holocene (Amit et al., 2002). Using the maximum displacement method for estimating paleoearthquake magnitudes, Amit et al. (2002) found that throughout the Pleistocene, earthquakes occurring along the Evrona fault within the Shehoret fan site had magnitudes of between M 6.7 and M 7. The recurrence interval was calculated as 2.8 +/- 0.7 ka. Holocene fault motion at the Shehoret fan site had both a higher frequency and higher recurrence rate of 1.2 +/- 0.3 ka as compared to activity during the Pleistocene (Amit et al., 2002). The vertical fault displacements during the Holocene were smaller (0.2 -1.3 m), and therefore the earthquake magnitudes were also smaller, M 5.9 - M 6.7. This study also suggests that these smaller earthquakes were likely not substantial enough to activate the marginal faults along the western side of the valley (Amit et al., 2002).

Paleoseismic studies that focused on the main strike-slip fault located in the southern Wadi ‘Arabah Valley at sites within the Evrona playa (Amit et al., 1999, 2002; Zilberman et al., 2005) indicate that at least six M > 6 seismic events have ruptured the fault within the last 14,000 years. Amit et al. (1999) have concluded that the last significant seismic event occurred within the last 1000 years based on the limiting age of the sequence studied, as well as the extent of soil development in the Evrona playa. This earthquake is understood to have been an event significant enough to change the morphology of the Evrona playa from a closed system with internal drainage to an open basin, which ultimately resulted in relief inversion of the playa sediments (Amit et al., 1999).

A study by Zilberman et al. (2005) presents archaeological evidence of a water irrigation system, known as a qanat, located in the western part of the Evrona playa that was deformed because of movement along the Evrona fault. The qanat system once irrigated an early Islamic farm that dates to the 11th C. and that likely supplied the city of Early Islamic Ayla with fresh agricultural products (Avner, 1993). The farm was irrigated by a network of water canals connected to a central reservoir. The water reservoir was fed by the qanat, an underground tunnel system connected to the surface by rows of vertical shafts, which collected groundwater from alluvial fans located along the western margin of the valley (Zilberman et al., 2005). Topographic profiles of the roofed water canal show that the inlet of the canal to the water reservoir is 1 m higher than the qanat outlet, and the canal itself is deformed at three separate points along its length. The uplift of the reservoir, therefore, resulted in an inversion in the gradient of the qanat system (Zilberman et al., 2005).

The destruction of this irrigation system caused the farm to be abandoned in the 11th C. at the same time the city of Early Islamic Ayla was destroyed by an earthquake (Avner, 1993). Zilberman et al. (2005) conclude that the faulting event that destroyed the qanat system at the Islamic farm site is likely the same seismic event described by Amit et al. (1999, 2002) that occurred in the last 1000 years, and most likely represents the catastrophic A.D. 1068 earthquake (e.g. Guidoboni and Comastri, 2005; Ambraseys, 2009). In all, by combining data from studies at both the Shehoret fan site and the Evrona playa, the recurrence interval for large M > 6 earthquakes during the Pleistocene and Holocene periods along the Wadi ‘Arabah fault is estimated to fall somewhere between 1200-2000 years (e.g. Gerson et al., 1993; Enzel et al., 1994, 1996; Amit et al., 1995, 1996, 1999, 2002; Porat et al., 1996, 2009; Zilberman et al., 2005).

Submarine paleoseismology has also been conducted along the Dead Sea transform fault within the Gulf of Aqaba in an effort to more thoroughly understand the behavior and pattern of rupture along the DST along this southern segment of the fault. In a study by Makovsky et al. (2008), submerged relict coastline features were identified in the Gulf by using high resolution sub-bottom profiles of the northwestern tip of the Gulf of Aqaba down to a water depth of approximately 120 m.

Along the northern shelf of the Gulf, Makovsky et al. (2008) identified a relict reef in 65 m of water that is vertically offset by 10 +/- 1 m and sinistrally offset by 30 +/- 10 m across the offshore Evrona fault. Assuming that the reef was formed when sea level was approximately 65 m lower than today, these authors suggest the reef developed at around 11 +/- 2 ka. Measured offset and age of the 65-m reef, therefore, were used to estimate the slip- rate along this section of the fault as 2.7 +/- 1.5 mm/yr (Makovsky et al., 2008).

Tibor et al. (2010) conducted a high-resolution marine geophysical study in the Gulf of Aqaba that produced the first multibeam imaging of the seafloor across the entire gulf head spanning both Jordanian and Israeli waters. Analyses of the seafloor morphology indicate that the Gulf of Aqaba transform basin is asymmetrical and can be divided into the Aqaba and Eilat sub-basins separated by the north-south trending Ayla high. They also found seafloor lineaments, which suggest that the Eilat Canyon and the boundaries of the Ayla high align along NNW-striking faults -- the Wadi ‘Arabah (Evrona) Fault zone to the west and the Ayla Fault zone to the east -- as suggested by slope gradient analyses (Tibor et al., 2010). The 100-m shelf-slope break in the Eilat sub-basin and the shallower 70-m shelf- break in the Aqaba sub-basin, which are correlated to the last glacial period approximately 21 ka, are offset by approximately 150 m along the eastern edge of the Ayla high, which Tibor et al. (2010) suggest may be the result of horizontal and vertical movements along the Ayla Fault on the east side of the structure. It also appears from this work that a lack of active fault morphology across fan deltas suggests that the Aqaba Fault has not been active recently or has been rapidly buried by sediment, and that the Eilat side of the Gulf is more tectonically active (Tibor et al., 2010).

Hartman (2012) studied the Quaternary evolution of the Gulf of Aqaba transform basin using high-resolution geophysical data, including seismic profiles, full multibeam bathymetric and acoustic backscatter, and sidescan imaging, which revealed six systems of relict reefs situated within transgressive depositional systems. Originally identified by Makovsky et al. (2008) and Tibor et al. (2010) as >1 km-long linear terraces, the two youngest reefs exposed along the northwest corner of the Gulf of Aqaba on the seafloor at depths of 15 m and 60 m were interpreted as being related to two decelerations in sea-level rise during the last two deglaciations, and portray a repeating pattern of stratigraphic reef development (Hartman, 2012). The results of this research were correlated with rates of sea- level change, climatic events, and reef generation phases to produce an age model for these reefs, which from high-resolution seismic profiles were also found to be offset by active fault strands (Hartman, 2012). The reefs and overlying sedimentary layers were deformed by a total of six NNE-SSW trending faults as well as one E-W trending transverse fault, and based on the measured offset and ages of the 15-m and 60-m reefs, 8.4-8 ka and 12.9-11.7 ka, respectively, slip-rates and fault activity were calculated (Hartman, 2012). Of these fault strands, the Wadi ‘Arabah (Evrona) fault was found to be the most active fault crossing the reef system, with an average slip-rate of 0.5 +/- 0.1 mm/yr through the late Quaternary and 4 +/- 2.3 mm/yr during the Holocene, acting to absorb the majority of the left-lateral slip within the Gulf of Aqaba transform basin (Hartman, 2012).

Paleoseismic Investigation of the Taba Sabkha

Methodology

Figure 4.1

Geologic map of the southern Wadi ‘Arabah. The Taba Sabkha trench location is shown at the top of the map (modified after Garfunkel, 1970). DST faults in Gulf of Aqaba from Hartman, 2012.

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Allison (2013)


The geological investigation for this study was conducted over the course of two field seasons in 2009 and 2010. The specific trench location for this study was chosen due to clear geomorphic expression of the active Wadi ‘Arabah fault in the Taba Sabkha. The active fault lies along the base of a linear pressure ridge at the southeastern end of the Taba Sabkha and continues northward under the sabkha without topographic expression. A bulldozer (front-end loader) was used to excavate a 15 m long and 4 m wide trench northwest of the visible pressure ridge in order to bisect the en-echelon faulting pattern of the DST present in the Wadi ‘Arabah (Figure 4.2).

This paleoseismic trench, excavated to a maximum depth of 2.3 m, is located on the far eastern side of the sabkha and is orientated at N80˚W
. A grid system was laid out on both the north and south trench walls, and nails were positioned at one-meter intervals horizontally and at half-meter intervals vertically. Both trench walls were mapped in detail using photomosaic trench logging techniques (McCalpin, 2009), and each individual digital photograph was photo-rectified to remove any angle distortion present before being digitally stitched together to create a photo-rectified mosaic of the trench walls. Trench log linework including stratigraphic units, contacts, and fault lines were described and drawn on top of the corrected photo-mosaic in the field. Stratigraphic units were differentiated and described on the basis of grain size, sorting, lithology, type of boundary, degree of cohesion, structure, and color as determined from a Munsell® soil chart. Sediment samples were also collected at 10 cm intervals to a depth of 2.3 m from the center section of the south trench wall for sediment characterization.

Samples of charcoal were collected from both the north and south trench walls in the Taba Sabkha for radiocarbon analyses by the Center for Accelerator Mass Spectrometry (CAMS) at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in California. Radiocarbon dates were calibrated to a two sigma probability using the CALIB Radiocarbon Calibration 7.0 program and included the IntCal13 curve selection (Reimer et al., 2013). Further, in an effort to date a relevant stratigraphic unit that did not contain obvious fragments of organic material, a bulk sediment sample collected from above the most recent seismic event was dated based on bulk organic content. Currently, seven charcoal samples and one bulk sediment sample have been dated, and these dates are reported in Table 4.1.

Table 4.1

Radiocarbon Dating Results: Taba Sabhka Trench, Jordan

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Allison (2013)


Results

Sedimentological and Faulting Sequence of Taba Sabkha Deposits

Paleoseismic events in the Taba Sabkha trench were identified on the basis of primary coseismic evidence including upward-terminating faults, fissures, offset stratigraphic units, offset channel deposits, and rotated pieces of clay identified in the trench wall exposures (e.g. McCalpin and Nelson, 2009) (Figure 4.3). The stratigraphic expression of primary postseismic evidence at this site consists of fissure fills present in both trench walls to be discussed herein. An examination and analysis of the Taba Sabkha trench stratigraphy suggests that exposed in the Taba Sabkha trench walls there is evidence for as many as four separate faulting events and as few as two faulting events. The identified paleoseismic events are numbered sequentially with EQ I being the most recent event (MRE) exposed within the Taba trench. Various earthquake event scenarios will be discussed in a later section.

The stratigraphic sequence in the Taba Sabkha consists primarily of interbedded fine-grained units of sand, silt, and clay (Figure 4.4) that were washed into the Wadi ‘Arabah basin from distal alluvial fan runoff originating from the Precambrian granitic mountains located to the east of the study site. Also present in the trench stratigraphy are channel deposits of medium- to coarse-grained sands, which indicate that small flooding events occur periodically within the sabkha.

At a depth of 2.3 m, the basal sedimentary units in the Taba trench include alternating beds of fine-grained, tannish-brown, silty sand (units TS-18, TS-16, TS-14) and units of interbedded medium-grained, gray sand and sandy silt (units TS-17, TS-15). Units TS-17 and TS-18 are only exposed in the north trench wall because earthquake faulting in the sabkha has caused the strata to dip slightly to the south in this trenching location. Unit TS-13, a bed of light brown sandy silt some 10-40 cm thick, then caps these basal units. All of these units were faulted by EQ IV, the most strongly expressed paleoseismic event in the Taba trench, and stratigraphic mapping of the trench sediments indicates that TS-13 was the unit exposed on the surface at the time of this earthquake. A component of normal slip resulted in the down-to-the-east movement of sabkha sediments and also produced a fissure, a coseismic and geomorphic expression of this tectonic event. The fissure, visible in both the north and south trench walls, is filled in with the silty sand of unit TS-13. This unit also continued to be deposited after this faulting event occurred. One of the faults from the EQ IV seismic event trends N12˚E. Some fault lines that were first created during the rupture of this fourth earthquake event were later reactivated during either or both EQ III and EQ II.

Overlying the lower silty and sandy strata (TS-18 – TS-13) is a 1 m-thick package of interbedded reddish-brown clay, silty clay, and clayey silt (unit TS-12) which is finely laminated in parts. The individual layers of this sedimentary package thicken toward the center of the Taba trench and then pinch out toward the east and west. Subsidence of the eastern side of the trench due to the coseismic dip-slip of EQ IV created a shallow depression where runoff periodically pooled, allowing fine-grained sediments to settle out, thereby creating numerous alternating beds of clayey strata 0.25 – 2.5 cm thick. Some of the layers in this unit are partially mottled. One relatively thin channel deposit, a medium- grained gray sand (unit TS-11), cuts through the upper section of unit TS-12 toward the center of the trench.

Stratigraphically situated above these clayey strata is a well-compacted bed of fine- to medium-grained tan, silty sand (unit TS-10). This bed is faulted by EQ III, although some upward fault terminations for this event only cut to the upper portion of the TS-12 package and do not propagate into unit TS-10, depending on the location within the trench. Faulting evidence for EQ III includes vertically offset strata (2-3 cm), mismatched unit thicknesses across fault lines as a result of strike-slip motion, and upward fault terminations. Unit TS-10 continued to be deposited and was later faulted again by EQ II. All upward fault terminations for EQ II are found at the top of unit TS-10. Several EQ III faults were also reactivated by EQ II. This second seismic event is recognized by the 3-4 cm of vertical offset present, as well as evidence of strike-slip motion apparent from the differing thicknesses of stratigraphic units across a fault. Ground shaking at the site caused unit TS-10 to be largely homogenized in places, and this lack of structure is particularly visible in the northern wall where this unit is thicker. EQ II also offset the narrow sand channel (TS-11) found toward the top of unit TS-12.

After the penultimate event (EQ II) occurred, the uppermost portion of unit TS-10 in the south trench wall, and thus the majority of EQ II upward fault terminations in the same wall, was largely scoured away by the fluvial deposition of units TS-8, TS-7, and TS- 6. Unit TS-8 is a thin, localized deposit of coarse-grained sand with pebbles that is overlain by a thin, localized deposit of sandy silt, unit TS-7. Overlying both of these layers is unit TS-6, a 0.10-0.26 m-thick bed of lenticular, upward-fining, medium- to coarse-grained, gray sand and silty sand that also contains pebbles. Unit TS-6 is present along the western end of the Taba exposure and stretches across two-thirds of the trench to the east where it pinches out, although units TS-8 and TS-7 are only present on the far western end of the trench. This fluvial package (TS-8, TS-7, and TS-6) is also much more prominent in the south wall than in the north wall. The majority of the faults associated with EQ II on the north wall have not been scoured away as a result. Due to the depth of the erosional surface created by these fluvial units toward the far western end of the trench, it is also possible that some of the faults that were scoured away may represent EQ III, although none of them can represent EQ I due to the overlying stratigraphic relationships of units TS-5 and TS-4.

Unit TS-5, a 0.20-0.30 m-thick bed of light brown sandy silt, caps the previously described graded fluvial sequence. It is itself partially overlain by a loosely consolidated and cross-bedded, medium-grained gray sand, unit TS-4. The TS-4 fluvial sand, 0.10-0.28 m- thick, scoured off any of the underlying sandy silt from unit TS-5 on the western half of the trench exposure that may have been present at one time, and in cross-section is thickest on the north wall. EQ I, the most recent seismic event (MRE) present in the Taba Sabkha trench, is visible on the far eastern end of the south trench wall. In all, three upward terminating faults associated with the MRE cut completely through unit TS-5 and are capped by an interbedded, fine-grained, light brown clayey silt and silty sand, unit TS-3. The upper termination of this earthquake event is buried only 50 cm beneath the ground surface. The uppermost portion of the Taba trench stratigraphy is composed of a medium-grained, light brown sand (TS-2), a loosely consolidated, interbedded, fine-grained grayish-brown sand and silty sand (TS-1), and a loosely consolidated, fine-grained, dark grayish-brown sand (unit TS-0). Unit TS-0 is the present ground surface in the sabkha at the Taba site.

Earthquake events I, II, and III show relatively little vertical displacement as compared to the observable dip-slip associated with EQ IV, but it is clear that the three most recent seismic events exposed in the trench do offset the strata they have faulted. As mentioned, many of the faults exposed in the Taba trench also show accumulated slip as strata toward the bottom of the trench are progressively more offset than the younger overlying units. Each time a specific fault line is reactivated by a new faulting event, the more deeply buried stratigraphic layers become increasingly offset, thus creating nonuniform displacement. Certain EQ III and IV faults contain evidence of accumulated slip, and thus provide evidence of reactivation along the same fault line.

Numerical Dating of Seismic Events

Numerous charcoal samples were collected from within the Taba Sabkha trench walls, although the trench otherwise contained little other obvious organic material. In order to properly bracket the timing of individual paleoearthquakes, radiocarbon ages are needed for the youngest datable unit deformed by the earthquake, and for the oldest datable unit that caps or buries evidence of the seismicity in question (e.g. McCalpin et al., 2009). The stratigraphic location of the eight dated samples is illustrated on the north and south wall trench logs (Figure 4.3), as well as on the Taba Sabkha stratigraphic section (Figure 4.4).

Collected from unit TS-5 in the south wall, the uppermost unit faulted in the trench, charcoal sample 20 produced a radiocarbon date of 280 +/- 20 yr BP (A.D. 1521-1661). All faults from EQ I cut through unit TS-5. Therefore, the most recent seismic event (MRE) occurred sometime after the deposition of this layer in the 16th or 17th century, and has subsequently been buried by 0.5 m of sand, silty sand, and clayey silt. Another charcoal fragment, sample 28, was collected from the uppermost portion of unit TS-5 and produced a very old date of 12230 +/- 140 yr BP (12870-11808 B.C.) which correlates to the Pleistocene epoch. Despite the fact that sample 28 was located stratigraphically above sample 20 within the same sedimentary unit (TS-5), this particular charcoal fragment is clearly much older than the unit from which it was collected. Considering that charcoal is detrital, this sample is interpreted as being remobilized from another much older deposit located elsewhere before being deposited in unit TS-5. Further, in an attempt to date the unit that caps the MRE, we dated organic material from within a bulk sediment sample collected from the upper portion of unit TS-3, a clayey silt and silty sand unit located stratigraphically above the EQ I terminations at a depth of 40 cm. This sediment sample was selected for bulk dating due to the absence of charcoal fragments or other datable organic materials in the TS- 3 capping unit. However, with a reported date of 1960 +/- 110 yr BP (348 B.C. - A.D. 331), which is a date out of sequence with the rest of the radiocarbon dated materials considering stratigraphic placement and depth, this organic matter is also interpreted as being remobilized from an older deposit or deposits elsewhere in the region. This inherited radiocarbon date is therefore unusable toward the determination of the Taba seismic chronology.

Sample 22, a charcoal fragment dated to 1055 +/- 40 yr BP (A.D. 893-1030) was collected from sediment deposited just below the faulted erosional surface toward the center of the trench in unit TS-10, thus at least two earthquakes, EQ I and II, occurred along this section of the Wadi ‘Arabah fault after this date. The youngest date located stratigraphically below sample 22 in this trench is sample 5 collected from within unit TS-12, which dates to 865 +/- 35 yr BP (A.D. 1045-1256). Thus, since charcoal sample 5 is younger than sample 22, this suggests that charcoal sample 22 was remobilized from elsewhere and deposited in unit TS-10 prior to the scouring of this silty sand by unit TS-6. The tree-ring calibrated dates for samples 5 and 22 do not overlap, but in considering the high and low range of each date, A.D. 1030 for sample 22 and A.D. 1045 for sample 5, these samples may potentially be separated by as few as 15 years. EQ II, therefore, most likely occurred sometime between the 11th century, but before the deposition of layer TS-5 dated to the 16th - 17th century (sample 20) when EQ I likely occurred.

Based on the radiocarbon dating of charcoal samples 1 and 5 from unit TS-12 in the south wall, as well as charcoal sample 17 collected from unit TS-12 in the north wall, the timing of the third seismic event exposed in the Taba trench can also be constrained. EQ III occurred sometime after layers dated to 1170 +/- 20 yr BP (A.D. 774-943), 865 +/- 35 yr BP (A.D. 1045-1256), and 1535 +/- 25 yr BP (A.D. 428-591) respectively, but before a layer (unit TS-5) dated to 280 +/- 20 yr BP (A.D. 1521-1661). The timing of this earthquake can be further constrained since the youngest date collected from stratigraphic units faulted by EQ III is sample 5 with a date of 865 +/- 35 yr BP (A.D. 1045-1256). EQ III must have occurred between this date and 280 +/- 20 yr BP (A.D. 1521-1661), which is the uppermost radiocarbon date available in the Taba trench.

Finally, the faulted stratigraphy and radiocarbon dates were studied in order to determine the paleoseismic chronology of EQ IV in the Taba Sabkha trench. The highest stratigraphic unit cut by EQ IV is unit TS-13. Charcoal sample 1, collected from unit TS-12 located stratigraphically above and near the fissure fill from this earthquake in the south trench wall, provided a radiocarbon date of 1170 +/- 20 yr BP (A.D. 774-943) and is the latest date situated above an EQ IV event horizon. This sample acts to help constrain the youngest possible age of the EQ IV event. Sample 18, a charcoal fragment collected from above the EQ IV horizon in unit TS-13 on the north wall, provided a radiocarbon date range of 2110 +/- 35 yr BP (345-43 B.C.). Since both charcoal samples 1 (A.D. 774-943) and 18 (345-43 B.C.) were collected from approximately the same depth within the trench and are located so closely together stratigraphically, it is very likely that sample 18 is a piece of remobilized charcoal with an inherited age that is older than the horizon or sedimentary unit in which it was deposited. Thus, stratigraphic evidence indicates that the fourth seismic event back occurred in the Taba Sabkha sometime prior to a date of 1170 +/- 20 yr BP (A.D. 774-943).

Discussion

Introduction

As detailed in Chapter Two, several historical earthquakes are recorded for the southern Wadi ‘Arabah region between the Dead Sea and the Gulf of Aqaba from the 2nd - 16th C. These include the earthquakes of A.D. 110-114, 363, 418/419, 554, <597-598, 634, 746/749, 757, 1033, March and May 1068, 1212, 1293, 1458, 1546, and 1588 (Guidoboni, 1994; Guidoboni and Comastri, 2005; Ambraseys, 2009). In the following section, these seismic events are considered as several earthquake scenarios are discussed based on trenching data collected from the Taba Sabkha paleoseismic excavation.

Earthquake Scenarios and Earthquake Correlation

Detailed analysis of the faulted stratigraphy in the Taba Sabkha trench indicates that between two and four paleoseismic events are recorded in the trench wall sediments. Based on the trenching data discussed, there are three probable earthquake scenarios or models that would explain the stratigraphic and radiocarbon evidence present in the Taba Sabkha exposure: a four-earthquake event scenario, a three-earthquake event scenario, and a two- earthquake event scenario. In order to discuss the earthquakes within each of these event models, they will continue to be referred to as EQ I - IV since it is possible that there are as many as four events exposed in the trench, although as few as two earthquake events may also be represented.

In a four-earthquake event model, earthquake events I-IV are all individual events, as discussed in the previous section. The oldest earthquake exposed in the trench is EQ IV, followed by EQ III, then EQ II, and finally EQ I. The available radiocarbon dates that partially constrain EQ IV are 1170 +/- 20 yr BP (A.D. 774-943) from sample 1, and a radiocarbon date of 2110 +/- 35 yr BP (345-43 B.C.) from sample 18, a remobilized charcoal fragment. This data suggests that EQ IV occurred sometime before A.D. 774-973 and may likely be attributed to either the A.D. 746/749 event or the A.D. 757 event, both thought to have originated on the Dead Sea transform in the Jordan Valley (Guidoboni, 1994; Ambraseys, 2009). Controversy surrounds the seismic events that span the A.D. 746- 757 time period in the historic record, and Ambraseys (2009) acknowledges that it is difficult to separate out various seismic events during this narrow eleven year window. While the earthquake catalogs of both Guidoboni (1994) and Ambraseys (2009) agree that there was an earthquake along the DST on A.D. March 9, 757, they disagree about the year of the large A.D. 746/749 event. Guidoboni (1994) cites this event as occurring on January 18, 749 and Ambraseys (2009) cites it as a January 18, 746 event. However, archaeological evidence from an excavation at the site of Bet Shean in Israel strongly supports the A.D. 749 date (Tsafrir and Foerster, 1992). Excavations of a collapsed commercial street at Bet Shean revealed a small hoard of artifacts including several coins, the latest of which was dated to A.D. 748 (Tsafrir and Foerster, 1992). The earthquake that destroyed the city, therefore, must have occurred after this date, likely in A.D. 749 and not in 746 as Ambraseys (2009) suggests.

It is also possible, since there is no lower capping date associated with the EQ IV rupture, that this earthquake represents an older seismic event such as those that occurred in A.D. 659 and A.D. 634, both of which were also centered in the Dead Sea region (Guidoboni, 1994; Ambraseys, 2009). Based on the close proximity of collected charcoal samples 1 and 18 to the event horizon of EQ IV, however, it is not likely that this rupture represents an event much older than those earthquakes proposed here, based on the type of depositional environment found in the Taba Sabkha. There is also a general lack of historic earthquakes in the 9th century that are known to have affected locations along and within the southern Wadi ‘Arabah Valley. Considering the range of years provided by the sample 1 radiocarbon date (A.D. 774-943), which was collected from a unit overlying EQ IV fissures, the faulting and stratigraphic evidence points most strongly toward a mid-8th century event for EQ IV.

Within the four-earthquake event model, EQ III is the next oldest seismic event represented in the Taba trench. If this event does represent a separate earthquake event as this model would suggest, the third seismic event occurred sometime after layers dated to 1170 +/- 20 yr BP (A.D. 774-943), 865 +/- 35 yr BP (A.D. 1045-1256), and 1535 +/- 25 yr BP (A.D. 428-591), samples 1, 5, and 17 respectively. EQ III must have also occurred before a layer dated to 1055 +/- 40 yr BP (A.D. 893-1030), as determined from the stratigraphic position of Sample 22 in the south trench wall. Sample 22 was collected from the uppermost portion of unit TS-10, which was deposited stratigraphically above all possible EQ III terminations as determined from detailed paleoseismic mapping. However, since the calibrated date from sample 22 (A.D. 893-1030) is actually older than sample 5 (A.D. 1045-1256), which was collected from unit TS-12 located stratigraphically underneath unit TS-10, charcoal sample 22 is interpreted having been remobilized from elsewhere in the Wadi ‘Arabah Valley. This suggests that the age of sample 22 is an inherited age and does not accurately date unit TS-10. All EQ III faulting, therefore, must have occurred sometime after the A.D. 1045-1256 date, but before the deposition of sample 20 (280 +/- 20 yr BP or A.D. 1521-1661), the uppermost date available in the Taba trench. This event cannot be further constrained at this time based on the radiocarbon dates available.

In the four-event model, it follows that EQ II, which ruptures to the top of unit TS- 10, must have also occurred after EQ III which happened sometime after a date of A.D. 1045-1256 based on the youngest radiocarbon dated sedimentary unit these faults rupture (TS-12), and prior to the deposition of sample 20 (280 +/- 20 yr BP or A.D. 1521-1661) in unit TS-5. Like EQ III, EQ II can only be constrained as occurring sometime between the mid-11th century and the 16th - 17th centuries based on the uppermost available radiocarbon date, sample 20, deemed to be in proper sequence in the Taba trench. Considering the historical earthquakes known to have affected the southern Wadi ‘Arabah region from the 11th - 16th century based on the earthquake catalogs of Guidoboni and Comastri (2005) and Ambraseys (2009), the EQ III and EQ II events likely represent either the catastrophic A.D. March or May 1068 events, the 1212 event, the 1293 event, the 1458 event, the 1546 event, or the 1588 event. The 1293, 1546, and 1588 events, however, can likely be ruled out as options for EQ III and EQ II. The 1293 and 1546 earthquakes both had epicenters closer to the Dead Sea and likely would not be very strongly expressed in the Taba Sabkha. The 1588 event was centered near the Gulf of Aqaba and thus was relatively close in proximity to Taba, but because this is the most recent historic earthquake on record for the southern Wadi ‘Arabah region, this event likely represents a more recent rupture present in the Taba trench rather than EQ III or EQ II. Of the remaining possible historic earthquakes, the two most likely to represent the EQ III and EQ II faults mapped in the Taba trench are the A.D. March 1068 and 1212 events, respectively. They both had epicenters in or near the Gulf of Aqaba, located approximately 35 km south from Taba, while the May 1068 event and the 1458 events both had epicenters located further north up the Wadi ‘Arabah (Guidoboni and Comastri, 2005; Ambraseys, 2009).

Finally, EQ I represents the most recent earthquake event visible in the Taba Sabkha trench stratigraphy in the four-earthquake event model presented here. The age of this earthquake is only partially constrained by radiocarbon dating since sample 20 (280 +/- 20 yr BP or A.D. 1521-1661) was collected from slightly beneath the EQ I horizon, but there are no useable radiocarbon dates that cap the most recent seismic event (MRE). Therefore, the MRE occurred sometime after the deposition of the layer containing sample 20 (unit TS- 5) in the 16th or 17th centuries, and these terminations have subsequently been buried by 0.5 m of sediment. Based on the known historical earthquakes that occurred in the region of the southern Wadi ‘Arabah during the medieval period, EQ I could potentially represent either the A.D. 1546 event that is known to have affected the Holy Land or the A.D. 1588 event that had an epicenter in or around the Gulf of Aqaba or the northern Red Sea, according to Ambraseys (2009). While both seismic events are possibilities, because of the proximity of the 1588 event epicenter to the Taba trench, this earthquake is probably more likely to have ruptured Taba in the 16th C. than the 1546 event.

It is possible that only three earthquake events are actually present in the Taba Sabkha trench stratigraphy. In a three-earthquake event scenario, the same data presented previously concerning the four-earthquake model still holds true, with one major exception. In this modified scenario, the EQ III and EQ II terminations are considered to represent the same event, not two separate earthquakes as previously postulated. Thus, under this scheme, EQ IV still occurred first and likely represents either the A.D. 746/749 or 757 earthquake events. The next earthquake that occurred is represented by combining the stratigraphic and radiocarbon evidence from both EQ III and EQ II, since in this scenario they are interpreted as representing the same seismic event. This model suggests, therefore, that not all of the upward terminations associated with this event (those originally assigned to EQ III) propagated as high or as close to the ground surface as those originally designated as EQ II terminations. Using the radiocarbon dates provided from sample 5 (865 +/- 35 yr BP or A.D. 1045-1256) and sample 20 (280 +/- 20 yr BP or A.D. 1521-1661) as guidelines, EQ III and EQ II together likely represent the A.D. March 1068 event, as postulated previously in the four-earthquake event scenario. This is the most probable historical earthquake considering the large number of faults present in the Taba trench, and the proximity of the trench to the March 1068 event epicenter in the Gulf of Aqaba. As discussed with the four-earthquake model, the second most likely earthquake represented by this faulting evidence is the A.D. 1212 event, which also likely had a Gulf of Aqaba epicenter. Under this three-earthquake scenario, EQ I is the third and most recent seismic event visible in the Taba trench stratigraphy. From the historical earthquakes known to have affected the southern Wadi ‘Arabah within this time frame, EQ I likely corresponds to either the A.D. 1546 or A.D. 1588 events. This chronology is based on the radiocarbon date of 280 +/- 20 yr BP (A.D. 1521-1661) produced from the sample 20 charcoal fragment collected within unit TS-5 that was situated approximately 20 cm beneath the EQ I event horizon.

Finally, the last earthquake event scenario concerning the paleoseismicity of the region is explained by a two-earthquake model. In this particular scenario, EQ IV is still a single seismic event that likely represents an 8th century earthquake, perhaps either the A.D. 746/749 or 757 events, and faults associated with EQ III and EQ II are still interpreted as a single seismic event, as presented in the three-earthquake event scenario. The EQ III/EQ II event can most likely be attributed to the catastrophic 11th century earthquake that occurred in March of 1068, as was also suggested by the three-earthquake event model. However, unlike the other seismic scenarios discussed concerning the Taba trench, the two-earthquake event model does not recognize the EQ I faults (there are only three in all) to be evidence of an earthquake, but simply as faulting as a result of sympathetic slip due to an earthquake located along another nearby fault line. Under this two-event interpretation, the EQ III/EQ II event is recognized as the MRE, or most recent seismic event, present in the Taba Sabkha trench stratigraphy, and still likely represents the March 1068 event as discussed in the three-earthquake event scenario.

Based on detailed mapping of trench stratigraphy and radiocarbon dating of charcoal fragments, all three of these earthquake-event scenarios are reasonable interpretations for the paleoseismology of the southern Wadi ‘Arabah. The most probable and thus the preferred seismic model presented here, however, is the three-earthquake event scenario, where EQ IV and EQ I are independent events, but EQ III and EQ II faulting evidence is combined and thus interpreted to represent a single earthquake.

Evidence of Earthquake Faulting

As stated by McCalpin and Nelson (2009), the paleoseismic record, in general, is a record of large (M > 6.5) to great (M > 7.8) earthquakes because geologic evidence of small- to moderate-sized events is typically not created nor preserved near the ground surface. Thus, it is assumed that all of the faults identified in the Taba Sabkha trench are considered to have been the result of M > 6.5 earthquakes because they ruptured up to or very near the ground surface (McCalpin, 2009).

Earthquakes are identified in exposures of strike-slip faults based on a variety of types of faulting evidence. Faulting evidence can include upward termination of fault displacement, abrupt changes in vertical separation of strata as faults are traced up- or down- section, abrupt changes in the thickness of strata across a fault, fissures and sand blows in the stratigraphic sequence, angular unconformities produced by folding and tilting, and colluvial wedges shed from small scarps (McCalpin et al., 2009). While upward fault terminations tend to be the most cited form for faulting evidence, this type of evidence must be interpreted very carefully since many faults do not actually rupture all the way to ground surface (e.g. Bonilla and Lienkaemper, 1991; McCalpin et al., 2009). Bonilla and Lienkaemper (1991) found that where the ground surface was known at the time of the earthquake, some 73% of faults died out before rupturing to the surface. The depth at which faults can die out before propagating to the ground surface, even for large M > 6.5 earthquakes, ranges from between just a few centimeters to > 2 m, with a mode of approximately 15-30 cm below the ground surface (Bonilla and Lienkaemper, 1991). While upward fault terminations are a valid and useful form of evidence to identify earthquakes, they should only be used when the terminations are consistent at numerous locations in the trench (when ruptures end within the same stratigraphic horizon). They may also be used in association with other earthquake indicators, like fissures or colluvial wedges which are both considered to be strong evidence of earthquake faulting (McCalpin et al., 2009).

In the Taba Sabkha trench, EQ IV was identified from down-faulted strata and a fissure visible in both the north and south trench walls. Upward fault terminations were used in this study, in part, to identify earthquake events III, II, and I, along with other faulting evidence present, such as abruptly offset stratigraphic units on either side of a fault, mismatched unit thicknesses across faults, and strata that are increasingly offset down- section indicating reactivation of the same fault line through time. All of the seismic events identified at Taba produced at least three upward terminating faults which terminate at the same stratigraphic horizon, such as with EQ I, while EQ IV, III, and II each produced numerous faults that terminate within the same horizon, respectively.

Faults also propagate differently through the ground depending on the material through which they are traveling, and this is especially true as a fault nears the ground surface where overlying pressures are greatly reduced. While faults resulting from large (M > 6.5) earthquakes will generally rupture to the ground surface (McCalpin and Nelson, 2009), faults propagating through softer sediments, such as the sand, silt, and clay present in the Taba trench, may splay or create “flower structures” as they approach the surface (e.g. Shtivelman et al., 1998; Basson et al., 2002). A seismic flower structure is created when a parent fault breaks into two or more branches as the fault nears the surface. This can complicate paleoseismic trench interpretations because it is possible that one single earthquake event can produce faults that terminate at or beneath the ground surface at different depths, particularly within soft-sediment environments. In the Taba Sabkha trench, therefore, earthquake events III and II may very well represent the same seismic event, as suggested in both the preferred three-earthquake event model and the two-earthquake event model.

Earthquake Recurrence Interval

The seismic recurrence interval, or return period, is the average time interval between earthquake events along a particular fault (Keller and Pinter, 1996). Considering the earthquake scenarios presented to explain the faulting evidence identified within the Taba trench, a four-, three-, and a two-earthquake event scenario, recurrence intervals are calculated for each model (Table 4.2). In the four-event model, the oldest earthquake, EQ IV, represents a mid-eighth century event, likely either the A.D. 746/749 or 757 events. The most recent seismic event visible in the trench walls at Taba is likely a mid- to late- sixteenth century earthquake, either the A.D. 1546 or the 1588 event. Because EQ I could represent one of two possible historic seismic events (1546 or 1588 event), and because EQ IV could represent one of three different events (the 746, 749, or 757 earthquakes), the average of each of these possible earthquake years was calculated as A.D. 1567 for EQ I and A.D. 751 for EQ IV. Therefore, the total number of years between EQ IV (using A.D. 751 as the average event age for EQ I) and EQ III (likely the A.D. March 1068 event) was determined to be 317 years. The total number of years of quiescence between EQ III (A.D. 1068) and EQ II (A.D. 1212) under this model was calculated as 144 years. A total of 355 years was calculated as the length of time between EQ II (A.D. 1212) and EQ I (using A.D. 1567 as the average event age for EQ I). Finally, the last known historical earthquake in the Taba trench occurred 446 years ago (calculated by subtracting the current year of A.D. 2013 from the A.D. 1567 average for EQ I). The average recurrence interval for the four- earthquake model, therefore, is estimated to be approximately 316 years.

The three-earthquake model is very similar to the four-earthquake model, with the primary difference being that this scenario suggests that the EQ III and EQ II events are actually the same seismic event, and in this model they are referred to together as EQ II. Like the four-event model, EQ I is likely one of the A.D. 746/749 or 757 events (with a calculated average of A.D. 751), EQ II is likely the large March 1068 event with a Gulf of Aqaba epicenter only 35 km away from Taba, and the third earthquake acknowledged in this trench, EQ III, is likely the 1546 or 1588 event (averaged to A.D. 1567). Thus, this seismic scenario also spans as much time as the four-earthquake scenario, 1262 years in all (A.D. 2013 - A.D. 751), but suggests that only three earthquakes ruptured the Taba Sabkha in as many years. The recurrence interval for the three-earthquake scenario is estimated to be approximately 421 years.

Finally, a recurrence interval for the two-earthquake scenario in the Taba Sabkha was calculated. Again, the oldest earthquake event identified through faulting in the Taba trench, EQ II, is dated to a mid-eighth century event in either 746/749 or 757 (average of A.D. 751). This scenario then dates the last earthquake to have ruptured the Taba Sabkha, EQ I, as the catastrophic A.D. March 1068 event. Considering that it has been 945 years since the Wadi ‘Arabah fault ruptured under this model (A.D. 2013-1068), and that 317 years passed between EQ I and II, the recurrence interval for the two-earthquake scenario is estimated to be approximately 632 years.

Comparison to Previous Paleoseismic Studies in Southern Wadi ‘Arabah

Considering the earthquake scenarios discussed as a part of this paleoseismic research, possible average recurrence intervals of 316 years, 421 years, and 632 years were calculated for the earthquake events present in the Taba Sabkha trench. As summarized in an earlier section, numerous paleoseismic studies were conducted along the Dead Sea transform at both the Shehoret fan site and in the Evrona playa in southern Israel over the last couple of decades. Taken together, these studies suggest a recurrence interval for large M > 6 earthquakes during the Pleistocene and Holocene epochs along the Wadi ‘Arabah/Evrona fault is estimated to fall somewhere between 1200-2000 years (e.g. Gerson et al., 1993; Enzel et al., 1994, 1996; Amit et al., 1995, 1996, 1999, 2002; Porat et al., 1996, 2009; Zilberman et al., 2005). Amit et al. (1999, 2002) also suggest that the last large seismic event in the Wadi ‘Arabah occurred about 1000 yr BP, and propose that the most recent event exposed in their trenches is likely the large A.D. 1068 event that destroyed Early Islamic Ayla.

This model most closely agrees with the two-earthquake scenario presented here as a part of this dissertation research, where EQ III represents a mid-8th C. event, EQ II represents the A.D. March 1068 event, and what is referred to as EQ I is a result of sympathetic slip from movement along another fault in the region rather than another individual earthquake at Taba. However, the three-earthquake scenario is the preferred model presented here as being the most likely earthquake sequence for this section of the Wadi ‘Arabah fault, based on detailed paleoseismic trenching data from Taba. Thus, this suggests that the 16th C. earthquake that likely ruptured the Taba Sabkha either did not rupture the Evrona playa, or it ruptured a fault that has yet to be studied as the zone of active faulting is quite wide. There is also no evidence of a 16th C. rupture of the marginal faults present in the Shehoret fan. The large A.D. March 1068 earthquake, however, was significant enough to rupture the Wadi ‘Arabah Valley from Eilat to as far north as the Taba Sabkha. Further, the mid-8th C. event present in all three of the Taba Sabkha earthquake models discussed is also not specifically recognized in the paleoseismic trenches south of Taba, although a mid-8th C. event is recognized to have ruptured in the Jordan Valley to the north at the Galei Kinneret site in Israel (Marco et al., 2003). Marco et al. (2003) attribute the seismic damage at this site to the A.D. January 18, 749 earthquake, although because there is more than one mid-8th C. earthquake known to have affected the region, it is difficult to determine if this is the same earthquake that ruptured the Taba Sabkha.

Evidence of much older seismic events dating further back into the Holocene and even into the Pleistocene, however, is reported for paleoseismic trench sites south of Taba (e.g. Gerson et al., 1993; Enzel et al., 1994, 1996; Amit et al., 1995, 1996, 1999, 2002; Porat et al., 1996, 2009; Zilberman et al., 2005).

Paleoseismic differences between trenches can be explained, in part, by considering the various trenching locations within the DST fault zone. The 1200-2000 year seismic recurrence interval suggested by Amit et al. (1999, 2002) is a calculation based on combined data collected from numerous paleoseismic trenches within both the Evrona playa and along the Shehoret fan located on the western side of the Wadi ‘Arabah Valley. The Taba site, meanwhile, consists of a single trench located approximately 20-28 km north of these Israeli paleoseismic sites, and is located on the far eastern side of the Wadi ‘Arabah. Further, Keller and Pinter (1996) suggest that it is not uncommon to find that recurrence intervals between seismic events vary considerably for different fault segments within the same fault zone. They also cite a general lack of uniformity in earthquake frequency for fault zones composed of different fault segments (Keller and Pinter, 1996), as is the case with the Dead Sea transform. Based on their geographic locations and the distance between these paleoseismic sites within the complex DST fault zone, it is not surprising that earthquake events have ruptured various fault segments at different times, creating discrepancies in the paleoseismic record. McCalpin and Nelson (2009) also point out that historical records of large earthquakes, in particular, tend to show a substantial amount of variability in their spatial and temporal patterns of recurrence. Since any fault that ruptures up to or near the ground surface is considered to be the result of a large (M > 6.5) seismic event (McCalpin, 2009), all of the earthquakes present in the Taba Sabkha, the Evrona playa, and in the Shehoret fan paleoseismic trenches are subject to this variability. However, despite the paleoseismic differences between sites, these calculated recurrence intervals can still provide useful guidelines for land use planning, building codes, and engineering designs (Keller and Pinter, 1996) for structures within the southern Wadi ‘Arabah region.

Conclusions

The ability to evaluate present and future earthquake hazards is rooted in understanding seismogenic (earthquake producing) faults. This study has revealed evidence of the paleoseismicity of the Taba Sabkha which was poorly understood until now. Analysis of the paleoseismic data from the Taba trench suggests that there is faulting evidence for between two and four earthquakes occurring between the 8th century and 16th century in the southern Wadi ‘Arabah. Earthquake evidence exposed within the Taba trench also represents seismic events that are not easily observable in the city of Aqaba, Jordan located 35 km to the south of this trenching site as a result of urbanization. As urbanization continues to expand within the municipality of Aqaba, which has dramatically increased in recent years, it will be very important to be able to study locations outside of the city that can act as an analog for Aqaba seismicity.

The data collected from this study suggests that large ground rupturing earthquakes may occur more frequently along the Wadi ‘Arabah segment of the Dead Sea transform fault in the Taba Sabkha than previously understood. While seismic recurrence intervals for the southern section of the DST in the Evrona playa and Shehoret fan are estimated at approximately 1200 to 2000 years, radiocarbon dates and stratigraphic data within the Taba trench suggest a more frequent recurrence interval of between 632-316 years, at least along this portion of the complex DST fault. This new data from the Taba trench highlights an increased seismic hazard for the southern Wadi ‘Arabah Valley, particularly for the coastal cities of Aqaba, Jordan and Eilat, Israel.

Future work at this site will include the further elucidation of the uppermost faults present in the trench -- EQ I in the preferred three-earthquake model. Due to the trend of the Wadi ‘Arabah fault relative to the placement of the Taba trench, EQ I faults are currently only visible in the south trench wall, but not in the north wall. Since DST faulting in the Wadi ‘Arabah is arranged en-echelon, faults are often discontinuous and difficult to locate. It would be prudent, therefore, to conduct a ground penetrating radar investigation at this site prior to the excavation of additional trenches in order to non-invasively locate this most recent fault as it steps over. Contingent on the depth of the water table, continued excavation of the Taba trench to a greater depth would also allow older, more deeply buried seismic events to be investigated, ultimately lengthening the paleoseismic record for the Wadi ‘Arabah fault in the Taba Sabkha.

EQ III - between 1045 and 1661 CE

Discussion

Discussion

EQ II - between 1045 and 1661 CE

Discussion

Discussion

EQ I - after 1521 CE

Discussion

Discussion

Master Seismic Events Table
Master Seismic Events Table

References
References