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Shehoret, Roded, and Avrona Alluvial Fan Trenches

Maps, Aerial Views, Trench Logs, Tables, Dating Charts, Profiles, and Seismic Sections
Maps, Aerial Views, Trench Logs, Tables, Dating Charts, Profiles, and Seismic Sections

Maps

Normal Size

  • Fig. 2 Morphologic Map showing locations of Trenches T-6 to T-20 from Amit et al (2002)
  • Fig. 2 Geomorphic Map of the southern Arava from Zilberman et al (2005)
  • Fig. 1 Geologic Map of the southern Arava from Zilberman et al (2005)

Magnified

  • Fig. 2 Morphologic Map showing locations of Trenches T-6 to T-20 from Amit et al (2002)
  • Fig. 2 Geomorphic Map of the southern Arava from Zilberman et al (2005)
  • Fig. 1 Geologic Map of the southern Arava from Zilberman et al (2005)

Aerial Views

Normal Size

  • Shehoret, Roded, and Avrona Alluvial Fan Trenches area in Google Earth
  • Shehoret, Roded, and Avrona Alluvial Fan Trenches area on govmap.gov.il
  • Fig. 9a Aerial photograph showing locations of Trenches T-6 and T-15-19 from Amit et al. (2002)
  • Fig. 3 Aerial photograph showing locations of Trenches T-20-22 from Zilberman et al. (2005)

Magnified

  • Shehoret, Roded, and Avrona Alluvial Fan Trenches area in Google Earth
  • Shehoret, Roded, and Avrona Alluvial Fan Trenches area on govmap.gov.il
  • Fig. 9a Aerial photograph showing locations of Trenches T-6 and T-15-19 from Amit et al. (2002)
  • Fig. 3 Aerial photograph showing locations of Trenches T-20-22 from Zilberman et al. (2005)

Trench Logs

Location Maps

Amit et al (2002)

Figure 2

Map of the southern Arava Valley showing the main morphologic and morphotectonic elements of the southern Arava Valley. Notice marginal and central fault zones, the distribution of the trenches across the selected fault lines, and the location of the seismic lines. Trenches T-6, T-17, and T-16 are located along the same fault line.

JW: Trench T-20 apppears to be mislocated on this map and should be further north

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Amit et al (2002)


Zilberman et al. (2005) - Trenches T-20, T-21, and T-22

Figure 3

Air photo of the Avrona playa showing the traces of the photogrametric topographic profiles (circles) and the sites of the trenches and exposures (rectangles) described in the text. The straight lineament that bounds and crosses the playa (dark area)represents a NNE-trending fault of the Avrona Shear Zone. This fault is trenched in T-20. The dark area bounded by straight lineaments corresponds to the uplifted sterile playa sediment. The light-tone areas mark the wide braided Wadi Avrona stream, which occupies a structural depression in the north and splits into several narrow and shallow streams within the playa area. The main faults are designated A–E; the profiles are labelled GI-0061, GI-0065 andGI-0074.

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Zilberman et al (2005)


Porat et al. (2009)

Map

Figure 1b

Geomorphological map of the Nahal Shehoret alluvial fan showing lineaments and faults, Pleistocene and Holocene surfaces and Trench T-18 across the graben (modified from Enzel et al., 1996).

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Porat et al. (2009)


Aerial Map

Figure 1c

An aerial photo of roughly the same area as in part (b). Note other trenches west of the road. The area on the top left is part of a large quarry and the original geomorphic features cannot be observed

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Porat et al. (2009)


Trench T-6

Figure 4

Log of the southern wall of trench T-6 across one of the faults that crosses the marginal fault zone. The location of trench T-6 is shown in Figures 2 and 9A.

Amit et al (2002)


Trench T-17

Figure 5

Log of the southern wall of trench T-17, 100 m north of trench T-6 across the same fault line. The location of trench T-17 is shown in Figures 2 and 9A.

Amit et al (2002)


Trench T-18

Porat et al. (2009)

Entire Trench

Figure 2
  1. The log of trench T-18 with alkali feldspar IRSL ages (in thousands of years) (modified from Amit et al., 2002)
  2. Detailed log of the eastern fault and the colluvial wedges with all alkali feldspar IRSL ages
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Porat et al. (2009)


Fault B Colluvial Wedges Closeup

Figure 8

Detailed log of the eastern fault and the colluvial wedges with single-grain ages (in thousands of years) calculated with the minimum-age model (Galbraith et al., 1999)

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Porat et al. (2009)


Amit et al. (2002)

Figure 8

Log of the southern wall of trench T-18, showing a graben structure located in the central fault zone. Boxes show detail of areas adjacent to faults. The location of trench T-18 is shown in Figures 2 and 9A.

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Amit et al (2002)


Trench T-19

Figure 9b

Figure 9b

Log of the southern wall of trench T-19, located in an active stream bed at the northern tip of the graben.

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Amit et al (2002)


Trench T-20

Trench Logs - Amit et al. (2002) and Zilberman et al. (2005)

Amit et al (2002)

Figure 10

Log of the southern wall of trench T-20, across a fault scarp in the Avrona playa. The location of trench T-20 is shown in Figure 2.

Amit et al (2002)


Zilberman et al. (2005)

Figure 5

Log of the southern wall of trench T-20 across a fault scarp in the Avrona playa. Its location is shown in Fig. 3

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Zilberman et al. (2005)


Photos - Amit et al. (1999)

Trench T-20

Figure 8

The fault plane exposed in trench T-20. Notice the displaced gypsic crust and fluvial gravel-rich unit. See [Trench Log] where the upper contact of unit 3 and unit 2 is attached to the fault plane.

Amit et al (1999)


Fluvial Unit 5 in T-20 Trench

Figure 9

Fluvial unit (unit 5 in [Trench T-20]) on the down-faulted block; note the scour-and-fill sedimentary structure.

Amit et al (1999)


Table - Summary of Paleoseismic History in Trench T-20 - Amit et al. (1999)

Table 3

Summary of Paeloeseismic History in Trench T-20

Amit et al (1999)


Trench T-22

Figure 5

Log of the eastern trench wall of trench T-22 across a topographically elevated sterile playa deposit (part of the eastern ridge) showing the stratigraphy, sedimentology, and pedology of the previous central part of the Avrona Playa.

Amit et al (1999)


Summary of Tectonic Events

Multiple Trenches - Amit et al. (2002)

Table 1

Elat Fault Zone Data

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Amit et al. (2002)


Trench T-20 - Amit et al. (1999)

Table 3

Summary of Paleoseismic History in Trench T-20

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Amit et al. (1999)


Dating Charts and Tables

East-West

Figure 6

Earthquake distribution in time and space across the Elat fault zone. The y-axis shows the trenches studied; they are plotted top to bottom from east to west. The black dots mark identified and dated events detected along the main fault plane exposed in each trench. The x-axis shows the time of the tectonic event. An error bar indicating the dating uncertainties is attached to each dot. The shaded rectangles indicate possibly correlative earthquakes; these are interpreted to have occurred simultaneously on different branches of the Elat fault zone (except for trenches T-6 and T-17, which are located on the same fault line 100 m apart from each other).

Amit et al (2002)


Displacement

Figure 7

Variation with time of the displacement along the Elat fault zone. The black bars attached to each symbol mark the error in the determination of the age of the seismic event.

Amit et al (2002)


Magnitude

Figure 11

Temporal distribution of earthquake magnitudes on the Elat fault zone. Two clusters of earthquake magnitudes were detected. One cluster represents the past 20 k.y., during which the maximum magnitude was M 6.7. A second cluster represents a time range from 80 to 20 ka during which the maximum magnitude was M 7.1.

Amit et al (2002)


Elapsed Time

Figure 12

Time elapsed between tectonic events over the past 40 k.y. across the Elat fault zone. The length of each bar reflects the length of time between two successive events.

Amit et al (2002)


East-West and M > 6.5

Figure 13

Time and space diagram of earthquakes with magnitudes larger than M 6.5. The location of the large events migrates with time over the fault zone. Each trench represents a separate fault branch. The black lines reflect the time of each tectonic event, and the box length reflects the time error.

Amit et al (2002)


Luminescence Dates

Zilberman et al. (2005)

Table 2

Laboratory data and age results for 14C ages (JW: this appears to be a typo as these are luminescence dates)

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Zilberman et al. (2005)


Amit et al. (1999)

Table 1

Field and Laboratory Data and Age Results for IRSL Dating

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Amit et al. (1999)


Porat et al. (2009)

Table 2

Ages (in ka) obtained for samples from T-18 using different minerals and techniques

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Porat et al. (2009)


Composite topographic profiles of Wadi Avrona - Zilberman et al (2005)

Figure 6

Composite topographic profiles of the Wadi Avrona stream-channel and the elevated sub-ridges across the playa area. Notice the nick-point at I, where the stream crosses the fault that displaces the alluvial fan, and the convex profile of the stream channel between points II and III, where the stream crosses the elevated ridge. Numbers refer to segments of the photogrametric profiles. The soil and sedimentary profiles represent the upper 1.5 m of the elevated playa deposits, showing similarity throughout the tectonically deformed area.Notice the petrosalic horizon, which serves as a chrono-stratigraphic marker for correlating the elevated playa surface.

Zilberman et al (2005)


Map and Profile of Water canal in the Avrona Islamic farm

Figure 7

Topographic profile of the water canal in the Avrona Islamic farm. The profiles were measured by EDM total station.

Zilberman et al (2005)


Seismic Sections

Amit et al (2002)

Location Map

Figure 2

Map of the southern Arava Valley showing the main morphologic and morphotectonic elements of the southern Arava Valley. Notice marginal and central fault zones, the distribution of the trenches across the selected fault lines, and the location of the seismic lines. Trenches T-6, T-17, and T-16 are located along the same fault line.

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Amit et al (2002)


Line 1

Figure 3

Profile of high-resolution seismic reflection line across the Elat fault zone (line number 1 in Fig. 2).

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Amit et al (2002)


Amit et al (1999)

Location Map

Figure 3

Airphoto of the Avrona Playa showing the faults and lineaments crossing the playa area and the three high-resolution seismic reflection lines. The main faults are designated A–E; the profiles are labeled GI-0061, GI-0065, and GI-0074. The dark area bound by straight lineaments corresponds to the uplifted sterile playa sediment. Five dated soil profiles overlay the airphoto. These profiles represent the upper 2 m of the trenched sedimentary sections showing similar pedogenic characteristics throughout the tectonically deformed playa.

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Amit et al (1999)


Line GI-0074

Figure 4a

Seismic Line GI-0074

Profiles of high-resolution seismic reflection lines across the Avrona Playa shear zone. The location of trench T-20 is marked on top of section GI-0061 (After Shtivelman et al., 1997). The location of the profiles is marked on Figure 3.

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Amit et al (1999)


Line GI-0065

Figure 4b

Seismic Line GI-0065

Profiles of high-resolution seismic reflection lines across the Avrona Playa shear zone. The location of trench T-20 is marked on top of section GI-0061 (After Shtivelman et al., 1997). The location of the profiles is marked on Figure 3.

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Amit et al (1999)


Line GI-0061

Figure 4c

Seismic Line GI-0061

Profiles of high-resolution seismic reflection lines across the Avrona Playa shear zone. The location of trench T-20 is marked on top of section GI-0061 (After Shtivelman et al., 1997). The location of the profiles is marked on Figure 3.

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Amit et al (1999)


Paleoseismic Chronology
Event 1 in Trench T-18 - 10000-6000 BCE (8000 ± 2000 years BCE)

Discussion

Discussion

References
Amit et al. (2002)

Abstract

The Elat fault system in the southern Arava Valley (Dead Sea rift, Israel) is a complex fault zone, characterized by marginal normal faults and central sinistral strike-slip faults. Paleoseismic evidence shows that the Elat fault system has generated at least 15 earthquakes of magnitudes (M) larger than 6 during the late Pleistocene and the Holocene. At least two branches of the fault zone were tectonically active simultaneously, indicating that the seismic response over a period of 80 k.y. was time and space dependent. Late Pleistocene earthquakes displaced the surface by 1–1.5 m; their magnitudes were between M 6.7 and M 7, and their average recurrence interval was 2.8 ± 0.7 k.y. Movements along the fault system in the Holocene had a higher frequency and a recurrence interval of 1.2 ± 0.3 k.y., but resulted in smaller displacement amounts (0.2–1.3 m) and smaller earthquake magnitudes (M 5.9–M 6.7). Historical records document the last seismic event along the Elat fault zone at ~1000 yr ago. The decrease in tectonic activity with time is inferred from the concentration of offset along the fault segments in the central part of the Elat fault zone and the decreased seismicity in the eastern and western margins. The magnitude range determined for the central zone (M 6.1–M 6.7) was likely not high enough to activate the marginal faults. The average slip rate on the normal faults is 0.2 mm/yr. However, the slip rate has changed through time on different fault segments in the active wide shear zone and between clusters of events related to the same segment. The event- specific slip rates, therefore, have varied from 0.1 to 0.3 mm/yr. The decrease in earthquake magnitudes with time, combined with the observations that the last large event occurred in A.D. 1068 and that no microseismicity has been detected during the past 15 yr, might signal locking of the Elat fault zone. This effect, if true, may result from episodic global reorganization of the system’s mode of strain-energy release, reflected in the configurational entropy of stress states on the fault. These results have significant implications for seismic hazard assessment in the southern Arava Valley, southern Israel, and underscore the possibility that the Elat fault may be a site of major earthquakes in the near future.

Introduction

One of the most active segments of the Dead Sea rift is located in the Gulf of Elat (Fig. 1). The last severe earthquake (M 7.2) in this area occurred in the Gulf of Elat, 70 km south of the cities of Elat and Aqaba, in autumn 1995. The seismic analysis, including the focal-mechanism solution, showed very clearly that the propagation direction of this earthquake was northward, toward the populated cities of Elat and Aqaba. As a result, a large effort has been directed toward studying the current seismicity and the paleoseismicity of the continental segment of the Elat fault, which emerges from the gulf and heads northward into the southern Arava Valley. In the southern Arava Valley, current seismic and microseismicity measurements show no seismic activity along the segment of the Elat fault from the city of Elat to the Yotvata playa (Shapira, 1997). However, a complex, wide fault zone, with clear, well-preserved surface traces, indicates that large earthquakes have originated along the Elat fault in the past. The ruptures displaced and deformed Holocene and late Pleistocene alluvial-fan surfaces and playa deposits (Garfunkel et al., 1981; Gerson et al., 1993; Zak and Freund, 1966). Paleoseismic analysis and modeling of fault-scarp degradation, including luminescence dating, show that young fault scarps are <2000 yr old (Enzel et al., 1996; Amit et al., 1996). Historical evidence further documents two large events, one in A.D. 1068 and the other in A.D. 1212 (Ambraseys et al., 1994; Amiran, 1994). Motivated by these results, we have conducted a systematic study of the paleoseismicity in the Elat-Aqaba area. Some of the paleoseismic results have previously been published, including partial paleoseismic data and analysis regarding the Elat fault zone. The published studies were focused on several subissues such as
  1. developing a methodical approach to paleoseismic analysis in extremely arid regions in sediments of a bolson-type rift by using geomorphic indicators and pedologic indicators (Gerson et al., 1993; Amit et al., 1995, 1996, 1999)

  2. examining and testing numerical dating methods such as optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) and semiquantitative dating methods such as the scarp degradation model in an area with no datable material (Enzel et al., 1996; Porat et al., 1996, 1997)

  3. testing the use of high-resolution seismic reflection in detecting surface ruptures at a depth of 200 m (Shtivelman et al., 1998)
As the Elat fault zone is wide and its faulting pattern is highly variable, the previously published studies presented only fragmental and locally restricted paleoseismic information. The aim of the present paper is to present a holistic and systematic picture of the paleoseismic history of the southern Arava Valley.
In particular, this study addresses three questions: What is the pattern of earthquake distribution with time across the fault zone? What are the recurrence intervals and the evaluated magnitude of large earthquakes? Does this segment constitute a seismic gap?

Site Selction

Figure 2

Map of the southern Arava Valley showing the main morphologic and morphotectonic elements of the southern Arava Valley. Notice marginal and central fault zones, the distribution of the trenches across the selected fault lines, and the location of the seismic lines. Trenches T-6, T-17, and T-16 are located along the same fault line.

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Amit et al (2002)


The part of the Elat fault zone selected for study is 6 km wide by 40 km long and extends from the Gulf of Elat into the Yotvata playa area. The fault zone is composed of two subzones of normal faults forming 2-km-wide margins that trend northwest and north-northeast on both sides of the rift and a central subzone (5 km wide) composed of sinistral faults accompanied by push-ups, pull-apart basins, and shutter ridges. The marginal faults cross the Roded, Shehoret, Avrona, and Raham alluvial fans (Fig. 2); the central fault zone crosses the distal parts of the Shehoret and Avrona alluvial fans, the Avrona playa and the distal parts of the Mahatadi alluvial fan, and the eastern side of the Yotvata playa close to the eastern mountain front. Five fault lines were selected for the paleoseismic analysis; at least one trench was opened across each fault (Fig. 2). Trench T-8 was excavated across the westernmost fault studied, whereas trench T-20 was excavated on the easternmost fault. Trenches T-10, T-15, T-6, T-17, T-16, T-18, and T-19 were excavated across three faults in between (Fig. 2).

Figure 1

Location Map of the study area.

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Zilberman et al. (2005)


The climatic conditions in the southern Arava Valley are extremely arid. Mean annual precipitation is 30 mm from rainfall during a few isolated storms in the late fall or winter. Mean annual temperature is 25 °C; hot summers are extremely hot and winters are cool. During the Quaternary, the region varied between a mildly and an extremely arid climate (Begin et al., 1985; Gat and Magaritz, 1980; Horowitz, 1979). Under such climatic conditions, the fault scarps and surface-deformation features are well preserved.

Methods

Geomorphic Mapping

Faults and lineaments were mapped through the use of 1:7000-scale aerial photographs and satellite images. In addition to aerial photographs taken in 1995 and 1996, aerial photographs from the 1950s and 1960s were used in order to avoid loss of information due to intensive human activity, which has damaged large parts of the area in recent years. In addition, information from the 1:50 000 geologic map of Garfunkel (1970) was incorporated. The resulting map is shown in Figure 2.

Geophysical Survey

To characterize the structural pattern of the shallow subsurface fault system, a high- resolution, shallow seismic reflection survey was conducted across the shear zone. Four geophysical lines were shot: one across the marginal area and three across the central area (Fig. 3). The lines followed a previous deep seismic reflection survey at the same locations (Ben Gai et al., 1993). They were shot in a generally east-west orientation by using a conventional common-midpoint (CMP) technique. The spacing between receiver stations on all lines was 2.5 m. The source was applied at every station by using split-spread geometry (Shtivelman et al., 1995). In most cases, a single blow of a hammer was sufficient to generate P and S waves. The data were processed with the PROMAX package. Because only the shallow information was needed, no static corrections were applied to the data (Shtivelman et al., 1998).

Trenching and Logging

Information derived from mapping geomorphic features and from the shallow seismic reflection survey served as the basis for site selection for trenching across morphologic and tectonic elements. Trenches were opened and logged at a 1:20 scale. The trenches are 10–70 m long, up to 5 m deep and 1.5 m wide, with vertical walls. One wall in each trench was selected for mapping. A metric horizontal datum line was established along the trench wall and vertical rod sections were taken to delineate contacts of alluvial and colluvial units and pedogenic horizons. Alluvial and colluvial stratigraphic units were differentiated on the basis of texture, structure, type of boundary, color, degree of cohesion, and pedogenic features (McCalpin, 1996). The soils and paleosols exposed in the sedimentary sequences were described, sampled, and analyzed following procedures of the Soil Survey Staff (1975) and Birkeland (1984).

Numerical and Relative Age Dating

Two numerical dating methods were applied in this study: Conventional 14C radiometric dating and luminescence dating. Most sediments were dated by using luminescence methods; unless stated otherwise, all ages presented in this study are OSL (optically stimulated luminescence) ages. The gypsic and salic soils and associated sediments in the study sites rarely contain organic material and in general do not contain authigenic CaCO3 that can be dated by 14C. Therefore, only the playa sediments, in which a few charcoal samples were found, were dated by using 14C.

The luminescence technique dates the last sunlight exposure of mineral grains in the sediment, which resets the luminescence signature (Aitken, 1998). Samples were collected from holes drilled into natural outcrops or trench walls, at a depth of ~30 cm. To prevent exposure to daylight, the samples were immediately put in light-tight bags, and all subsequent sample preparation was made under subdued orange light. A sample was also collected from the present-day stream bed of Wadi Avrona, to test for the degree of resetting of the IRSL (infrared stimulated luminescence) signature in modern sediments. Laboratory procedures follow those outlined in Porat et al. (1999). Alkali feldspars with densities of <2.58 g/cm3 were extracted from the modal fine-sand size fraction of each sediment sample. Equivalent doses (De) were determined by using the IRSL signature and either the single-aliquot or multiple-aliquot added dose procedure (Aitken, 1998). Most of the dates mentioned here were previously published in detail (Porat et al., 1996, 1997; Amit et al., 1999). Semiquantitative ages were obtained from morphologic age dating by using the slope-age software (Enzel et al., 1996; Nash, 1987).

For relative dating, a chronosequence of Reg (Torrifluvent, Typic Haplogypsid, or Gypsic Haplosalid) soils was calibrated against dated alluvial surfaces, whose ages were known from 14C, OSL, and prehistoric artifact dating (Amit and Gerson, 1986; Amit et al., 1993; Avni et al., 2000). Reg soils can be used to differentiate among four different time periods: late Holocene (2–4 ka), early Holocene (10 ka), early Holocene to late Pleistocene (10–14 ka), and Pleistocene (older than 50 ka) (Amit and Gerson, 1986; Amit et al., 1995; Avni et al., 2000).

Estimating Paleoearthquake Magnitude

To induce a surface rupture, an earthquake of at least M 6 is needed (Bonilla et al., 1984; Slemmons et al., 1989; Wells and Coppersmith, 1994). This statement implies that the tectonic events that occurred in the study area and that were detected in the trenches were at least of this magnitude. The approach used in this study for estimating paleoearthquake magnitude M is the maximum-displacement (Dmax) method (Bonilla et al., 1984; Wells and Coppersmith, 1994). The equation used for calculations of magnitude M, for normal faults, is M = 6.61 + (0.71 log Dmax). We applied this equation to provide a regression of M on log Dmax for 80 earthquakes in the historical data set (Wells and Coppersmith, 1994). Most of the studied faults are of normal multiple-event type with moderate levels of spatial preservation. On such multiple-event faults, the method based on integration of several displacement samples collected along a surface rupture with globally derived sampling statistics such as proposed by Hemphill-Haley and Weldon (1999) is not applicable. The surface-rupture length method for paleomagnitude estimation is not appropriate either for the study site because erosional obscuring, burial by younger deposits, and fragmentation of the continuous fault line by alluvial-fan incisions make the length measurements uncertain. In relation to the field evidence and the degree of preservation of the faults, our assumption was that the displacements observed in the trenches were maximal, on the basis of the morphologic evidence that led us to excavate the trenches at sites with the largest and clearest apparent offsets along each detected fault line. This assumption might not be true for all the events in a single studied point. But in the light of the problematic correlation between events that occurred simultaneously on an entire surface rupture in combination with dating uncertainties, there is no better way to tackle this issue. As defined by Wells and Coppersmith (1994), the maximum-displacement regression provides only the expected largest slip at a point along a rupture.

Results

Geophysical Survey

A high-resolution seismic reflection survey was conducted at the study site. One line was shot across the alluvial fan of Wadi Shehoret and the Avrona playa sites (Fig. 2, line 1) and three others across the Avrona playa site (Shtivelman et al., 1998) (Fig. 2, lines 2, 3, 4). The interpreted seismic sections reveal that the Elat fault is composed of several distinctive subparallel branches. The subsurface fault pattern is complex, with several converging and diverging north-northeast–trending subparallel fault splays. The fault zone, interpreted as consisting of flower structures, is several hundred meters wide. Its surface expression changes along its trace, alternating between compressional and extensional structures along the central part of the fault zone; normal faults form the fault-zone margins. Generally, the subsurface structures are consistent with the surface expressions of the faults across the alluvial-fan surfaces and the playa (Amit et al., 1999; Shtivelman et al., 1998).

Fault Analyses

Marginal Fault Zone

Figure 2

Map of the southern Arava Valley showing the main morphologic and morphotectonic elements of the southern Arava Valley. Notice marginal and central fault zones, the distribution of the trenches across the selected fault lines, and the location of the seismic lines. Trenches T-6, T-17, and T-16 are located along the same fault line.

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Amit et al (2002)


The alluvial fans of Wadi Roded, Wadi Shehoret, and Wadi Avrona are displaced by subparallel normal faults arranged in a domino structure. The displaced alluvial surfaces are of Holocene and Pleistocene ages. The domino structure has a surface expression of shallow saddles scattered across the alluvial surfaces and arranged along straight lineaments striking north (Fig. 2). Nine trenches were excavated from west to east across several fault scarps in this zone. To the west, faults displace alluvial surfaces of middle Pleistocene age, and to the east, faults displace late Pleistocene and Holocene alluvial surfaces and Holocene playa deposits. The apparent vertical displacements on these normal faults range from 7.5 m in trench T-6, where a fault displaces a late Pleistocene alluvial surface, to 0.5 m in trench T-15, where a fault displaces a Holocene alluvial surface. All the faults show evidence of multiple rupture events except the youngest Holocene fault, which is a single-event trace (Table 1). The detailed paleoseismic analysis of this fault was discussed in several previous papers (Gerson et al., 1993; Amit et al., 1995), and is briefly summarized here for further discussion and integration.

Table 1

Elat Fault Zone Data

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Amit et al (2002)


Oldest Fault. The oldest fault, exposed in trench T-8 (Fig. 2), trends north-northwest. The paleoseismic history of this fault is discussed in Gerson et al. (1993). The numeric dating added in this study shows that this fault was active later than 80 ka. However, a mature Reg soil whose age was evaluated to be late Pleistocene (Amit et al., 1993) was detected along the whole fault scarp continuously. This finding implies that the fault scarp reached a stage of stability and its tectonic activity ceased by at least 40 ka.

Fault with Youngest Movement. The fault with the youngest activity is exposed in trenches T-6, T-15, T-17, and T-16. All these trenches were excavated across a north-trending fault that is ~3.5 km long. The orientation of this lineament contrasts with the north-northwest trend of the fault line exposed in trench T-8. In trench T-6 (Fig. 4; Table 1), the entire offset on the fault occurred during seven discrete events that caused surface ruptures ranging between 0.2 and 1.6 m (Gerson et al., 1993; Amit et al., 1995; Porat et al., 1996). Determination of the discrete events was based on the identification of colluvial wedges, which can be distinguished from one another by the presence of buried soils at their surfaces (Amit et al., 1995; Gerson et al., 1993). Surface Qa1 is dated at 56 ± 10.8 ka. After it was abandoned, a displacement of 1.6 m occurred and was followed by deposition of colluvial unit 15, which was dated at 34.8 ± 4.3 ka. From these geochronologic data, the first earthquake was estimated to have occurred at 40–35 ka. A second event, which displaced unit 15 by 1.5 m, occurred at 32 ka and was followed by a quiescence of ~2000 yr. The third event, at 30 ka, displaced unit 16 by 1.6 m and was followed by ~2000 yr of quiescence. The fourth event, at 18 ka, caused a 1.6 m displacement of unit 17. The fourth event was followed by quiescence of ~2000 yr. The fifth and sixth events displaced unit 18 by 0.4 m and 0.5 m, respectively. The age of the overlying alluvial unit 19 is 13.6 ± 2.3 ka; therefore, these two events occurred prior to this time. On the basis of the degree of soil development on the upper part of each colluvial wedge, both the fifth and sixth events are estimated to have occurred at ca. 14 ka. The seventh event, estimated to have occurred at 10 ka during the deposition of unit 19, caused a displacement of 0.5 m. Silty colluvium (unit 21) bears evidence of slope stability, as does the indurated saline horizon in units 22, 23, and 24. Fault A in Trench T-6 (Fig. 4) shows that the faulting activity started at least at 55.7 ± 4.2 ka in an active channel.

Summary. Trench T-6 exposes a 56-k.y.-old sediment. The soil stratigraphy and OSL dating results indicate that most of the displacement (four events of 1.5 m displacement each) occurred during a relatively limited period (37–18 ka) (Fig. 4). More recently, the amount of displacement has decreased to 0.5–0.4 m during each event. The total displacement is the greatest detected along this fault, and it reaches 7.6 m (Table 1).

A similar trend is also discernible in trench T-15, which was excavated on the same fault line as trench T-6 (Table 1). In this case, faulting displaced a Holocene surface. Only one event with a displacement of 0.5 m is evident. On the basis of relative dating of soils, it occurred during the Holocene (ca. 8 ka) (Gerson et al., 1993).

Another trench, T-17, was excavated on the continuation of the fault trace exposed in trench T-6 (Figs. 2, 5). The total amount of displacement in this location, which is 100 m north to T-6, reaches 3.4 m. This normal fault is characterized by an angular unconformity associated with faulting accompanied by backtilting and followed by normal drag along the fault plane. The tilting of the brittle materials (dry sand and gravel) mainly resulted in the opening of tension fissures related to the normal fault between the tilted blocks (Fig. 5). The sequence of the most recent events was reconstructed from the superposition of the upper part of the fissure fill along the main fault plane of fault A (Fig. 5). Three discrete colluvial wedges (Fig. 5; units C1–C3) were deposited as a result of three faulting events post–63.9 ± 10.9 ka, the age of the surface on which the Reg soil developed across the tilted blocks (Fig. 5). The age of the faulting event related to the deposition of unit C1 cannot be precisely determined by OSL. This difficulty is because of poor bleaching of the sediment as a result of rapid burial of the collapsed soil material from the hanging wall and of soil material dragged toward the fault on the downfaulted block (Porat et al., 1997). Therefore, the OSL age of wedge C1, composed of colluvial material, represents the age of surface Qa1 and not the age of the faulting event (Fig. 5; unit C1). This tectonic event, which displaced the surface by 1.5 m, occurred after 63.9 ± 10.9 ka, the age of the surface. A soil developed in unit C1 during an interval of 7–10 k.y. This evaluation is based on the distribution and amounts of gypsum and of shattered gravel and the degree of weathering of the petrosalic horizon (a continuous indurated salic horizon that is cemented by soluble salts such as, e.g., sodium chloride) fragments incorporated in the collapsed sediment (Amit and Gerson, 1986; Amit et al., 1993, 1996). The estimate of the time to form the soil is used to bracket the timing of the first tectonic event detected in this trench to between 7 and 10 k.y. (the duration of soil formation) before the second tectonic event (36 ± 4.5 ka); thus, the first event occurred at ca. 45 ± 2 ka. Colluvial unit C2 was dated at 36 ± 4.5 ka and is composed of wash deposits that were derived from the hanging wall after a second faulting event. This sediment was well bleached at the time of deposition (Porat et al., 1997). Therefore, the best estimate for the timing of this faulting event is shortly before 36 ka. A third, small tectonic event occurred later; according to the very weak soil profile developed in this colluvium, the event might have occurred sometime during the past 10 k.y.

The results just described are summarized in Figures 6 and 7. Figure 6 shows that the westernmost part of the marginal fault zone has been inactive since ca. 80 ka (Fig. 2; trench T-8). The next set of fault traces ~0.5 km to the east was active between 37 and 5 ka, during the late Pleistocene and the middle Holocene (Fig. 2; trenches T-10, T-15, T-6). At least two fault branches represented by trenches T-10 and T-6 were active together (Fig. 6). A clear trend of decreasing with time in the amount of displacement is also evident across this fault zone (Fig. 7; Table 1). An important observation is that the amount of displacement and number of faulting events vary along a single fault trace (e.g., trenches T-6, T-15, T-16, and T-17) (Fig. 7; Table 1).

Central Fault Zone

The central part of the Elat fault zone is characterized by extensional and compressional structural features, such as grabens and push-up ridges. Flower structures typical of strike-slip faults are clearly defined in the subsurface. Two environments were chosen for paleoseismic analysis. One is a Holocene alluvial fan of Wadi Shehoret that is crossed by a graben structure (Fig. 2, trenches T-18 and T-19). The other, located to the east, is the Avrona playa, across which push-ups, pull-aparts, and normal faults occur (Fig. 2).

The Holocene Shehoret Alluvial Fan

Introduction

The Holocene alluvial fan of Wadi Shehoret (Qa3) is crossed by an asymmetrical graben that trends north. Detailed mapping of the two sides of the faulted alluvial fan shows clearly that the alluvial fan was deformed so that its distal (lower) side is found to be higher than its proximal (upper) side. In addition, the northern and southern margins were dragged below the level of the active channel (Amit et al., 1998). Two trenches were excavated across the graben at two different locations: trench T-18 across the graben’s southern tip (Figs. 8 and 9), and trench T-19 at the stream channel that flows along the northern side of the alluvial fan (Fig. 9).

Trench T-18

The sedimentary and pedogenic analyses of the alluvial material composing the Qa3 surface and the dating results of several sedimentary units present a unique scenario. Before the graben formed, the alluvial-fan surface was abandoned at ca. 30 ka for at least 10 k.y., during which a Reg soil developed on its surface (Qa2, unit 3; Figs. 8, 9B). The fan surface was reactivated, resulting in deposition of units 4–6 and burial of the Reg soil (Fig. 8). This alluvial surface was abandoned again at ca. 12 ka, resulting in the present exposed surface Qa3 on which another Reg soil profile developed during the past 12 k.y. (Fig. 8, unit 6). Thus, after the surface was first abandoned, fluvial activity was renewed, and deposition of alluvium continued over the deserted alluvial surface. This sequence of events resulted from the faulting activity during the late Pleistocene in the Shehoret alluvial-fan area, which caused the Pleistocene surfaces to be downfaulted and buried under young Holocene alluvial material. An example of these events is illustrated by the unconformity between the elevated Pleistocene alluvial surface Qa1 and the Holocene alluvial fan Qa3, which buries the downfaulted block in trench T-6 (Fig. 4).

The graben formed in three stages, once the tectonic activity along the marginal faults had decreased and almost terminated (Fig. 7). During the first stage, three wide cracks were opened and filled with collapsed sediments. No colluviation occurred (Fig. 8, faults A–C). On the basis of stratigraphy, the amount of vertical displacement was probably minor and cannot be evaluated. The second stage started at ca. 4.5 ka; a vertical displacement of 1.3 m occurred along fault B and resulted in the deposition of colluvial unit VI (Fig. 8). This event was followed by another tectonic event, which resulted in the deposition of colluvial unit VII. The proximity in time between these two events is evident from the absence of pedogenic features at the contact between these two different units. After a quiescence of ~2000 yr, three tectonic events occurred during a short period of time, each one associated with a 0.2–0.5 m displacement. The different events were distinguished by the identification of different soil characteristics in each colluvial wedge. The most prominent diagnostic pedogenic feature was a shattered gravel horizon on each colluvial wedge. Such horizons could only have formed close to a surface that had been exposed for < 1000 yr (Amit et al., 1993). At the third stage, the graben was almost fully developed. The recent graben structure has been quiescent since 1 ka. The result is supported by the morphologic ages of the graben scarps that were found to be younger than 2 ka (Enzel et al., 1996).

Trench T-19

The graben narrows northward and wedges out toward the active stream channel, which flows eastward along the northern edge of the alluvial fan (Fig. 9A). The two sides of the southern side of the graben converge northward into a narrow shear zone, manifested as a vaguely defined lineament crossing the stream bed. Trench T-19 was excavated in the stream bed across the extrapolated continuation of the graben (Fig. 9A). As a result of the deformation of the whole fan (Amit et al., 1998), the sedimentary sequence exposed in this trench is buried under the alluvial cover of the active channel; nevertheless, it is clearly correlative to the sequence exposed in trench T-18 (Fig. 8). This correlation is evident from the existence of the same two paleosols in both trenches and the similarity in their ages. The lower paleosol in trench T-19 was dated at 28.0 ± 2.3 ka (Fig. 9B), whereas the same paleosol in trench T-18 was dated at 30.3 ± 6.8 ka (Fig. 8). On the basis of the degree of soil development, the age of the upper paleosol in trench T-19 (Fig. 9B, unit R2) was estimated at ca. 10 ka, and the upper surface in trench T-18 was dated by OSL at 12.5 ± 3.0 ka (Fig. 8).

Five faults that reach the surface were exposed in trench T-19. They are mostly vertical and characterized by rotated clasts and small vertical displacements. The major deformation zone occurs between fault C and fault D. The section is noncorrelative across faults C and D. The two paleosols used as stratigraphic markers in this trench and in trench T-18 are absent between the two faults. In addition, the recent age (1.1 ± 0.1 ka) and the absence of a soil profile emphasize the possibility that this sediment was exposed and its age reset. The total vertical displacement cannot be accurately determined, but it is at least 1 m, which is the vertical separation between the base of the lower paleosol on both sides of the uplifted block and its eroded top on fault D. The geometry of the faults, which are characterized by vertical fault planes and flower structures, is typical of strike-slip zones. The reversed displacements in faults A and C suggest a local compressional stress regime.

To conclude, a change from extension to compression resulted in the formation of a push-up structure in the northern tip of the graben. This push-up was formed during the second stage of the graben formation, between 4.5 and 1 ka. The tectonic activity at this site clustered into the past 4 k.y. with a recurrence interval of ~1 k.y.; prior to this period, tectonic activity at this site was not sufficiently strong for surface rupture to occur.

Avrona Playa

The youngest surface ruptures in the southern Arava Valley were detected in the Avrona playa area (Figs. 1 and 2). The playa forms one of several en echelon tectonic basins bound by subparallel left-stepping faults. It is a 10-km-long and 0.5–2-km-wide basin that is crossed diagonally by the north-northeast–trending Elat fault zone. The playa area at present forms a broad, elevated, and elongated ridge. Its relief is composed of low longitudinal subridges (0.5–4 m high and as long as 5 km) and shallow braided channels flowing along and across these ridges. Wadi Avrona and Wadi Raham drain the playa toward the Gulf of Elat through the Elat coastal sabkha. A detailed analysis of the tectonic history—during which the Avrona playa was deformed and changed from a closed basin with an internal-drainage system to an open basin—is presented in Amit et al. (1999). The paleoseismic data are summarized briefly next.

A 2-km-long by 1-m-high fault scarp dissects a transitional, nonsterile, vegetated playa zone composed of sand to sandy-loam sediment. This fault was evaluated to be the youngest in the playa area. A trench excavated at this site exposes a multiple-event normal fault with one main fault plane (Fig. 10). Five partially preserved colluvial units were identified adjacent to the fault plane (Fig. 10, units I–V). Each wedge merges with a fluvial unit on the downfaulted block. Continuous fluvial erosion on the downfaulted block removed most of the colluvial material, leaving only the uppermost part of each colluvial wedge. The variation in the pedogenic features in the colluvial units indicates that each wedge formed during a different time period. According to the age of unit 3, which overlies the colluvial units, and the age of unit 1a at the base of the section, five tectonic events occurred between 14 200 ± 300 and 3700 ± 300 yr ago. Each of these events was accompanied by displacements of at least 0.5 m. The deposition of unit 3 marks the beginning of at least 2000 yr of quiescence. During this period, fluvial sediments were deposited mainly on the downfaulted block. Fluvial activity along the fault scarp decreased over the past 3 k.y. Toward the end of this period, fluvial and eolian sand sheets were deposited over the entire playa area and covered the fault trace. At this stage, a soil developed continuously across the inactive faulted area. Tectonic activity along this fault was renewed sometime between 700 and 1000 yr ago, as indicated by a vertical surface displacement of ~1 m; the petrosalic horizon, detected in unit 5a, of the Salorthid soil was used as a stratigraphic marker for the measurement of the displacement. To conclude, at least six surface rupture events have affected the Avrona playa during the past 14 000 yr.

Discussion

Estimating Paleoearthquake Magnitudes

Although various types of primary evidence have been used to infer magnitudes of paleoearthquakes, the length of surface rupture and the maximum displacement on continental fault traces are by far the most commonly used parameters (Bonilla et al., 1984; McCalpin, 1996; Wells and Coppersmith, 1994). In the Elat fault zone, the amounts of displacement during the late Pleistocene were higher, more consistent, and less variable than those occurring during the Holocene. The maximum-displacement method for evaluating paleoearthquake magnitudes shows that during the past 40 k.y., the earthquake magnitudes ranged between M 5.9 and M 7 (Fig. 11; Table 1); they showed a narrow range of M 6.7 to M 7 between 40 and 18 ka and a wider range of M 5.9 to M 6.7 since 18 ka. In addition, a decrease in earthquake magnitudes is evident. The highest-magnitude earthquake occurred between 40 ka and 18 ka. From 18 ka until the present time, smaller-magnitude events were common; the smallest-magnitude events occurred between 10 ka and 2.5 ka.

The use of the surface-rupture length method for evaluating paleoearthquake magnitudes is limited at the study site because of intense erosion and deposition processes at the central part of the Dead Sea rift. However, the two length values obtained, one from the marginal fault zone (3.5 km) and the other from the central part of the fault zone (35 km), showed a magnitude range of M 6 to M 6.9. These values are in agreement with the values derived from the maximum-displacement method.

Historical evidence of seismicity during the past 2500 yr along the Dead Sea rift documents ~110 earthquakes of local magnitudes in the range of 6.7 < Ml < 8.3 (Ambraseys et al., 1994; Ben-Menahem, 1991). In the southern Arava Valley segment, only two large events are inferred to have occurred during this period: the earthquake of A.D. 1068 (M >7) and the earthquake of A.D. 1212 (M 6.7) (Ambraseys et al., 1994; Amiran, 1994; Zilberman et al., 1998). However, earthquakes larger than M 7 have not been detected in the southern Arava Valley area. The fluctuations of earthquake activity appear to reflect changes in the seismic response of the Elat fault system (see subsequent discussion on this aspect).

Paleoseismic Recurrence and Slip Rates

Recurrence intervals and slip rates are two fundamental descriptors of paleoseismicity, and both are critical components of seismic hazard assessments. In the present study, the recurrence interval involves dating each separate paleoearthquake directly (the geologic method) (McCalpin, 1996; Working Group on California Earthquake Probability, 1995). The purpose of dating almost each paleoearthquake is to bracket the time of faulting during the past 40 000 yr as tightly as possible. The analysis of six faults (seven trenches) and 27 dated tectonic events in the southern Arava Valley revealed that the long-term recurrence interval of large earthquakes in this area (M >6) is 4.4 ± 1.1 k.y. This value differs from the previously proposed value for this area of 1.5 k.y., which was determined on the basis of archaeologically determined seismicity and historical evidence from a time period only since 4 ka (Ben-Menahem, 1991).

One approach to interpreting these data is to subdivide the 40 k.y. time period into two subperiods (Fig. 11). One is the late Pleistocene (until 18 ka), which is characterized by large-magnitude earthquakes (M 6.7–M 7) and recurrence intervals of 2.8 ± 0.7 k.y. The second is the Holocene period, characterized by a higher frequency of tectonic events, a wider range of earthquake magnitudes (M 5.9–M 6.7), and a recurrence interval of 1.2 ± 0.3 k.y.—a value that is closer to the 1.5 ± 0.3 k.y. calculated by Ben-Menahem (1991) for the past 4 k.y. Events with magnitudes larger than M 6.7 were not detected during the past 18 000 yr. A similar trend is indicated in Figure 12, which shows that the elapsed time is longer on faults that were active mainly during the late Pleistocene than on those that were active also or only during the Holocene. The other more cautious way of interpreting the data is to accept the long-term recurrence interval of 4.4 ± 1.1 k.y. with a wide range of earthquake magnitudes. This more conservative value can be problematic when used for seismic hazard assessment, especially in the light of the currently nonactive fault system.

In the study site there are no measurable geomorphic or stratigraphic markers for determining lateral slip rates. As a result, only normal faults can be used for slip-rate evaluations. The average slip rate of the normal faults is 0.2 mm/yr. This value changes through time on different segments of the active, wide shear zone and among clusters of events related to the same segment (Table 1). The change is in the range of 0.1–0.35 mm/yr. This range indicates low slip rates in comparison to the worldwide slip-rate range for normal faults, which vary from <0.5 mm/yr to >3 mm/yr (Yeats et al., 1997).

Nonuniformity of large-slip events on seismogenic faults and variations of slip rates are normal characteristics of the faulting in the southern Arava Valley area. Considering that extension has characterized the Elat shear zone province during most of the past 40 k.y., it would be surprising if slips on individual faults were uniform for long periods of time or if local areas did not become active while others remained quiescent (Wallace, 1987; Yeats et al., 1997). Such a situation exists in most places, especially if the depth of the earthquakes is <20 km (Shapira and Shamir, 1994; Wallace, 1987). In addition, the cumulative displacement on faults is an increasing function of fault length (Scholz, 1982; Scholz et al., 1993; Sornette and Davy, 1991; Wesnousky, 1999). For example, the fault zone of the northern Arava Valley is longer and narrower than the fault zone in the southern Arava. With continued displacement, longer faults develop at the expense of shorter faults, and the longer faults accommodate an increasingly greater part of the displacement budget (Wesnousky, 1999). Thus, it may be speculated that the Elat fault zone is not subject to constant regional displacement rates. Instead this fault zone may be too young to have had enough cycles of large events (Ben-Zion et al., 1999).

Model of the Elat Fault’s Behavior

Comparative analysis of paleoseismic data from the different branches of the Elat fault zone shows that it consists of subzones in which several faults are active together. Each tectonically active subzone is at least 0.5 km wide. Taking into account the dating uncertainties, at least two neighboring branches of the irregular shear zone were tectonically active simultaneously during several of the total detected earthquakes (Fig. 6, Table 1). However, along one fault line, not all the tectonic events observed in one trench were detected in the other trenches. For example, trenches T-6, T-17, and T-16 are located along the same fault line (Fig. 2), but they differ from each other in the number of detected tectonic events, displacement amount per event, and total displacement amount. However, several events are correlative between these trenches (Table 1). Such changes could be due to high variability in the location of the basement beneath the alluvial fill. Indeed, a trend of deepening of the basement northward was detected by the geophysical survey (Frieslander, 2000). Furthermore, the Holocene has been a time of intense tectonic activity in the central part of the Arava Valley, followed by a decrease in tectonic activity at the valley’s western and eastern margins. This trend is depicted in a time and space diagram (Fig. 13), which shows that with time the large events migrate east toward the central part of the fault zone. However, the inference that most of the earthquakes during the Holocene were not as strong as those during the Pleistocene can be interpreted in two ways (Fig. 11): (1) During the Holocene, the magnitude range determined for the central zone (M 5.9–M 6.7) was likely not high enough to activate the marginal faults, or (2) the evidence for the larger magnitudes during the Pleistocene in the central zone is buried under the thick Holocene alluvial fill in the Avrona playa and cannot be reached and exposed by trenching. Nevertheless, both of these options support the hypothesis that the behavior of the Elat fault zone is time dependent and is characterized by changes in the faulting sequence.

Another important observation is that a particular fault or group of faults in the study area usually do not generate successive large and similar displacements per event, which is basic to the concept of the characteristic earthquake model (Schwartz and Coopersmith, 1984). For example, fault analysis in trenches T-6 and T-17 shows variable displacements at the same location and along the same fault line location on each of the different faults (Table 1).

As the southern Arava Valley fault system is distinguished by complex and nonhomogeneous fault traces, its frequency versus magnitude distribution can be much better supported by the Gutenberg-Richter (GR) distribution than by the characteristic earthquake model (CE) (Kagan, 1993; Wesnousky, 1999). The equation for the GR distribution is Log N = a + bM, where a and b are empirical constants, and N is the cumulative number of earthquakes of magnitude M or greater. The frequency versus magnitude equation for earthquakes in the local-magnitude range 1.5 < Ml < 8 established for the Elat fault yields a b-value of 0.86 (Ben-Menahem, 1981, 1991) and 0.9 (Shapira and Shamir, 1994). A frequency between 1000 and 5000 yr is derived from the GR model for earthquakes with magnitude M 6.5 to M 7. The long-term recurrence interval of 4.4 ± 1.1 k.y. calculated in this study for large events (M 6.5–M 7) over a time period of 40 000 yr is closer to the upper limit of the frequency value derived from the GR model. To conclude, although the GR model is much more consistent with the paleoseismic data presented in this study than the CE model, neither model results are in good agreement with the paleoseismic data.

These models also fail to explain the pattern whereby a decrease in the tectonic activity on one fault branch is accompanied by an increase in the activity on parallel branches during the same time period. To illustrate, trench T-6 shows two clusters of tectonic activity, a cluster of four events between 37 and 14 ka with magnitudes exceeding M ~6.8 and a cluster from 14 ka until the present during which three events occurred, all of magnitudes less than M 6.5. By itself, the fault behavior exhibited in this trench could be a classic example of a change with time from CE model behavior to a GR power-law relationship, as proposed by Leonard et al. (1998) on the basis of paleoseismic data from that trench (T-6). However, paleoseismic data from other trenches across the Elat fault zone show that during the same time period, tectonic activity and the amounts of displacement on faults exposed in trenches T-20 and T-18 increased (Fig. 7) and ranged from 0.2 to 1.3 m with evaluated magnitudes between M 6.1 and M 6.7 (Table 1). The clear trend detected in trench T-6 of a change with time from a CE model to a GR model was not observed across the entire Elat fault zone and cannot be easily applied to the southern Arava Valley area, as suggested by Leonard et al. (1998).

The model ‘‘mode switching’’ suggested by Ben-Zion et al. (1999) might better explain the seismic activity pattern of the southern Arava Valley area. According to this model, a relatively high ratio of characteristic times of damage healing to loading leads to the development of geometrically regular fault zones and frequency-size event statistics compatible with the CE earthquake distribution. Relatively low ratios of damage healing to loading lead to the development of highly disordered fault zones and frequency-size statistics compatible with the GR distribution. Intermediate ratios represent a fault zone with a seismic response that alternates between time intervals of intense seismic activity containing clusters of large events and lower-activity periods during which only small to moderate earthquakes occur. Such fluctuations of earthquake activity, which are typical in the Elat fault zone, appear to reflect mode switching of the seismic response of an individual, large fault system. An extreme manifestation of mode switching of seismic activity may produce a transition between brittle (seismic) and effectively creeping (or aseismic) responses to tectonic loading (Ben-Zion et al., 1999).

Yet another alternative is that the switching and the changes of seismic activity across the Elat fault zone with time represent a change in the mode of strain release on the underlying fault plane. Such changes can end with the formation of a locked fault zone. This possibility is supported by the observed change from large earthquakes to smaller ones with time in combination with evidence of quiescence during the past 1000 yr and no current microseismic activity (Shapira and Feldman, 1987). It is also consistent with the observation that the faults show a change in their directions with time (Gerson et al., 1984). The oldest and westernmost faults have a north-northwest trend, and the youngest faults, located in the central part of the Arava Valley, trend north-northeast.

Conclusions

The long record of paleoseismicity along the Elat fault zone shows that this currently nonactive segment of the Dead Sea transform was active in the past, with earthquake magnitudes reaching a maximum value of M 7. Moreover, the present study shows new evidence, which indicates that the earthquake pattern in the southern Arava Valley area has changed over time. By using the maximum-displacement method for estimating paleoearthquake magnitude, we here suggest that during the past 80 k.y., earthquake magnitudes and recurrence intervals have appreciably decreased. The late Pleistocene earthquakes had a magnitude range from M 6.7 to M 7 and a recurrence interval of 2.8 ± 0.7 ka, whereas the Holocene earthquakes had a magnitude range from M 5.9 to M 6.7 and a recurrence interval of 1.2 ± 0.3 ka. Surprisingly, at present, this fault zone has had no instrumentally recorded seismicity, even at microearthquake levels. This finding suggests that the Elat fault zone displays time-dependent seismic behavior. The decrease in earthquake magnitudes with time, combined with the observations that the last large event occurred in A.D. 1068 and that no microseismicity has been detected during the past 15 yr, might signal locking of the Elat fault zone. Such locking may result from episodic global reorganization of the system’s mode of strain-energy release, reflected in the configurational entropy of stress states on the fault. These results have significant implications for seismic hazard assessment in the southern Arava Valley, southern Israel, and underscore the possibility that the Elat fault may be a site of major faulting in the near future.

Amit et al. (1999)

Abstract

The Arava Valley section of the Dead Sea Transform (DST) in southern Israel is characterized by the absence of seismic activity in recent times. However, paleoseismic analysis of sediments in the Avrona Playa, a pull-apart basin along the DST, reveals that at least six M > 6 tectonic events have affected the Avrona playa in the last 14,000 yr. The recurrence interval of the events is approximately 2000 yr. Trenched normal faults and push-up ridges in the playa show that the upper 2 m of the deformed sedimentary sequence consists of playa deposits with uniform soil development. The deformed sediments and the soil are typical of basins with an endoreic fluvial system. Based on the limiting age of the sequence and the extent of soil development, faulting in the playa, followed by compression and uplift, occurred in the last 1000 yr. This most recent tectonic event displaced the surface by at least 1 m, consistent with a M > 6.5 earthquake. This earthquake changed the morphology of the Avrona Playa from a closed system with internal drainage to an open basin, resulting in relief inversion. The seismic quiescence in the Arava may indicate a seismic gap in this segment of the DST.

Introduction

During the 15 years of operation of the Israel Seismic Network, seismic activity along the Dead Sea Transform ( DST) has been dominated by nonuniform spatial distribution. Earthquakes are localized at the three broad pull-apart basins along the Dead Sea Transform: the Gulf of Elat and Dead Sea basins in the south and the Hula basin in the north (Arieh and Rotstein, 1985; Rotstein and Arieh, 1986). The section of the DST between the Gulf of Elat and the Dead Sea, known as the Arava Valley, has been nearly quiescent during the last 15 yr (Shapira and Shamir, 1994; Shapira, 1997). Sporadic activity is associated only with low- magnitude events, which are attributed to motion on branching faults (Shapira, 1997).

Nevertheless, paleoseismic studies show that the Arava Valley experienced large-magnitude earthquakes (M > 6.5) in the period between the Pleistocene and late Holocene. In its southern part, a 2-km-wide fault zone composed of recent normal and strike-slip faults displaces alluvial fan surfaces and playa deposits (Garfunkel et al., 1981; Gerson et al., 1993). The fault zone extends into the Avrona Playa and Elat coastal Sabkha from the western margins of the DST toward its center (Fig. 1). Fault-scarp degradation modeling and luminescence dating of faulted Holocene alluvial fan surfaces on the western margins of the Avrona Playa indicate that at least one large earthquake (M > 6.5) has occurred in the last 2000 yr (Enzel et al., 1996; Zilberman et al., 1996). The recurrence interval of large earthquakes (M > 6) during late Pleistocene to Holocene time is 2000– 1200 yr (Gerson et al., 1993; Amit et al., 1995; Enzel et al., 1996). Furthermore, the location of tectonic activity has shifted from the western margin to the center of the DST during this time (Gerson et al., 1993; Zilberman et al., 1996).

Motivated by these results, this study aims to detect the youngest surface ruptures in the southern Arava Valley and to subject them to paleoseismologic analysis in order to further constrain the recurrence intervals and magnitudes of prehistoric earthquakes in this region. This analysis should clarify the dichotomy between the present seismic quiescence along the Arava Valley and the evidence for recent surface ruptures. Does the present seismic quiescence indicate a seismic gap at the southern Arava valley? Or has this segment always been characterized by low seismicity or aseismic creep, as proposed by Ben Menahem (1981) and Shapira (1997)?

The Study Site

The youngest surface ruptures in the southern Arava Valley were detected in the Avrona Playa area (Fig. 1). The playa is situated at the center of the Dead Sea Rift, forming one of several enechelon tectonic basins bounded by subparallel left-stepping faults (Garfunkel et al., 1981; Frieslander, 1995). These basins are filled with fluvial sediments and range in depth from several hundreds of meters to a few kilometers (Ben Gai et al., 1993; Frieslander, 1995).

The Avrona Fault is approximately 1 km wide and can be traced for about 35 km. It extends in a NNE direction from the western margin of the northern coast of the Gulf of Elat and across the Avrona Playa and the eastern side of the Yotvata Playa (Fig. 1). North of the Yotvata Playa it merges with a prominent strike-slip fault that trends toward the Dead Sea along the DST rift’s eastern mountain front (Zak and Freund, 1966; Garfunkel et al., 1981).

The Avrona Playa lies in a 10-km-long and 0.5- to 2-km-wide basin that is crossed diagonally by the Avrona Fault zone (Garfunkel et al., 1981). Deep and shallow seismic reflection surveys across the shear zone reveal several flower structures typical of strike-slip faults (Ben Gai et al., 1993; Frieslander, 1995; Shtivelman et al., 1997).


Morphologically, the playa area is bounded by the alluvial fans of Nahal Raham to the north, the alluvial fans of Wadi Mahatadi and Wadi Yutm to the east, and by the alluvial fans of Nahal Avrona, Nahal Shehoret, and Nahal Roded to the west (Fig. 2). At present, Nahal Avrona and Nahal Raham drain the playa toward the Gulf of Elat through the Elat coastal Sabkha.

The climate in the southern Arava Valley is extremely arid. The mean annual precipitation is 30 mm, which usually falls in one or two rainfall events. Surface soil temperature may reach 50°C at midday and drops by up to 30°C at night (Ashbel et al., 1965). Mean annual temperature is 25°C, with a mean daily range of 14°C. The annual potential evaporation is 2600 mm. The mean annual humidity is 40–45% (Atlas of Israel, 1985). The Avrona Playa is partly covered by halophytic vegetation, including tamarisks, rushes, and doom palms, whereas the rest of the area (;20%) is barren. The soils in the playa vary between fine desert alluvial soil in the vegetated areas to clay loam alluvial sterile Solontchaks (typical Salorthid) in the barren zones (Amiel and Friedman, 1971; Dan, 1981).

Methods

Geomorphologic Mapping

The geomorphology of the playa area was mapped using 1:7000 scale airphotos and satellite images. In addition to recent airphotos taken in 1995 and 1996, airphotos from the 1950s and 1960s were used to avoid loss of information due to intensive human activity. In addition, information from the 1:50,000 geologic map of Garfunkel (1970) was incorporated. The resulting map, shown in Figure 2, presents the playa morphology, drainage system, faults, inferred faults, and lineaments.

Geophysical Survey

To characterize the structural pattern of the shallow subsurface fault system of the DST and to evaluate its relation to the playa surface morphology, a high-resolution shallow seismic reflection survey was conducted across the playa at three locations 3 to 5 km apart (Fig. 3). These geophysical lines followed a previous deep seismic reflection survey at the same locations (Ben-Gai et al., 1993). The present survey included three P-wave seismic lines (GI-0061, GI-0065, and GI-0074) and one S-wave line (GI-0066), which overlapped line GI-0065 (Fig. 3). The lines were shot in a generally east–west direction using conventional common midpoint technique (Shtivelman et al., 1997).

Trenching, Logging, Description, and Sampling

Information derived from geomorphic mapping and the shallow seismic reflection survey served as the basis for site selection and for trenching across morphological and tectonic elements. Three trenches were opened and logged at a 1:20 scale (Fig. 3). The trenches are 10 to 70 m long, up to 5 m deep, and 1.5 m wide and have vertical walls. Two trenches (T-21 and T-20) were excavated across a fault scarp. A third trench (T-22) was excavated in the easternmost part of the playa, across an elevated ridge composed of playa deposits. One wall in each trench was selected for mapping. Alluvial and colluvial stratigraphic units were differentiated on the basis of texture, structure, type of boundary, color, type of salic horizons, degree of cohesion, and pedogenic features (McCalpin, 1996). The sedimentary sequence was also analyzed in two outcrops: one in the central part of the playa (E-23, Fig. 3) and a second in its southern part (E-24, Fig. 3).

The soils and paleosols exposed in the sedimentary sequences were described, sampled, and analyzed according to the Soil Survey Staff (1975), Birkeland (1984), and Amit et al. (1995).

Numerical Dating

Two dating methods were applied in this study: conventional 14C radiometric dating and luminescence dating. The gypsic and salic soils and the sediments in this extremely arid region only rarely contain organic material and in general do not contain authigenic CaCO3 that can be dated using 14C. Therefore only a few charcoal samples were dated using 14C; most sediments were dated using the luminescence methods. Unless stated otherwise, all ages presented in this study are infrared stimulated luminescence (IRSL) ages.

The luminescence techniques date the last exposure of mineral grains in the sediment to sunlight, which resets the luminescence signal (Aitken, 1998). After burial the signal increases again with time as a result of the natural ionizing radiation emitted by radioactive isotopes (U, Th, and K) and by cosmic rays that penetrate the sediment. In this study the IRSL signal was used, because it requires only several minutes of exposure to sunlight for complete zeroing and resetting of the luminescence “clock” (Aitken, 1998). This signal is most suitable for dating desert fluvial and colluvial sediments such as those in the study area (Clarke, 1994; Porat et al., 1996; Tandon et al., 1997).

Alkali feldspars with densities less than 2.58 g/cm3 were extracted from the modal fine-sand size fraction of each sediment sample under subdued light, using routine laboratory procedures (Porat et al., 1996, 1997). The equivalent dose (De) was determined by the single-aliquot method (Duller, 1991), using the infrared emission at 880 nm for stimulation. External and internal dose rates were obtained as in Porat et al. (1997, 1999).

Present-day water contents in the sediment samples were measured in the laboratory. However, the values obtained do not reflect water content throughout the sediment’s burial history. Pedogenic analysis indicates that the water table at the Avrona Playa was at the surface several times during the past 10,000 yr. Laboratory experiments gave saturation water contents for several sediment types from Avrona in the range of 20–30%. This range represents past water content, and therefore ages were calculated using both the measured water contents and the saturation values of 25 ± 5%.

Table 1 summarizes the data used for calculating the ages of the sediments. Uncertainties in the De values were calculated from the standard deviation of the individual single-aliquot De determinations. Other error estimates are also at the ±1 s confidence level and include systematic as well as random errors. The ages presented on the trench logs and soil profiles are those calculated using saturation water contents.

Results

Introduction

The seismic history of the Avrona Playa was reconstructed by analyzing the geomorphology of the playa and the fault pattern in the playa sediments.

Geomorphology of the Avrona Playa

The Avrona Playa area now forms a broad elongated ridge. Its relief is composed of low longitudinal subridges (0.5–4 m high and up to 5 km long) and shallow braided channels flowing along and across these ridges (Figs. 2 and 3). Nahal Raham flows from the west, cuts the northern edge of the playa, and then flows southward at its eastern edge along a gradient of 0.1–0.15%, forming steep and deep playa margins. The western side of the playa moderately slopes toward the alluvial fans of Nahal Avrona, Shehoret, and Roded. Nahal Avrona, which drains the western margin of the rift, crosses the entire width of the playa and merges into Nahal Raham. The outlet of the Avrona Playa is a narrow channel that flows along the eastern margin of the steep (4–5%) alluvial fan of Nahal Roded, which separates the Avrona Playa from the Elat Sabkha (Fig. 2).

The ridges crossing the playa expose gypsic and salic units interbedded with fine sand and clay. In most playas such sterile fine-grained salic deposits occupy the lowest elevations. However, in the Avrona Playa they are found at the highest topographic position. In addition, the surface of the playa has a patchy appearance, with remnants of sterile nonvegetated areas situated adjacent to gypsic and nonsalic vegetated areas. This indicates that fluvial incision has affected the natural zonation of the playa. Thus, the Avrona Playa is at present externally drained and does not function as a closed basin with an endoreic fluvial system, as expected of playas in arid zones.

Geophysical Survey

The results and interpretations of the geophysical survey are shown on Figure 4. The three seismic sections show complicated fault patterns identified as several flower structures. Some of the interpreted faults coincide with surface tectonic morphologic elements, such as surface ruptures, lineaments, and small compression or extension structures that permit correlation among the lines. The interpretation revealed that the Avrona Fault is composed of several distinctive subparallel branches. These are labeled A–E in Figure 3. The subsurface fault pattern is complex, with converging and diverging NNE-trending faults extending for several hundred meters.

Zone A on lines GI-0074 and GI-0065 (Fig. 3) is associated with NNE-trending morphologic features that can be traced between the two lines. The eastern branch of zone A on line GI-0074 (Fig. 4), which shows a compressional structure, is expressed at the surface as an elevated ridge built of uplifted playa deposits. In some places outside the lines, the ridge forms a topographic step up to 4 m high. The western branch of zone A is expressed as a low, elongated depression occupied by braided shallow channels of Nahal Avrona. The northern extension of the western fault of this shear zone displaces the playa surface, forming a sharp, 2-km-long east-facing fault scarp.

Zone B, appearing on lines GI-0074 and GI-0065 (Fig. 4), is expressed by a row of low hills capped by gypsic unit of groundwater origin, which is elevated above the east-flowing alluvial fans. The eastern flank of the zone is related to an elongated ridge extending south of line GI-0065 and forming a straight lineament about 3 km long and 100 m wide. A shallow depression occurs between the western and the eastern branches of flower structure B. This depression serves as the local base level for the east-flowing streams blocked by the low ridge in the east.

Zone C on line GI-0065 (Figs. 3 and 4) seems to be related to zone C on lines GI-0061 and GI-0074. Zone C is situated along the most prominent lineament in the Avrona Playa. This lineament is about 10 km long. In the southern part of the playa, it forms a low ridge bounded in the west by a short west-facing scarp; in the northern part, it is expressed as an approximately 1-m-high east-facing scarp. A clear discontinuity in the reflectors coinciding with the surface scarp occurs in line GI-0061. A trench at this site (T-20, Fig. 3) exposed a normal fault.

Zones D and E (Figs. 3 and 4) are expressed as a series of low hills composed of alluvium cemented by gypsum. These hills represent uplifted alluvial-fan sediments deposited at the western playa margins.

The results of the high-resolution seismic reflection survey at the Avrona Playa area enable us to detect in the subsurface, and to map at the surface, several NNE- and NW-trending shear zones that extend continuously between the seismic lines. The seismic lines across the Avrona Playa provide evidence for several NNE-trending subparallel fault splays. The zones are interpreted as subsurface flower structures, which are typical of strike-slip faults (Sylvester, 1988). The surface expression of the flower structures changes along their traces and they exhibit alternating compression and extension features.

Numerical Dating

The field data, laboratory results, and calculated ages of the trench and outcrop samples are listed in Table 1 and shown on Figures 3, 5, and 7. The main source of error for all samples is the scatter in individual single aliquot De determinations, ranging from 4 to 24%, depending on the degree of homogeneity of the sediments. For most samples, errors of less than 5% indicate that they were well bleached at the time of deposition (Clarke, 1994). Sediments collected from the active channel of Nahal Avrona in the Avrona Playa yield residual De values of 0.28 ± 0.09 Gy, equivalent to about 110 yr when using an average annual dose rate of 2500 mGy/a (Table 1). Therefore the ages shown on the figures and in Table 1 are probably overestimated by about 100 yr.

IRSL ages in all sections and trenches are in stratigraphic order (Figs. 5 and 7) and show approximately uniform rates of sedimentation for the upper parts of the sections (Fig. 3). The ages obtained by IRSL and 14C are compared in Table 2. Sample A-8931 from trench T-21 yields a calibrated 14C age in the range of 1519–1283 yr which agrees with an estimated IRSL age of ;1500 yr, calculated by extrapolating between samples T22-1 and T22-2.

For the samples from trench T-20, 14C ages are older than IRSL ages. This discrepancy may be due to sampling restrictions for radiometric dating in hyperarid environment. Only minuscule charcoal fragments were available for sampling, and they were collected from an extended horizon 0.5 m thick and 2 m long. In addition, the source of organic matter found in Avrona is mainly from Acacia trees growing upstream, which can reach an age of several hundred years before being washed down and incorporated in the sediment. Thus, the 14C dates represent the maximum age of sediment deposition. On the other hand, the IRSL ages may represent a minimum age due to possible pedoturbation of the upper 1 m of sediment.

Previous experience shows that colluvial sediments attached to a fault plane are not well bleached at the time of deposition (Porat et al., 1997). Therefore the colluvial material in trench T-20, which is preserved only close to the fault plane, is not suitable for luminescence dating
.

Sedimentological and Pedological Characteristics of the Avrona Playa Deposits

Several high longitudinal subridges composed of sterile playa deposits were trenched and their sedimentary sequences were studied (Fig. 3; fault zone A, trench T-22 and outcrop E-23; and fault zone C, trench T-21). The exposed sedimentary sequence of the easternmost and highest elevated ridge shows alternating fluvial and playa deposits (Fig. 5). A silty–clayey unit occurs at the bottom of the sequence at a depth of 6.5 m from the uppermost ridge surface (Fig. 8, unit 1). It has a weak laminar structure with many non-pedogenic gypsum lenses scattered through the sediment. The age of this unit is 8700 ± 1600 yr. It is overlain by a thick fluvial unit (2–3 m) composed of fine gravel, coarse sand, fine sand, silt, reworked gypsic aggregates, and mud crusts (Fig. 5, unit 2). Cut-and-fill and well-developed cross-bedding structures, which are defined by the reworked gypsic aggregates, indicate that this unit was deposited in wide and shallow channels oriented NW–SE. The middle section of this unit was dated 4100 ± 300 yr. The upper part of the sequence is composed of barren, sterile playa deposits in which a 1.20-m-thick saline soil (Salorthids, Soil Survey Staff, 1975; or Solontchak, Duchaufour, 1977) developed (Fig. 5, unit 3, Fig. 6). Their age is 1400 ± 100 yr. The soil is characterized by in situ pedogenic gypsic nodules, salt efflorescences, and a well-cemented petrosalic horizon at a depth of 1 m (Fig. 5). Reworked playa deposits composed mainly of silt, on which a saline soil has also developed (Fig. 5, unit 6), cap the lower erosion surface. As in unit 3, the soil profile contains large amounts of halite and gypsum scattered throughout; however, it does not have a petrosalic horizon.

The westernmost longitudinal subridge, T-22, shows that playa sediments were deposited during two periods; between these two periods (IRSL age of 3600 ± 300 yr) the playa area was fluvially drained. Prior to 8700 yr and after ;2000 yr, deposition of playa sediments followed by soil development were the dominant processes. Playa sediment deposition and soil development mark stages of stability during which the basin was probably closed or semiclosed and had a high water table.

In summary, the sterile playa deposits at the Avrona Playa are at the highest topographic position and are at present under intensive erosion. The sedimentary sequence of the elevated deposits is composed of alternating playa and fluvial sediments, with playa deposits at the top. At all the studied sites, a Solonchack soil with a petrosalic horizon at a depth of 1 m is present in the upper playa unit (Fig. 3). In a closed basin such soil can develop only if the water table is high.

Paleoseismic Analysis

Figure 10

Log of the southern wall of trench T-20, across a fault scarp in the Avrona playa. The location of trench T-20 is shown in Figure 2.

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Amit et al. (2002)


A trench (T-20) was excavated perpendicular to one of the east-facing fault scarps related to Zone C (Fig. 3). The fault scarp, 2 km long and 1 m high, crosses a transitional, nonsterile, vegetated playa zone composed of sand to sandy-loam sediment. On the down-faulted block along the scarp, an active channel flows southward, along it are coarse sand, coarse gypsic reworked aggregates, and granules.

The trench exposed a normal fault of multiple-event type with one main fault plane (Figs. 7 and 8, Table 3). The exposed sedimentary sequence exhibits three different depositional environments that are not always consistently represented on both sides of the fault plane. The first environment is a playa, in which mainly clay and silt are deposited (Fig. 7, unit 1a). This unit occurs only on the uplifted block; its absence from the down-faulted block probably results from intense fluvial activity on this side of the fault. The second environment is a fluvial system that deposited coarser sediments (gravel, sand, and reworked gypsum aggregates) on both sides of the fault plane in broad shallow channels flowing southward (Fig. 7, units A, 1b, 2, 3). The third depositional environment is represented by a combination of eolian and fluvial–eolian sheet-flow deposits of playa margin type composed of fine-grained sediments (fine sand and silt). This unit was deposited first on the down-faulted block and later on both sides of the fault (Fig. 7, units 4, 5, 5a, and 5b). A soil was detected in this unit (units 5–5a,b). The soil is a typical Salorthid (Solontchak) similar to the profiles detected on top of the elevated longitudinal ridges (Fig. 3; T-21, T-22, and E-23). The soil has weak horizonation, salt crystals (mainly halite and gypsum) scattered in the sediment, and a well-cemented 5-cm-thick petrosalic horizon composed mainly of halite that formed at a depth of 50 cm. The soil profile developed in units 5a and 5b and reached the same degree of development on both sides of the fault plane.

Five partially preserved colluvial units were identified adjacent to the fault plane (Fig. 7, units I–V; Fig. 8). This succession of vertically stacked colluvial wedges maintains a constant thickness up to the fault contact and terminates abruptly at the fault plane. Each wedge merges with a fluvial unit on the down-faulted block (units 3 and A). The colluvium is gravely to sandy depending on the composition of the sedimentary units from which it was derived. Fluvial erosion on the down-faulted block removed most of the material forming the colluvial wedges, leaving only the uppermost part of each wedge. Pedogenic features such as biotubation, gypsic nodules, and horizonation were detected in several of the colluvial wedges. Unit I is composed of a mixture of nonsorted gravel, with sand and clay intraclasts and collapsed clay blocks. The colluvium is stratified parallel to the slope. Unit II is composed of coarse gravel-rich, grain-supported colluvium with a sandy matrix. The gravel ranges from 1 to 4 cm in size and has a rubble-like texture, with no preferred orientation. Unit III is composed of grain-supported gravel-rich colluvium with a coarse sandy matrix. The gravel fines upward, ranges in size from 2 to 10 cm, and was deposited parallel to the slope. These three units do not contain soils. Unit IV is composed of a mixture of sand and granules with no clear sedimentary structure. A soil profile in the upper part of the unit contains shattered gravel, gypsic nodules, and root casts. The sediment is porous and reddish. Unit V is compose of sand with some lithoclasts. This unit did not display any sedimentary structure due to intensive pedogenic processes. Abundant pedogenic gypsic nodules are scattered in the colluvium.

The variations in pedogenic features in units IV and V indicate that each wedge formed during a different time period. The shape of the wedges, the different sedimentological character of each colluvial wedge, the absence of a fining-upward trend in the whole colluvium section, and the absence of correlative colluvial units on the up-thrown block indicate that they are tectonically induced and not a result of nontectonic slope processes (Amit et al., 1995; McCalpin, 1996). The absence of soils in units I–III can be interpreted as an indication of a short quiescence period.

Based on the ages of unit 3, which overlies the colluvial units, and unit 1a at the base of the section, five tectonic events occurred between 14,200 ± 1300 and 3700 ± 300 yr ago. These are summarized in Table 3. Each event was accompanied by a displacement of at least 0.5 m, as calculated and measured along the fault plane (McCalpin, 1996), and each triggered the deposition of a colluvial unit (represented by wedges I–V) with a characteristic sedimentary composition, structure, and the degree of pedogenic alteration.

The deposition of unit 3 marks the beginning of at least 2000 yr of quiescence. During this period, fluvial sediments were deposited mainly on the down-faulted block (Fig. 7, units 3, 5). Scour-and-fill fluvial structures with fluvial crossbedding in these units indicate a north–south flow direction subparallel to the fault trace (Fig. 9).

Fluvial activity along the fault scarp decreased over the last 3000 yr. Toward the end of this period, fluvial–eolian sand sheets were deposited over the entire playa area (unit 5b) and not only on the uplifted block (unit 5a). Unit 5a covered the fluvial units (units 3, 5) on the down-faulted block and the fault trace. At this stage, a soil developed continuously across the inactive faulted area (unit 5b).

Tectonic activity along this fault was renewed sometime between 1000 and 700 yr ago, with a vertical surface rupture of about 1 m (the petrosalic horizon in unit 5b was used as a stratigraphic marker for the measurement of the displacement). In addition to the surface rupture, this event caused reactivation of fluvial activity on the down-faulted block, a rapid retreat of the fault scarp, and severe erosion of the upper soil profile of unit 5b. In the down-faulted block, only a small remnant of the soil profile was left; furthermore, the petrosalic horizon was exposed by slope erosion and partly washed away by fluvial erosion.

Discussion

Was the Relief Inversion of the Avrona Playa Triggered by Tectonism?

The Avrona Basin is now not internally drained, as expected of playas. Usually playas in arid zones occupy topographic lows and serve as receptacles of fine sediments delivered by episodic fluvial or eolian inflows (Shaw and Thomas, 1989; Cooke et al., 1993). At present, the Avrona Playa drains externally and displays no zonation; furthermore, its positive relief contrasts with other playas. Despite its inverted morphology, the Avrona Basin preserved the sedimentary and pedogenic characteristics of an endoreic basin. At all studied sites, the elevated playa deposits contain saline Solonchack soils with well-developed petrosalic horizon. Such saline soils form as a result of complex processes involving salt and water transfer at the groundwater–surface interface (Yaalon, 1961; Dan, 1981; Dan and Yaalon, 1982). This leads to the precipitation of evaporite deposits at the surface and within near-surface deposits on the central and lowest parts of a playa. In this zone, episodic flooding, saline soil formation, and salt accumulation discourage vegetation growth and encourage the formation of sterile areas (Yaalon, 1961; Amiel and Friedman, 1971; Zohary, 1973).

In light of the above description, the wide distribution of the Solontchak soil with almost identical profiles on each of the elevated Avrona Playa remnants, including along the trenched fault trace (Figs. 3, 5, and 7), indicates that the soil formed throughout a closed basin with a shallow water table. At present, these soils occur at the highest topographic position, 1 to 4 m above the modern fluvial system that dissects and erodes the playa. The soils are totally disconnected from the water table, which is now ca. 27 m below the surface. The fact that the soil profiles throughout the basin have a similar degree of maturity implies that they were all abandoned at the same time. The similar age range of the host sediments 700–1500 yr (Fig. 3) supports this conclusion. It is suggested that such extreme and synchronous change of the playa surface is related to the last large earthquake that occurred in this area.

An alternative interpretation—that the current configuration of the elevated playa sediments is solely the result of fluvial down-cutting of a filled basin—is unlikely. Under such circumstances, the drainage pattern would form a dendritic network with random distribution of very shallow channels and a high drainage density (Morisawa, 1968). However, in the Avrona Playa, the pattern is a system of straight, deep channels bounded by fault scarps and longitudinal elevated ridges several meters high (Figs. 2 and 3). These features are the surface expression of extensional and compressional structures detected by the high-resolution shallow reflection survey. Such a structurally controlled drainage network indicates recent tectonic activity (Morisawa, 1964).

It is equally unlikely that climatic change triggered the relief inversion. The sediments of the playa are of Holocene age (8000 yr), a time of arid to extremely arid climatic conditions in the southern Arava, as indicated by the widespread occurrence of salic–gypsic soils (Amit et al., 1993). Climatic change in the Avrona region would have been manifested in a playa environment by the formation of either an ephemeral or a perennial body of water or by changes in the frequency of floods entering the playa (Currey, 1994; Enzel and Wells, 1997). Sedimentological or pedological evidence for such hydrological changes are not seen in the sedimentary section. Therefore, it is highly unlikely that the intensive incision, draining, and inversion of the basin resulted from a change in its hydrologic regime. The only way the playa surface can be incised is by tectonic uplift followed by fluvial erosion.

Geomorphic observations further support the tectonic interpretation for the origin of the topographic inversion. The vertical differences between the upper playa sediments and Nahal Raham channel are greatest near the center of the playa (T-22, E-23), where it is 2–4 m. At the margins of the playa (e.g., E-24), this difference decreases to 1 m (Zilberman et al., 1998). This geometry indicates differential uplift rather than natural fluvial erosion of a closed basin (Bull and Knuepfer, 1987; Rockwell et al., 1988).

The transition from a playa to fluvial sedimentary units as recorded in the Holocene sequence of the Avrona Playa is also interpreted to be related to tectonic deformation. According to the paleoseismic analysis, the playa was deformed intensively by tectonic activity several times during the Holocene. Certain tectonic episodes triggered fluvial incision on the down-faulted block and along the fault scarp, resulting in the deposition of fluvial sediments in wide braided channels on top of the previous playa sequence (trench T-20). It is suggested that such alterations, especially in the central part of a playa (e.g., trench T-22), mark a change from a closed basin configuration to an open one that resulted from tectonic deformation.

Magnitude of the Latest Earthquake at the Avrona Playa

Based on the analysis of trench T-20, the most recent tectonic event was associated with a vertical displacement of 1 m. This event affected the entire playa area, as inferred from the correlation between the soils and sedimentary sequence in trench T-20 and those of the elevated playa remnant in sites T-21, T-22, E-23, and E-24 (Fig. 3). The age of the faulted sedimentary sequence in trench T-20 ranges between 700 and 1500 yr (Table 1 and 3; Fig. 3). Therefore, the sedimentary sequence was uplifted and abandoned after this date. Historical evidence supports this result, for only one damaging earthquake (1212 AD) was reported during the period from 184 BC to 1992 AD (Amiran, 1996). The earliest account states that it was strongest in the region of the ancient city of Aila (Fig. 1), suggesting that its epicenter was in the southern Arava Valley (Ambraseys et al., 1994).

Using the average displacement parameter (Bonilla et al., 1984; Wells and Coppersmith, 1994), a vertical displacement of 1 m, such as in trench T-20, can be produced by an earthquake with a magnitude greater than 6.5. Another indication of the earthquake magnitude is the rupture length of the fault (Wells and Coppersmith, 1994). The uplifted ridge formed by playa deposits is about 35 km long [the exact rupture length is uncertain due to erosion, burial by younger deposits, and difficulties in distinguishing the end points (Bonilla et al., 1984; McCalpin, 1996)]. This is a minimum estimate of the original rupture length and it is consistent with an earthquake having a magnitude of about 7 (Wells and Coppersmith, 1994). However, the width of the deformed zone is up to 1.5 km, indicating that the branches of the shear zone were reactivated in one event. In this case, the magnitude estimate should take into account the seismic energy released by all the segments of the shear zone (McCalpin, 1996). Therefore, the estimated magnitude of 7 should be considered a minimum for the earthquake that triggered the latest relief inversion in the Avrona Playa.

Conclusion

Sedimentologic, pedologic, and morphologic analyses of the Avrona Playa emphasize that Holocene tectonic activity changed the playa area from a closed basin with an internal drainage system to an open basin. The most recent tectonic event resulted in a relief inversion of the Avrona Playa, whereby the topographically lowest part of the playa was inverted to the highest topographic position. This caused reactivation of pressure ridges, pull-apart basins, and fault scarps across the subsiding playa basin. At present, the playa drains toward the Gulf of Elat and the elevated playa deposits, including the soils developed within them, are being eroded.

The upper 2 m of the deformed and faulted sedimentary sequence is composed of playa deposits characterized by a saline soil at a uniform depth. At all sites studied, this soil profile shows a similar degree of maturity. Based on IRSL and several 14C dates, the sedimentary sequence is as much as 14,000 yr old, with the upper 2 m being less than 1500 yr old. Thus, the most recent phase of tectonic deformation may have occurred ;1000 yr ago. Based on the paleoseismologic analysis of trenched sedimentary sequence, at least six surface rupture events have affected the Avrona Playa during the last 14,000 yr. For surface rupture to occur, an earthquake of at least M6 is needed (Bonilla et al., 1984; Slemmons et al., 1989; Wells and Coppersmith, 1994). This implies that the tectonic events that occurred in the playa area and were detected in the trenches reached a magnitude of at least M6. The minimum recurrence interval for such surface rupture events is about 2000 yr. The most recent event, which is inferred to have occurred ca. 1000 years ago, displaced the surface by 1 m, indicating an earthquake of M > 6.5.

The seismic quiescence along the Avrona DST segment in the last 1000 yr and the absence of microseismicity during the last 15 yr may indicate a seismic gap. This segment could therefore be the site of major faulting in the near future. An event of the magnitude inferred for the latest earthquake in the Avrona Playa would cause severe damage in the Arava Valley, including the two major cities of Elat and Aqaba.

Zilberman et al. (2005)

Abstract

The Elat fault (a segment of the Dead Sea Transform) runs along the southern Arava valley (part of the Dead Sea Rift, Israel) forming a complex fault zone that displays a time-dependent seismic behaviour. Paleoseismic evidence shows that this fault zone has generated at least 15 earthquakes of magnitude larger than M 6 during the late Pleistocene and the Holocene. However, at present the Elat fault is one of the quietest segments of the Dead Sea Transform, lacking even microseismicity. The last event detected in the southern Arava valley occurred in the Avrona playa and was strong enough to have deformed the playa and to change it from a closed basin with internal drainage into an open basin draining to the south.

Paleoseismological, geophysical and archaeological evidences indicate that this event was the historical devastating earthquake, which occurred in 1068 AD in the eastern Mediterranean region. According to the present study this event was strong enough to rupture the surface, reactivate at least two fault branches of the Elat fault and vertically displace the surface and an early Islamic irrigation system by at least 1 m. In addition, the playa area was uplifted between 2.5 and 3 m along the eastern part of the Elat fault shear zone. Such values are compatible with an earthquake magnitude ranging between M 6.6 and 7. Since the average recurrence interval of strong earthquakes during the Holocene along the Elat fault is about 1.2 ± 0.3 ky and the last earthquake occurred more about 1000 years ago, the possibility of a very strong earthquake in this area in the future should be seriously considered in assessing seismic hazards.

1. Introduction

The Dead Sea Transform (DST), which is one of the two ridge–trench boundary transforms in the world, separates the African and Arabian plates and connects the spreading centers of the Red Sea with the Bitlis zone, the oblique collisional zone between the Anatolian and Arabian plates (Yeats et al., 1997). Its morphology is well expressed all along its strike, by the Dead Sea Rift (DSR), which is composed of several major linear stretches separated by extensional pull-apart basins, among which the Dead Sea basin is the largest. Geological observations (Quennell, 1956; Garfunkel, 1981; Gardosh et al., 1990; Ginat et al., 1998) as well as plate tectonic models (McKenzie et al., 1970; Joffe and Garfunkel, 1987; DeMets et al., 1994) suggest lateral slip rates of 1 to 20 mm/year. Large earthquakes are known to have occurred along this fault zone, with earthquake magnitudes of M 6–7 over the historical periods (Ambraseys et al., 1994; Amiran et al., 1994). Its seismic activity is characterized by non-uniform spatial distribution of earthquakes. Most of the current seismic activity is localised around the major pull-apart basins: the Gulf of Elat–Aqaba and the Dead Sea basin in the south, and the Sea of Galilee and Hula valley in the north (Arieh and Rotstein, 1985; Rotstein and Arieh, 1986; Shamir, 1996, 1997) (Fig. 1). Between these extensional basins, the DST is characterized by low seismicity (Shapira, 1997). One of the most aseismic segments of the DST is the 40-km-long Elat fault zone that extends from the western margins of the Gulf of Elat in the south to the Yotvata playa in the north (Fig. 1) (Garfunkel, 1970). Continuous seismic monitoring along this segment during the past 15 years shows insignificant to no seismic activity over this time (Shamir, 1997; Shapira, 1997; Shapira and Feldman, 1987). Paleoseismic evidence shows that this presently nonactive segment of the DST is capable of producing large earthquakes, but during the last 80 ka earthquake magnitudes and recurrence intervals have appreciably decreased (Gerson et al., 1993; Amit et al., 1995; Enzel et al., 1994, 1996; Amit et al., 2002). While the late Pleistocene earthquakes range in magnitude from M 6.7 to 7 with recurrence interval of 2.8 ± 0.7 ka, the Holocene earthquakes range in magnitude from M 5.9 to 6.7 and recurrence interval of 1.2 ± 0.3 ky (Amit et al., 1995, 2002; Enzel et al., 1994, 1996). These findings suggest that the Elat fault zone displays a time-dependent seismic behaviour.

Historical documentation mentions only two large seismic events that severely damaged the southern Arava area during the last 1500 years. The first was a devastating, strong earthquake, which occurred in 1068 AD and completely destroyed Aila, a major trade center, situated at the present site of Aqaba, Jordan (Fig. 2) (Avner, 1993; Ambraseys et al., 1994). The second earthquake, which occurred in 1212 AD, was weaker and was felt mainly in Aila (Ambraseys et al., 1994; Amiran et al., 1994; Avner, 1993; Abou Karaki et al., 1983).

The aim of this study was to detect and analyse the most recent historical events that occurred in the Avrona playa and which were triggered by the Elat fault. Using paleoseismic methods, we examined the possibility that the young surface ruptures detected along the trace of the Elat fault in the Avrona playa (Garfunkel, 1970) are related to the two historical earthquakes of 1068 and 1202, which damaged southern Israel.
This would imply that the epicenters of these historical events were located in the southern Arava area.

The decrease in earthquake magnitudes with time combined with the present no-seismicity across the Elat fault zone might signal locking of this segment. This possibility has significant implications for seismic hazard assessment in the southern Arava valley and the Elat–Aqaba region common to Israel and Jordan.

2. Geological, geomorphic and climatic setting of the study site

Figure 2

Geomorphic map of the southern Arava valley in the Avrona basin.

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Zilberman et al. (2005)


The southern Arava valley is crossed by the Elat fault zone, one of the segments of the DST, which forms a shear zone several hundred meters wide and which is expressed as a clear tectonic line extending 50 km on land (Garfunkel, 1970). It diagonally crosses the DSR from the northwestern coast of the Gulf of Elat–Aqaba to the eastern margin of the rift in the Yotvata Playa (Garfunkel, 1970, 1981). This part of the DSR is composed of the Elat and Avrona pull-apart structures, which are filled by alluvial sequence several hundreds to several thousand meters thick (Ben Gai et al., 1993; Frieslander, 1995, 2000). The youngest surface ruptures along the trace of the Elat fault were detected in the Avrona playa, which occupies the central part of the Avrona pull-apart basins (Frieslander, 2000). The Elat fault is composed of a narrow shear zone, several hundreds meters wide (Ben Gai et al., 1993; Frieslander, 1995, 2000), which is accompanied by a series of small pull-apart structures indicating a sinistral movement (Zak and Freund, 1966; Fig. 1). Systems of dominantly normal faults are aligned on both sides of the Elat shear zone, displacing the alluvial fans along the margins of the DSR. The Elat fault crosses the distal parts of the Roded, Shehoret and Raham alluvial fans in the western part of the DSR and the distal parts of the Mahatadi alluvial fan in its eastern part. It crosses the Avrona playa and runs in NNE direction along the eastern side of the Yotvata playa, close to the eastern mountain front (Figs. 1 and 2). At present the streams that drain to the Avrona basin cross the Avrona playa and flow toward the Gulf of Elat–Aqaba through the Elat coastal Sabkha.

Figure 1

Location Map of the study area.

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Zilberman et al. (2005)


The climate in the southern Arava valley is extremely arid. The mean annual precipitation is 30 mm, usually falling in one or two rainfall events during the winter. Surface soil temperatures may reach 50 °C at midday and drop by up to 30 °C at night (Ashbel et al., 1965). Mean annual temperature is 25 °C, with a mean daily range of 14 °C. The annual potential evaporation is 2600 mm (Atlas of Israel, 1985). The Avrona playa is partly covered by halophytic vegetation, including tamarisks, rushes and doom palms, whereas the rest of the area is barren. The soils in the playa vary between fine desert alluvial soil in the vegetated areas to sterile Solonchaks (typical Salorthid) in the barren zone (Amiel and Freidman, 1971; Dan and Yaalon, 1982).

3. Methodology

3.1. Mapping

The geomorphological and morphostructural features of the Avrona playa area were mapped using 1:7000 airphotos and satellite images (Fig. 2). In addition to recent airphotos taken in 1995 and 1996, airphotos from the 1950s and 1960s were used to obtain information since lost due to intensive human activity.

Detailed stream profiles and topographical cross sections (vertical error of ±20 cm) across the playa area were drawn based on photogrametric maps. The present low gradient (0.1–0.15%) of the stream channels of Wadi Avrona and Wadi Raham, which drain the Avrona basin, serves as a reference line for estimates of the playa area deformation.

3.2. Geophysical survey

To characterize the structural pattern of the shallow subsurface fault system of the DST and to evaluate its relation to the playa surface morphology, a high resolution seismic reflection survey was conducted across the Avrona playa at three locations 3 to 5 km apart (GI-0061; GI-0065; GI-0074; Fig. 3). These geophysical lines followed a previous deep seismic reflection survey at the same locations (Ben Gai et al., 1993).

The present survey included three P-wave seismic lines (GI-0061; GI-0065; GI-0074) and one S-wave line (GI-0065). The lines were shot in a general east–west direction using the conventional common midpoint technique (CMP) with 2.5 m spacing between receiver stations. The source was applied at every station using split-spread geometry (Shtivelman et al., 1998). The energy source was an 8 kg sledge hammer. In most cases a single blow of the hammer was sufficient to generate P- and S-waves. We used a 48-channel EG and G seismograph, model ES-2401X. PROMAX package was used for data processing. Since only the shallow information was needed, no static corrections were applied to the data (for more details see Shtivelman et al., 1998).

3.3. Trenching and logging

Information derived from geomorphic mapping and from the shallow seismic reflection subsurface data served as a basis for site selection for trenching across morphological elements. Three trenches were opened and logged at a 1:20 scale (Fig. 3). The trenches are 10 to 70 m long, up to 5 m deep and 1.5 m wide. Trench T-20 was excavated across a fault scarp. Trench T-21 was excavated perpendicular to a morphological scarp in the northern part of the playa. Trench T-22 was excavated in the easternmost part of the playa across a structural ridge composed of playa deposits. One wall in each trench was selected for mapping. A metric horizontal datum line was established along the trench wall and vertical rod sections were taken to delineate contacts of alluvial and colluvial units and pedogenic horizons. Two exposures of the sedimentary sequence were also analysed: one at the central part of the playa (E-23) and a second (E-24) at the southern part (Fig. 3). Alluvial and colluvial units were differentiated on the basis of texture, structure, type of boundary, colour, type of salic horizons, degree of cohesion and pedogenic features (McCalpin, 1996). The soils and paleosols exposed in the sedimentary sequences were described, sampled and analysed after the Soil Survey Staff (1975).

3.4. Numerical dating

Two dating methods were applied in this study: conventional 14C and luminescence dating. The gypsic and salic soils and the sediments in this extremely arid region only rarely contain organic material and in general do not contain authigenic CaCO3 that can be dated by 14C. Therefore, only a few charcoal samples were 14C dated. Most sediments were dated using luminescence methods and thus unless stated otherwise, all ages presented in this study are luminescence ages.

The luminescence technique dates the last exposure of mineral grains in the sediment to sunlight, which resets the luminescence signal (Aitken, 1998). After burial, the signals increase again with time as a result of the natural ionizing radiation emitted by radioactive isotopes (U, Th and K) and by cosmic rays that penetrate the sediment. Minerals in the sediment, such as quartz and feldspar, have dosimetric properties; thus, the intensity of the accumulated signal reflects both the time passed since solar resetting and the amount of environmental radiation. Two values are required for age determination: the amount of radiation that the mineral has absorbed since it was last reset (the equivalent dose De), and the environmental dose rate.

In this study the infrared stimulated luminescence (IRSL) signal in alkali feldspars was used because it requires only several minutes of exposure to sunlight for complete zeroing of the signal and resetting of the luminescence “clock” (Aitken, 1998; Clarke, 1994). Samples were collected from holes drilled into natural outcrops or trench walls, at a depth of ~30 cm. To prevent exposure to daylight, the samples were immediately put in light-tight bags and all subsequent sample preparation was made under subdued orange light. Field data, laboratory results and calculated ages for the samples from the trenches in Avrona are listed in Table 1.

Fine-sand size alkali feldspars with densities less than 2.58 g/cm3 were extracted from the sediment using routine laboratory procedures (Porat et al., 1997). About 10 mg of the extracted alkali feldspars was deposited on aluminum discs using a silicon spray as adhesive and measurements were carried out on a Risø reader (Bøtter-Jensen et al., 1991). De was determined by the single aliquot added dose protocol (Duller, 1994) roughly following the routine outlined in Porat et al. (1996).

3.4.1. Water contents and dose rates

External γ dose rates were measured in the field using a portable calibrated γ scintillator while external α and β dose rates were calculated from the concentrations of the radioelements. Present-day water contents in the sediment range from 1% to 7% (Table 1). However, these values do not reflect water contents throughout the sediments’ burial history. Pedogenic analysis indicates that the water table at the Avrona playa was at the surface several times in the past 10,000 years and that in general the sediments were water-saturated for most of their history. Therefore laboratory experiments were conducted on several sediment types to estimate the saturation values, which are in the range of 20–30%. This range is assumed to represent past water content and ages were calculated using both the current water contents and the laboratory saturation value of 25 ± 5% (Table 1). The ages presented on the trench logs and soil profiles are those calculated using the saturation water contents.

3.5. Solar resetting

A sediment sample was collected from the present-day streambed of Wadi Avrona, to assess the degree of solar resetting of the IRSL signal in a modern environment. This sample had a low De value of 0.28 ± 0.01 Gy. Age calculations using the average dose rate for the Avrona sediments, ~2400 μGy/year, give 115 years. This residual age implies that the ages presented below could be about 115 years too old.

4. Results

4.1. The geomorphology of the Avrona playa

The Avrona basin is at present externally drained, its relief is inverted and it does not function as a closed basin with an endoreic fluvial system, as expected in playas. A detailed analysis of the tectonic history–during which the Avrona playa was deformed and changed from a closed basin with an internal drainage system to an open basin–is presented in Amit et al. (1999).

The playa sediments are exposed along a broad elongated deformation belt composed of low, longitudinal, sub-parallel ridges (0.5–4 m high and up to 5 km long). Shallow braided channels flow along and across these ridges (Figs. 2 and 3). Wadi Raham flows from the west, cuts the northern edge of the playa, and then flows southward at its eastern edge along a gradient of 0.1–0.15%, forming steep and deep playa margins. Wadi Avrona, which drains the western margin of the rift, crosses the entire width of the playa and merges into Wadi Raham. The outlet of the Avrona playa is a narrow channel that flows along the eastern margin of the steep (4–5%) alluvial fan of Wadi Roded, which separates the Avrona playa from the Elat sabkha.

Several low ridges composed of sterile playa deposits were trenched and their sedimentary sequences were studied (for details see Amit et al., 1999). The upper part of the sequence is composed of barren, sterile silty–clayey playa deposits, which include a 1.2 m thick saline soil profile (Salorthids, Soil Survey Staff, 1975; or Solontchak, Duchaufour, 1977). This soil is characterized by in-situ pedogenic gypsic nodules, salt efflorescence, and a well-cemented petrosalic horizon at a depth of 1 m. This horizon marks a stage of stability during which the basin was probably closed and had a high water table. Playa sediments at the base of the exposed sections date to the Early Holocene, whereas the upper 2 m of the sequence dates between 690 ± 50 and 1400 ± 100 years BP (Table 1). As a result of tectonic deformation the saline soils and the playa deposits are at the highest topographic position and at present are undergoing intensive erosion (Amit et al., 1999).

4.2. The subsurface fault system and its relations to morphostructural features

The results and interpretations of the geophysical survey are presented in Fig. 4. The three seismic sections show a complex fault pattern identified as a flower structure, with converging and diverging NNE-trending faults extending for several hundred meters.

Some of the interpreted faults coincide with surface morphostructural elements, such as surface ruptures, lineaments, and small compression structures that permit correlation between the lines. The geophysical survey reveals that the Avrona fault is composed of several distinct sub-parallel branches; these are marked A–E in Fig. 4.

Zone A on line GI-0074 (Figs. 3 and 4) is associated with a NNE-trending morphological feature, which shows a compressional structure that is expressed as an elevated ridge built of uplifted playa deposits. In some places the ridge forms a topographical step up to 4 m high. The western branch of zone A is expressed as a low, elongated depression occupied by braided shallow channels of Wadi Avrona. The northern extension of the western fault of this shear zone displaces the playa surface, forming a sharp, 2 km long, east-facing fault scarp.

Zone B appearing on lines GI-0074 and GI-0065 (Figs. 3 and 4) is expressed by a row of low hills capped by a gypsic unit of groundwater origin, which is now elevated above the western alluvial fans. The eastern flank of the zone is related to an elongated ridge extending south of line GI-0065 and forming a straight lineament about 3 km long and 100 m wide. A shallow depression occurs between the western and the eastern branches of flower structure B. This depression serves as the local base level of the east-flowing streams blocked by the low ridge in the east.

Zone C on line GI-0065 (Figs. 3 and 4) is related to zone C of line GI-0061 and of line GI-0074. Zone C is situated along the most prominent lineament in the Avrona playa. This lineament is about 10 km long. In the southern part of the playa, it forms a low ridge bounded in the west by a short west-facing scarp; in the northern part, it is expressed as an approximately 1-m high east-facing scarp. A clear discontinuity in the reflectors coinciding with the surface scarp occurs in line GI-0061. A trench at this site (T-20, Fig. 5) exposed a normal fault.

Zones D and E (Fig. 3) are expressed as series of low hills composed of alluvial material cemented by gypsum. These hills represent uplifted alluvial fan sediments deposited at the western playa margins.

The results of the high-resolution seismic reflection survey in the Avrona playa area enable us to relate surface structures to subsurface faults, hence confirming the presence of several NNE-trending sub-parallel fault splays. These observations are confirmed also by Ground Penetrating Radar (GPR) imaging, which has been conducted across the Avrona playa to a depth of 25 m below the surface (Basson, 2000). It is possible to consider the deformed belt of the Avrona playa as a positive flower structure, which is typical of strike-slip fault systems (Sylvester, 1988). The surface expression of the positive flower structure changes across the shear zone of the Elat fault as a result of frequent transitions from normal to reverse displacements (Shtivelman et al., 1998; Basson, 2000; Amit et al., 2002).

4.3. Paleoseismology of fault C

  • Fig. 3 Aerial photograph showing locations of Trenches T-20-22 and seismic lines from Zilberman et al. (2005)
Figure 4c

Profiles of high-resolution seismic reflection lines across the Avrona playa shear zone. The location of trench T-20 is marked on top of section G-0061 (After Shtivelman et al., 1998). The location of the profiles marked in Fig. 3.

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Zilberman et al. (2005)


The most recent seismic history of the Elat fault was examined by the paleoseismic analysis of the most prominent branch of this shear zone in the Avrona playa (fault C). This fault trace, which is 10 km long and about 1 m high, dissects a transitional vegetated playa zone composed of sand to sandy-loam sediment (Fig. 3; fault C). Based on its clear morphology and the high-resolution seismic reflection analysis, this fault is assumed to be the youngest in the playa area. A trench (trench T-20) excavated at this site exposes a multiple-event fault with normal displacement and one main fault plane (Fig. 5). No lateral displacement was detected on this fault.

Figure 5

Log of the southern wall of trench T-20 across a fault scarp in the Avrona playa. Its location is shown in Fig. 3

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Zilberman et al. (2005)


Five partially preserved colluvial units were identified adjacent to the fault plane (Fig. 5, units 1-5). This succession of vertically stacked colluvial wedges maintains a constant thickness up to the fault contact and terminates abruptly at the fault plane. The colluvium is gravelly to sandy, depending on the composition of the sedimentary units from which it derived. Pedogenic features such as bioturbation, gypsic nodules, and horizonation were detected in several of the colluvial wedges. The variation in the pedogenic features indicates that each wedge formed during a different time period. The shape of the wedge, the different sedimentological character of each colluvial wedge, the absence of a fining upward trend in the whole colluvial section, and the absence of correlative colluvial units on the upthrown block indicate that they were tectonically induced and not a result of nontectonic slope processes (Amit et al., 1995; McCalpin, 1996).

According to data from unit 3, which overlies the colluvial units and unit 1a at the base of the section, five tectonic events occurred between 14,200 ± 300 and 3700 ± 300 years BP. Each of these events was accompanied by displacements of at least 0.5 m. The deposition of unit 3 marks the beginning of at least 2000 years of quiescence. During this period, playa sediments were deposited on the downthrown block and later also over the up-thrown block (Fig. 5; units 3 and 5). Scour-and-fill sedimentary structures with fine cross-bedding, especially at the bottom of unit 5, indicate a north–south flow direction sub-parallel to the fault trace for a limited period. The deposition of fluvial sediments decreased during the last 2000 years and changed into fluvial-eolian deposition of sand sheets (Fig. 5; unit 5b). A saline soil with a petrosalic horizon developed in the fluvial-eolian deposits in the entire playa area (Fig. 5; unit 5). The soil marks a period of stability with a low rate of sediment deposition and tectonic quiescence. Tectonic activity of this fault was renewed later than 140–800 AD with vertical surface rupture of about 1 m (Fig. 5; Table 2). A small remnant of unit 5b in which a soil with a petrosalic horizon was preserved was left on the down-faulted block, enabling us to measure the amount of displacement of the last tectonic event that occurred on this fault (Fig. 5; unit 5b on the down-faulted block).

4.4. Topogaphic profiles of the Avrona playa area and the stream channel of Wadi Avrona

  • Fig. 3 Aerial photograph showing locations of Trenches T-20-22 and seismic lines from Zilberman et al. (2005)
Figure 6

Composite topographic profiles of the Wadi Avrona stream-channel and the elevated sub-ridges across the playa area. Notice the nick-point at I, where the stream crosses the fault that displaces the alluvial fan, and the convex profile of the stream channel between points II and III, where the stream crosses the elevated ridge. Numbers refer to segments of the photogrametric profiles. The soil and sedimentary profiles represent the upper 1.5 m of the elevated playa deposits, showing similarity throughout the tectonically deformed area.Notice the petrosalic horizon, which serves as a chrono-stratigraphic marker for correlating the elevated playa surface.

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Zilberman et al. (2005)


Two topographic profiles were drawn across the Avrona playa area. One follows the ridges scattered across the elevated playa and the other follows the stream channel of Wadi Avrona (Fig. 6). The profile along the stream channel of Wadi Avrona, which flows sub-parallel to the trace of the Elat fault, can be used as a reference datum for estimating the amount of deformation of the playa surface. The ridges whose topographical elevations were measured are those on which a Salorthid soil was detected. This soil represents the un-eroded playa surface which reached the same degree of development over the whole playa area while the playa was a closed basin with a shallow water table (Amit et al., 1999). The age range of five soil profiles in the playa area located on elevated sub-ridges (Fig. 6) is between 690 ± 50 years BP and 1400 ± 100 years BP, with an average age of about 1000 years (Fig. 6; Tables 1 and 2). With a known age and uniform degree of development this soil can be used as a chronostratigraphic marker in reconstructing the previous undeformed playa surface.

Vertical changes along the ridge topographic profile reflect differential vertical uplift in relation to the Avrona stream channel (Fig. 6). It reaches a height of 3.5–4 m in the central part of the Avrona basin and about 1 m at the basin outlet (segment 9 in Fig. 6) close to the alluvial fan of Wadi Roded. The vertical topographical differences between the stream-channel and the elevated playa ridge decrease from the central part of the ridge northward and southward toward the present outlet of the playa. Such a topographical situation could not have been achieved by fluvial incision but only by the amount and pattern of a tectonic uplift. The maximum incision that can be attributed to later fluvial erosion under such conditions is 1 m, which is measured at the Avrona playa outlet. This leaves a maximum tectonic uplift of about 2.5–3 m.

In summary, the topographic profiles of the channels and the sub-ridges across the Avrona playa show that the maximum amount of vertical uplift along the entire Avrona shear zone ranges between 2.5 and 3 m. The uplift of the playa area is reflected by the present location of the saline soil, which must have formed during a former phase when the playa was a closed basin. As this soil is about 1000 years old, the uplift, which changed the soil location, happened about 1000 years ago.

4.5. Archaeological evidence for tectonic activity in the Avrona playa area in historical times

  • Fig. 3 Aerial photograph showing locations of Trenches T-20-22 and seismic lines from Zilberman et al. (2005)
Figure 7

Topographic profile of the water canal in the Avrona Islamic farm. The profiles were measured by EDM total station.

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Zilberman et al. (2005)


A well-preserved Early Islamic ranch dated to the 11th century AD was discovered at the western part of the Avrona playa (Avner, 1993). This ranch, which provided fresh agricultural products to the town of Aila, was irrigated by a network of water canals connected to a central water pool. The water pool was fed by a Qanat system (subsurface tunnel, marked on the surface by a row of vertical shafts), which collected shallow groundwater deriving from alluvial fans located along the western rift margins (Fig. 7A). A roofed water canal (aqueduct) connected the outlet of the Qanat system to the central irrigation pool. The farm was abandoned in the 11th century at the same time that Aila was destroyed by an earthquake because of the destruction of the irrigation system by surface deformation (Avner, 1993).

Topographic profiles of the roofed water canal measured using Electro-Optical Distance Measurements (EDM) revealed that today the inlet of the canal to the pool is about 1 m higher than the Qanat outlet (Fig. 7B). Three points of deformation were detected along the canal: near the outlet of the Qanat, at the middle part of the canal and near its inlet to the water pool. The inversion of the original southward gradient of the roofed canal is clearly related to an uplift of the water pool area by more than 1 m in relation to the Qanat system.

The deformed water system is located a few hundred meters west of the main lineament underlain by the subsurface fault C (Fig. 3) and presumably also underlain by fault D, which was detected further to the northwest of fault C (Fig. 3). The deformation of the irrigation system can be directly related to reactivation of these two branches of the Elat fault during the historic earthquakes that occurred in the 11th century.

5. Discussion

5.1. Location of the epicentral area of the 1068 AD earthquake

The catalogues of historic earthquakes in the Middle East document only two large seismic events in the southern region of the eastern Mediterranean in the last 1500 years: the strong 1068 AD earthquake and the moderate less destructive 1212 AD earthquake (Amiran, 1951; Ben-Menahem, 1981, 1991; Turcotte and Arieh, 1988; Ambraseys et al., 1994; Amiran et al., 1994). According to the earliest account of the 1212 AD earthquake it was strongest in the part of Aila that was by the sea (Ambraseys et al., 1994; Amiran et al., 1994; Avner, 1993), suggesting that it originated on the eastern fault of the Elat depression extending between Aqaba in the north and Nuwieba in the south (Ben Avraham et al., 1979; Ben Avraham, 1985; Abou Karaki et al., 1983). The 1068 earthquake was more damaging and caused the total destruction of the city of Aila and widespread damage throughout the Middle East, resulting in thousands of casualties within a radius of more than 500 km from the Gulf of Elat–Aqaba including north Hijaz, Sinai, Egypt, and the Mediterranean coast (Fig. 8) (Ambraseys et al., 1994). Reports indicate that it was felt all the way to Baghdad (Ambraseys et al., 1994). This earthquake was also associated with a tsunami at several sites along the Mediterranean coast (Willis, 1928; Amiran, 1951; Amiran et al., 1994; Ben-Menahem, 1977, 1981, 1991; Poirier and Taher, 1980; Arieh et al., 1985; Arieh and Feldman, 1985; Turcotte and Arieh, 1988; Ambraseys et al., 1994). Such an event seems more likely to have caused the severe damage and surface rupture of the playa area than the weaker 1212 AD earthquake.

It was previously demonstrated that a relief inversion of the Avrona playa was triggered by tectonism (Amit et al., 1999). The paleoseismic analysis reveals that at least six M >6 tectonic events have affected the playa during the last 14,000 years. The limiting age of the sedimentary sequence, the extent of the soil development and the longitudinal profiles of Wadi Avrona and Wadi Raham indicate that one of the faulting events of the playa, which was accompanied by compression and uplift, occurred in the last 1000 years. Supportive data for such an event were also obtained from a paleoseismic study in the nearby faulted Wadi Yutim fan complex at the head of the Gulf of Elat–Aqaba (Mansoor and Niemi, 1999). The age of the tectonic event that deformed the playa is more accurately constrained to the 11th century by the archaeological evidence forthcoming from the deformed Islamic irrigation system, which was damaged by an earthquake at the same time that Aila was destroyed. This tectonic event displaced the surface by at least 1 m and changed the morphology of the Avrona playa from a closed system with internal drainage to an open basin, resulting in relief inversion (Amit et al., 1999, 2002). Such amount of displacement is consistent with an earthquake magnitude of M 6.6 (Wells and Coppersmith, 1994).

Using historical documents Ambraseys et al. (1994) located the epicenter of the 1068 earthquake near Tabuk in Saudi Arabia, about 250 km southeast of Aqaba. This places it at a distance of about 300 km from the study area, making it unlikely to have caused the observed surface rupture of the Avrona playa. Measured dimensions of surface faulting detected in worldwide historic and recent earthquakes of various magnitudes revealed that the maximum length of surface rupture in a Mw 7.5 earthquake is 80 km followed by maximum displacement of 3 m (Wells and Coppersmith, 1994). Taking this into account it is clear that Tabuk is too far from the Avrona playa area to have caused any surface ruptures. The only response to this earthquake in the Tabuk area was three new springs, which appeared at a place called al-Qur, and in Taima the ground was split open “to reveal buried treasures of gold and golden jewellery” (Ambraseys et al., 1994). Whereas the DST is a well-known source of strong earthquakes, in the Tabuk area in Saudi Arabia there is no tectonic feature that could have produced such a large magnitude earthquake (Bartov, 1990). The total destruction of Aila further suggests that it was situated in the near-field of the earthquake rupture. Moreover, the damaged sites (the Baniyas area in the north and the Taima area in the southeast) fall within the radius of about 500 km around the proposed surface rupture.

Taking into consideration the sparsely inhabited region one cannot obtain accurate data on natural and artificial damage and the epicentral area of this event must be sought, as proposed by Ambraseys et al. (1994, p. 31), between Aila and Taima. The results of this study suggest that it [JW: the 1068 CE earthquake] was located at the southern Arava area at the Avrona playa and not in the Tabuk area.

5.2. Estimating the earthquake magnitude and slip rule

Several considerations indicate that the earthquake that deformed the Avrona playa was of very large magnitude and that it was caused by the Elat fault. Using the maximum displacement parameter (Bonilla et al., 1984; Wells and Coppersmith, 1994), the vertical displacement of 1 m measured for the youngest fault in trench T-20 could have been produced by an earthquake with a magnitude of about M 6.6. A similar displacement was measured in the deformed irrigation canal in the Early Islamic ranch, which is underlain by fault D (Fig. 3) and was also supported by GPR measurements (Basson, 2000). However, this amount of displacement may represent a minimum in the area, as shown by the topographic profiles of the elevated playa ridges. These represent the entire deformation caused by the last earthquake in the southern Arava valley, and show an uplift of 2.5 to 3 m along a deformation belt, which is 10 km long and 0.5–0.2 km wide. Such uplift must correspond to an earthquake with a magnitude higher than M 6.6, which was measured at trench T-20. The surface rupture length cannot be determined in the playa area because of erosional obscuring, burial by younger deposits of the playa and fragmentation of the continuous fault line by incision of the alluvial fan. If the full 50 km length of the fault zone is assumed to have been active during the studied event, the maximum magnitude is expected to be M 7 (Wells and Coppersmith, 1994).

In the Elat fault zone there are no measurable geomorphic or stratigraphic markers for determining lateral slip rates. As a result, only vertical displacement can be used for slip rate evaluations. The average vertical slip rate of the normal faults is 0.2 mm/year (Amit et al., 2002). This value changes through time along different segments of the active shear zone and among clusters of events related to the same segment, with a range of 0.1 to 0.35 mm/year. The value calculated for the Avrona playa fits the higher value and reaches 0.3 mm/year (Amit et al., 2002). However, such average slip rate range is low in comparison to the worldwide vertical slip rate for normal faults, which vary from <0.5 mm/year to >3 mm/year (Yeats et al., 1997). The low vertical slip rate range can emphasize both the complexity of the Elat fault zone, which is composed of a large number of fault branches and their dominant strike-slip character. The fault pattern of this segment is different from the pattern of the northern Arava segment. The latter is characterized by a narrower fault zone with clear and measurable lateral components of motion. Estimates of its lateral slip rate range between 4 ± 2 mm/year and 4.7 ± 1.3 mm/year (Klinger et al., 2000b; Niemi et al., 2001).

6. Seismic modes along the Dead Sea Transform

Earthquake magnitudes and their recurrence intervals are two fundamental descriptors of paleoseismicity, and both are critical for seismic hazard assessment. Paleoseismic data from the different branches of the Elat fault zone shows that it consists of sub-zones in which several faults are active together and at least two neighboring branches of the irregular shear zone were tectonically active simultaneously during several of the detected earthquakes (Amit et al., 2002). Such seismic behavior was also detected in the present study area; the 1068 AD earthquake reactivated at least two branches, fault C and fault D crossing an irrigation system dated to the Early Islamic period. Furthermore, the Holocene period is characterized by intense tectonic activity at the central part of the Arava, followed by a decrease in the tectonic activity at the western and eastern margins (Amit et al., 2002). In the Holocene, the faults composing the marginal fault zone of the Elat fault, which is capable of producing high-magnitude earthquakes, seem not to have been active and the faults at the central fault zone produced earthquakes of magnitude M 5.9–6.7 only. Such evidences support the hypothesis that the behavior of the Elat fault zone is time-dependent and is characterized by changes in the faulting sequence with time and space. At present the Avrona playa area, located in the central part of the Elat fault zone, is the active area although this segment of the Dead Sea Rift has been the least seismically active segment during the past 1000 years.

The recurrence interval of large earthquakes (M >6) in the Elat fault zone is much longer than the recurrence interval determined for the other seismogenic zones along the DST (Fig. 9). The most active segment regarding large earthquakes of M >6 is the Dead Sea basin with a recurrence interval of ~100–300 years supported by pre-historic and historic evidences (Ken-Tor et al., 2001; Marco et al., 1996). The second most active segment is the Sea of Galilee and the Hula valley with recurrence interval estimates of 230 and 340 years, respectively (Marco et al., 1997; Ellenblum et al., 1998; Zilberman et al., 2000). In addition to the data on recurrence intervals of the different segments of the Dead Sea Rift, the paleoseismic and historic evidences allow us some insight of the general seismic pattern of these segments. The Dead Sea basin has been continuously active in respect to large events during the last 60 ka including historical and present time (Fig. 9). This behavior is supported by the subsidence rates calculated for the Dead Sea basin, which has been constant during the last 700 ka (Begin and Zilberman, 1979). On the other hand the tectonic activity of the Elat fault zone changed with time. This segment was highly active during the last 40 ka but its activity decreased with time until it almost stopped during historical times. If the 1068 AD earthquake was related to the Elat fault zone, as suggested in this paper, only two large events occurred on this fault during the last 2000 years, while during the same period at least eight large historical events occurred in the Dead Sea basin (Ken-Tor et al., 2001). Moreover, the pattern of the earthquakes is also different between these two seismogenic zones. Earthquakes (M >5.5) in the Dead Sea basin appear to cluster in periods of 8–12 ky with relative quiet periods of similar duration between the clusters. A period of 20 ky is likely to include a complete cycle of both active and non-active time periods (Marco et al., 1996). The southern Arava area shows a different seismic pattern with a non-homogeneous distribution of earthquakes in both time and space. The location of earthquakes with magnitudes larger than M 6.5 migrated with time over the Elat fault zone and in the Holocene most of the large events were located at the central part of the fault zone, i.e. Avrona playa. In addition, the earthquake magnitudes are larger and the recurrence intervals are longer on faults that were active mainly during the late Pleistocene than those that were active also or only during the Holocene (Amit et al., 2002).

The Arava valley, from the Dead Sea to the Gulf of Aqaba, can be divided into a southern and a northern segments. They differ from each other in their morphology and in their seismic behavior. The distribution of offsets along the northern Arava segment indicates repeated coseismic slip events with 1.5–2 m of displacement, which follows a stick-slip behavior (Klinger et al., 2000a). These values are consistent with fault rupture of 60–80 km in length and moment magnitude of the order of Mw 7.2. The southern Arava segment behaves differently. It has a more complex morphology with wide fault zone and no clear measurable lateral displacements and its seismic behavior is not of a stick-slip kind but was found to be closer to the “mode switching” model suggested by Ben-Zion et al. (1999) and discussed in Amit et al. (2002).

Considering that the epicenter of the 1068 AD earthquake was located in the Avrona playa area and that the recurrence interval for the Holocene is 1.2 ± 0.3 ka, the probability for a large earthquake is relatively high in the central part of the Elat fault zone

7. Conclusions

The long record of seismicity along the Elat fault zone in the southern Arava valley provides an opportunity to explore the temporal pattern of earthquakes in the southern part of the Dead Sea Transform. Our main conclusions are:
  1. The Arava valley, one of the seismogenic zones of the Dead Sea Rift, has been seismically well monitored since 1986 and at present is seismically inactive.

  2. Paleoseismic evidence shows that this presently non-active segment, called the Elat fault zone, is capable of producing large earthquakes. However, during the course of the last 80 ka earthquake magnitudes and recurrence intervals have appreciably decreased.

  3. The most active part of the Elat fault zone is the central part of the southern Arava valley, the Avrona playa area, in which the most recent tectonic events have been detected.

  4. Paleoseismological, geomorphological and archaeological evidences show that an earthquake that occurred about 1000 years ago deformed the Avrona playa surface. This earthquake was strong enough to have uplifted the playa and change it from a closed basin with an internal drainage system into an open basin. It reactivated at least two branches of the fault zone, fault C and fault D, vertically displaced the surface by at least 1 m and damaged the Early Islamic irrigation system. The estimated minimum magnitude of this earthquake is M 6.6.

  5. The recurrence interval of large earthquakes (M 6) for the Elat fault zone is three to five times longer than the recurrence interval determined for other seismogenic zones along the Dead Sea Transform.

  6. The paleoseismic and historical evidences indicate that the seismicity of the Dead Sea basin is different from that of the seismic behavior of the Arava segment. The Dead Sea basin has been continuously active with respect to large events during the last 60 ka, including historical and present times, whereas the seismicity of the Elat fault zone markedly decreased with time.

  7. Historical records document two earthquakes, which damaged the ancient city of Aila at the southern Arava valley; the 1068 AD, and the 1212 AD earthquake. This study shows that the 1068 earthquake was related to the DST as was the 1212 event. The location of the epicenter of the 1068 AD earthquake in the Avrona playa area means that an earthquake with a magnitude of about M 7 occurred in the southern Arava valley about 1000 years ago. Since the Holocene reoccurrence interval for this fault zone was determined to be 1.2 ± 0.3 ka, this conclusion has important bearing on seismic hazard assessment of the southern Arava segment.

  8. The Elat fault zone is identified to be a site of possible future earthquake of magnitude larger than M 6. This is augmented by the fact that the Avrona fault is seismically inactive while no aseismic slip is known in this area. This raises the possibility that a seismic gap may exist in this area. An event of the magnitude inferred for the last earthquake (M 6.6) in the Avrona playa would cause severe damage in the Arava Valley, including the two major cities of Elat and Aqaba.

Porat et al. (2009)

Abstract

Colluvial sediments in tectonically active areas are associated with faults, and dating them is important for timing earthquakes and assessing seismic hazards. In hyperarid regions organic matter for radiocarbon is scarce, and the dating method of choice is luminescence. However, colluvial sediments are difficult to date due to the short transport distance that is commonly involved and the resulting incomplete bleaching of the sediment. Single grain and small aliquot measurements of fault-related colluvial sediments may isolate wellbleached grains and provide reliable ages of faulting events.

Elat, southern Israel, lies on the active Dead Sea Transform and paleoseismic data are crucial for city planners. A small fresh-looking NNE trending graben within the late Pleistocene to Holocene alluvial fan of Nahal Shehoret near Elat was trenched to expose recently active normal faults with a stack of colluvial wedges on the footwalls. Samples for luminescence dating were collected near the eastern fault, from the alluvial fan and from the heels (less than 1 m from the fault plane) and toes (2 m away from the fault plane) of a stack of five colluvial wedges.

Single grain measurements of quartz were compared with large (thousands of grains) and small (hundreds of grains) single aliquots of quartz and alkali feldspar (KF). KF was measured using the infrared stimulated luminescence (IRSL) signal and the single aliquot added dose (SAAD) or single aliquot regenerative dose (SAR) protocols. Large aliquots and single grains of quartz were measured using the optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) signal and the SAR protocol.

Large and small aliquots show large scatter in equivalent dose values, with a distinct population of young ages. Quartz large aliquot ages of samples taken from the toes of the wedges range from 5200 to 2600 years, however the ages of samples taken from the heels, close to the fault, are in reversed order, from 4300 years at the base to 13,000 years at the upper wedge. This results from progressive exposure and erosion of deeper and older beds on the fault scarp with continued faulting, and incorporation of older poorly bleached grains into the upper wedges.

Only single grain measurements could isolate a distinct, small population of grains that were fully bleached at the time of deposition, dating the colluvial wedges to between 500 and 1300 years. Large aliquots ages substantially overestimated the time of faulting. The single grain ages record very young faulting events which may be correlated with the known historical earthquakes of the past 1500 years.

1. Introduction

One of the most active segments of the Dead Sea Transform is located in the hyperarid Gulf of Elat (Fig. 1). The last severe earthquake (M 7.2) in this area occurred in 1995, 70 km south of the cities of Elat and Aqaba. Since then, a large effort has been directed toward studying the current seismicity and the paleoseismicity of the continental segment of the Elat fault, which emerges from the gulf and heads NNE into the southern Arava Valley.

A wide fault zone that displaced and deformed late Pleistocene and Holocene alluvial fan surfaces and playa deposits indicates that large earthquakes have originated along the Elat fault in the past (Zak and Freund, 1966; Garfunkel et al., 1981; Gerson et al., 1993). Previous studies included paleoseismic analysis using geomorphic and pedogenic indicators (Gerson et al., 1993; Amit et al., 1995, 1996, 1999, 2002), modeling of fault-scarp degradation (Enzel et al., 1996) and luminescence dating (Porat et al., 1996, 1997; Amit et al., 2002). These show that some fault scarps may be younger than 2000 years (Amit et al., 2002). Historical evidence further documents two large events, one in AD 1068 (Zilberman et al., 2005) and the other in AD 1212 (Ambraseys et al., 1994; Amiran, 1994; Guidoboni and Comastri, 2005).

The time of surface-rupturing earthquakes can be bracketed with luminescence methods (Aitken, 1998) by dating sediments that predate or postdate the earthquake. Dating terraces and alluvial fans faulted by earthquakes will represent the maximum ages for events, whereas the age of sediments deposited directly as a result of earthquakes and that postdate the faulting will correspond to the minimum age of the faulting event. Colluvial wedges are such type of sedimentary feature. They form by erosion of sediment from the newly formed fault scarp and its deposition on the footwall. Colluvial wedges are often poorly sorted, and due to the short transport distance and rapid sedimentation may not be fully exposed to sunlight at the time of deposition, thus probably contain a substantial proportion of grains with residual luminescence signal (Porat et al., 2001). Hence, ages obtained for fault-related colluvial wedges by most conventional luminescence dating protocols are likely to overestimate the time of the deposition of the wedges. As a result, the time of past earthquakes and the interval between them will be overestimated and earthquake frequency and resulting seismic hazard assessment will be erroneous.

Recent advances in luminescence dating, such as the dating of single grains and small aliquots of quartz using the single aliquot regenerative dose (SAR) protocol (Murray and Wintle, 2000), have greatly improved the accuracy and precision of luminescence dating of poorly bleached sediments (Olley et al., 1998, 2004; Duller, 2004, 2006; Ballarini et al., 2007). These protocols present the possibility to identify the well-bleached grain population and provide more accurate ages for colluvial sediments.

This study compares previous luminescence dating of colluvial wedges and terraces in the faulted alluvial fan of Nahal Shehoret near Elat with new measurements using improved techniques and protocols. The previous analyses were carried out on alkali feldspar (KF) using the single aliquot added dose (SAAD) protocol (Duller, 1994) and the infrared stimulated luminescence (IRSL) signal (Porat et al., 1996, 1997; Amit et al., 2002). This study measured quartz using the SAR protocol and the optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) signal on large aliquots and single grains. The KF fraction was re-measured using small aliquots. By decreasing the number of measured grains the well-bleached grains were isolated and better age estimates were obtained for recent faulting events.

2. Field and previous laboratory research

The Holocene alluvial fan of Nahal Shehoret is crossed by an asymmetrical graben that trends NNE. A trench (T18) was excavated across the graben at its southern, wider end (Fig. 1). Samples for luminescence dating were collected from buried terrace surfaces (18-1 to 18-3, 18-13 and 18-16) and from colluvial wedges on the southern wall of the trench (Fig. 2). One set of samples was taken from each colluvial wedge at its heel, close to its contact with the fault plane (18-9, 18-10 and 18-11), and another set was taken from the toes of the wedges, 2 m from the fault plane (18-5 and 18-6). Sample 18-7 is from the center of the lowermost wedge. The samples were collected by drilling into the trench walls and they were placed immediately in light-proof bags. Previous work on these samples has focused on the KF, extracted using routine laboratory procedures (Porat, 2002). The equivalent doses (De) were determined using the SAAD protocol (Duller, 1994) on large aliquots containing 1000–2000 grains, and measurement details were as in Porat et al. (1996).

Dose rates were evaluated by both field and laboratory measurements. The g and cosmic doses were measured in the field in the same holes from which the samples were collected, using a calibrated portable g scintillator. Alpha and b dose rates were calculated from the concentrations of the radio-elements U, Th and K that were measured in sediment sample collected from the same location as the dated sample. U and Th were measured by ICP-MS while K in the bulk sediment and in the separated KF grains was measured by ICP-AES. In this hyperarid region, measured water contents averaged 1 ± 0.5%. The IRSL ages for trench T-18 were calculated from the average De and are shown in Fig. 2. Most of the ages were presented by Amit et al. (2002).

The stratigraphy and tectonics of the graben, the sedimentary and pedogenic analyses, and the IRSL ages are described by Amit et al. (2002). On the basis of the IRSL SAAD ages, it was possible to reconstruct the geomorphological history of trench T-18. The sections exposed by the trench reveal a pre-faulting alluvial fan surface that was abandoned at 25,000–30,000 years ago (samples 18-1, 18-3 and 18-13) and was inactive for at least 10,000 years (sample 18-16), during which a Reg soil profile developed (R1 in Fig. 2a). After fault reactivation and deposition of several fluvial units over the Reg soil, probably due to faulting to the west of the trench, the surface was abandoned again at ca. 13 ka (sample 18-16), resulting in the present exposed surface (Qa3) on which another Reg soil (R2 in Fig. 2a) developed (Amit et al., 2002).

The graben formed in three stages: During the first stage, three wide cracks were opened and filled with collapsed sediments, but no colluviation occurred. The second stage started with a vertical displacement of 1.3 m and the deposition of colluvial unit VI (Fig. 2b). This event was followed by another tectonic event, which resulted in the deposition of colluvial unit VII. The proximity in time between these two events is evident from the absence of pedogenic features at the contact between these two colluvial units. After a period of quiescence, during the third stage, three tectonic events occurred within a short period of time, each one associated with a 0.2–0.5 m displacement and each creating a colluvial wedge on which insipient Reg soil developed (Fig. 2b; Amit et al., 2002). The recent graben structure has been quiescent for less than 2000 years, as suggested by the morphologic ages of the graben scarps (Enzel et al., 1996).

The buried terrace surfaces yielded IRSL ages that were stratigraphically consistent (Fig. 2a). However, the samples taken from the heel of the colluvial wedges in the trench (18-7, 18-9, 18-10 and 18-11) showed reversed age stratigraphy (4100 years at the base to 16,700 years at the top), whereas the set of samples taken at the toes of the wedges (samples 18-5 and 18-6) were younger and, within errors, roughly in stratigraphic order (3400 and 3600 years; Fig. 2b). The age reversal was attributed to insufficient bleaching of the grains during colluviation onto the wedges, as shown by Porat et al. (2001) for modern colluvium. The stack of colluvial wedges in the graben is unique in that most of the wedges, except the upper unit 12, were deposited in very limited space, within a 2 m wide crack (Fig. 2b). Deposition within 1 m from their source in the headwall, and the WNW facing fault scarp, gave little chance for the mineral grains to be exposed to sufficient sunlight and reset the IRSL signal. Due to the ambiguous results, the samples from the wedges’ heels were not published by Amit et al. (2002).

These results also suggested that perhaps the samples in the toes, which were transported for only 2 m, also contain poorly bleached grains, and their IRSL ages may also be overestimated. An indication that such overestimation may exist was the discrepancy between the youngest IRSL age from the colluvial wedges, of 3500 years, and the results from scarp degradation modeling that suggested that the graben scarps are younger than 2000 years (Enzel et al., 1996).

The development of quartz single grain measurements (Duller et al., 1999) and the promise of measurements of small aliquots (Olley et al., 1998) prompted re-analyzing the samples from trench T-18 to see whether the impact of incomplete bleaching could be assessed, and accurate ages obtained.

3. New measurements

Introduction

Quartz from the T-18 samples was extracted from the fraction remaining after heavy liquid separation previously used to isolate the KF. Heavy minerals and any remaining insoluble carbonates were removed by magnetic separation (Porat, 2006) and the non-magnetic fraction etched with 40% HF. Luminescence measurements were carried out on Risø DA-12 TL/OSL readers either at the Geological Survey of Israel (GSI) or at the luminescence research laboratory at the University of Wales, Aberystwyth (UWA). Table 1 gives the field and laboratory dosimetry data for the samples.

3.1. Single aliquot regenerative dose (SAR) measurements of small aliquots of KF

The IRSL measurements presented in Amit et al. (2002) were made using standard aliquots which contain approximately 1000–2000 mineral grains. These had revealed some significant scatter in the De values obtained from replicate aliquots of certain samples (Fig. 3a). To investigate this scatter further, two samples were selected, one from the heel (18-10) and one from the toe (18-6) of the third colluvial wedge from the top, and 24 small aliquots were measured, each aliquot containing 150–200 grains. Measurements were at the GSI, and the SAR protocol was followed Wallinga et al. (2000). Preheats of 10 s ranged between 230 and 290 1C and a cut heat of 5 s at 210 1C was used after giving the test dose. The IRSL signal was measured at 50 1C and to reduce buildup of signal background, at the end of each measurement cycle the discs were bleached by IR for 100 s at 280 1C to background level.

An example of the IRSL signal and dose–response curve for an aliquot of sample 18-6 is shown in Fig. 4a and b. These small aliquot KF measurements have a recycling ratio within 10% of unity, indicating that any sensitivity change was being corrected for, and although there is large scatter in the De values, there is no trend in De as a function of preheat temperature (Fig. 4c). For both samples, a wide scatter in De values was observed, with a skewed distribution towards smaller De values (Fig. 3c). This pattern is what would be expected from a sediment that had not been completely bleached at deposition, and consisted of a mixture of bleached and unbleached grains (Porat et al., 1997, 2001; Olley et al., 1998; Prescott et al., 2007).

3.2. Bleaching experiments

In this sedimentary environment, where exposure to daylight may be too short for resetting the IRSL or OSL signals, it is important to identify the most light-sensitive signal. Bleaching experiments were carried out to determine how fast the IRSL signal from KF and the OSL signal from quartz are bleached by sunlight. Ten aliquots each of KF and quartz from two samples were placed in direct sunlight for periods ranging from 2 s to 10 min. IRSL was measured at 50 1C and OSL at 125 1C. Normalization was performed by measuring the natural IRSL and OSL signals for 0.1 and 0.2 s, respectively, prior to bleaching. After bleaching the KF IRSL signal was measured for 5 s, the discs were then preheated for 10 s at 280 1C and the remaining IRSL measured to its full depletion. Quartz OSL signal was measured for 3 s, the discs then preheated for 10 s at 260 1C and the remaining OSL signal measured for a further 130 s.

The results of the bleaching experiments (Fig. 5) show that the IRSL signal of KF bleaches at a slower rate than the OSL signal of quartz; the time required for the IRSL and OSL signals to decay to 10% of their original intensity is 50–80 s and 2–3 s, respectively. The signal measured after preheat was bleached at roughly the same rate as the non-preheated signal. During the short sediment transport along the fault scarp and into the colluvial wedge, quartz would be better bleached than the KF, and therefore further work focused on measurements of quartz.

3.3. Single aliquot regenerative dose (SAR) measurements of quartz

The samples from the colluvial wedges and three samples from the alluvial terraces were measured using the SAR protocol (Murray and Wintle, 2000). About 5 mg of the purified quartz was deposited on 10 mm diameter aluminum discs using silicone spray as an adhesive. Measurements were carried out either at the GSI using a green-filtered halogen bulb for stimulation or at UWA using blue LED for stimulation, and signal detection was through 7 mm U-340 filters. De values were determined on 12–24 aliquots, preheat temperatures ranged between 180 and 280 1C and the OSL signal was measured at 125 1C. Test dose was ca. 5 Gy and a cut heat of 5 s at 160 1C was used to remove unstable signals. Fig. 4d and e show a typical OSL shine down curve and growth curve for one aliquot. Recycling ratios were within 10% of unity, indicating that any sensitivity change was being appropriately corrected for, and all aliquots had an IR OSL depletion ratio (Duller, 2003) within 10% of unity, suggesting that the signal was dominated by quartz. Laboratory given doses could be recovered within 90–95%.

Given the wide scatter observed in the KF small aliquot data, it is not surprising that there was scatter in the De values observed from individual aliquots of a sample (e.g. Fig. 3b). Fig. 4f shows the variation in De as a function of preheat temperature, and in spite of the variability between aliquots, there is no trend with preheat. Thus, the luminescence behavior of the quartz appears to be satisfactory, and the variability in the De is thought to derive from incomplete bleaching. To investigate this further required analysis of single grains.

3.4. Single grain measurements of quartz

Single grains from nine samples, six from the colluvial wedges and three from the terraces, were measured. De values were measured for 400–700 grains from each sample at the UWA on a DA-15 Single Grain Risø reader (Duller et al., 1999). The SAR protocol was used to measure the De, with measurement conditions following those of Jacobs et al. (2003). To reduce recuperation and buildup of signal background, at the end of each measurement cycle the samples were heated to 280 1C and the OSL signals were measured at this elevated temperature for 100 s to background level (Murray and Wintle, 2003). Only grains with monotonically growing dose–response curves, recycling ratios within 30% of unity, an IR OSL depletion ratio within 30% of unity (Duller, 2003) and errors on the De of less than 30% were selected. Ages were calculated using the minimum age model of Galbraith et al. (1999), as it is most appropriate for insufficiently bleached sediments (Bailey and Arnold, 2006).

4. Results

All the De distributions, regardless of sample, mineral or measurement protocol, are skewed, with a substantial tail of older De values (Fig. 3), indicating incomplete bleaching at the time of deposition (Clarke, 1996; Wallinga, 2002). Most samples also have a distinct population of low De values, showing that these samples do contain wellbleached grains. The ages calculated from all the measured De values are given in Table 2. The youngest ages, calculated from the lowest aliquot measured for each sample by the different protocols, are also given.

When comparing the previously published SAAD ages for KF (Amit et al., 2002) with the new KF SAR small aliquots (Table 2), it is clear that the small aliquots better isolate the population of young De values, but also reveal the enormity of the intra-sample scatter (Fig. 3c). The youngest age calculated from the lowest small aliquot KF measurement is substantially younger than the youngest SAAD age (Table 2), showing once again that conventional measurements of single aliquots containing thousands of grains do not deal well with poorly bleached sediments and cannot properly isolate the well-bleached grain population (e.g. Rodnight et al., 2005).

The quartz SAR measurements have scatter larger than the KF SAAD measurements (Table 2). When compared to KF, fewer quartz grains have luminescence signals, and the grain population sampled on each aliquot is less homogenous, thus the influence of old grains with strong signals is increases. When compared sample by sample, the KF ages are generally older than the quartz ages, particularly when comparing the youngest calculated ages (Table 2 and Fig. 6). This may relate to the slower rate of bleaching observed for the IRSL signal from feldspars compared with the OSL signal from quartz (Fig. 5).

Of the hundreds of quartz single grain measurements for each sample, only a small percentage of grains yielded adequate De values (Table 2 and Fig. 7). As has been shown before (e.g. Jacobs et al., 2003; Duller, 2006; Olley et al., 2006), many grains do not have a natural signal or their natural signal cannot be regenerated by laboratory irradiation. Some grains have poor recycling ratios and some contain a substantial IRSL signal, suggesting that the grain is either feldspar or the quartz contains feldspar inclusions. Many of the grains have very weak natural signals, introducing large errors on the De values. Even when using the lenient selection conditions, only 5–10% of the measured grains could be used. Overall, all samples show very large variations in single grain De values, however all contain a population of young De, clearly evident in the probability density functions (Fig. 7). The samples from the toes of the colluvial wedge (e.g. Fig. 7c) show much smaller scatter than those collected close to the fault plane (e.g. Fig. 7b), which nonetheless contain a distinct population of bleached grains.

The resulting single grain ages, calculated using Galbraith et al. (1999) minimum age model, range between 500 and 1300 years (Table 2). The ages have large errors and are not strictly in stratigraphic order (Fig. 8). The single grain ages are all substantially younger than the conventional SAR and SAAD ages (Table 2). Also the terraces contain young grain population, probably from the Reg soil.

5. Discussion and conclusions

The reversed age stratigraphy in the colluvial wedges close to the fault plane, first observed in the KF SAAD ages, is also seen in the quartz SAR ages. Even the quartz OSL signal was not bleached rapidly enough over the short transport distance. The dominance of unbleached grains in the wedges’ heels is such that the ages even calculated from the lowest De measurements, which contains the highest proportion of bleached grains, are still in reversed order (Table 2). The slightly longer transport to the wedges’ toes makes some difference, and the youngest ages are close to each other and cluster around 500–2500 years (Table 2).

The single grain ages, in comparison, clearly isolate the relatively few bleached grains. The ages range from 500 to 1300 years and within errors show only minor reversals (Fig. 8). Due to the small number of useful grains, the ages are not very precise or accurate, and cannot date the formation of each individual wedge. However, they do provide rough timing of the wedges’ deposition.

The reversed stratigraphy of the multiple grain ages in the heel of the wedges (Fig. 2b) results from episodic fault displacements and exposure of deeper and older beds of the alluvial fan (Fig. 9), coupled with the short transport distance and insufficient bleaching. The first displacement exposed the Reg soil profile and the 13,000-year-old alluvial fan on which it had developed (Fig. 9b). As Reg soils develop continuously (Amit et al., 1993), in all likelihood this one contained grains of mixed ages ranging from the age of the alluvial fan to those most recently deposited. When colluviation processes mobilized this sediment, it underwent partial bleaching while it was deposited in Unit V (sample 18-7 in Fig. 8; Fig. 9b). Subsequent displacement events exposed older and older beds, and when their sediment was reworked into colluvium, many grains were not exposed to sunlight and retained their previously absorbed dose, particularly those deposited close to the fault plane (Fig. 9c–d). This process resulted in a series of wedges containing large amounts of increasingly older grains up-section, giving ages in reversed stratigraphy. Age overestimation of multiple grain measurements may be as much as 12,000 years for an event that took place 1000 years ago (e.g. sample 18-11; Table 2).

While the dataset presented here is not perfect, with large errors and low stratigraphic resolution, it is far more revealing than the previous IRSL ages. Single grain measurements isolated the few grains that were fully bleached at the time of deposition, resulting in more reliable age estimates for recent faulting events. Bearing in mind that the wedges were deposited after the formation of the fault scarp, the new dataset indicates that the most recent series of faulting took place a short time before 500–1300 years ago. This chronological framework agrees with the geomorphic age of the fault scarp that was modeled to be less than 2000 years.

It also agrees with historical documents; only two large earthquakes are reported to have severely damaged the southern Arava during the last 1500 years (Zilberman et al., 2005). The first was a devastating earthquake which occurred in AD 1068 and completely destroyed the nearby city of Aila, and was felt all the way to Baghdad (Zilberman et al., 2005). The second earthquake, which occurred in AD 1212, was weaker and was felt mainly in Aila (Guidoboni and Comastri, 2005). The colluvial wedges dated in this study could have formed as a result of a surface rupture caused by one or both of these earthquakes.

The sedimentary process involved in the formation of fault-related colluvial wedges implies that it is imperative to collect samples from as far from the fault plane as possible. In northern mid- and high latitudes, wherever possible, samples should be collected preferably from south-facing fault scarps, which receive more sunlight, to increase the potential of solar resetting at the time of colluviation. Conventional measurements of large aliquots are not suitable for such sediments and only single grain or very small aliquot measurements are able to detect young grain populations and properly date the earthquakes.

Event 7 in Trench T-6 - 13000-3000 BCE (8000 ± 5000 years BCE)

Discussion

Discussion

Event 3 in Trench T-10 - 13000-3000 BCE (8000 ± 5000 years BCE)

Discussion

Discussion

Event 2 in Trench T-18 - 8000-4000 BCE (6000 ± 2000 years BCE)

Discussion

Discussion

Event 1 in Trench T-15 - 8000-4000 BCE (6000 ± 2000 years BCE)

Discussion

Discussion

Event 1 in Trench T-20 - 5800-4400 BCE (5100 ± 700 years BCE)

Discussion

Discussion

Event 3 in Trench T-18 - 7000-3000 BCE (5000 ± 2000 years BCE)

Discussion

Discussion

Event 3 in Trench T-17 - 5000-1000 BCE (3000 ± 2000 years BCE)

Discussion

Discussion

Event 4 in Trench T-10 - 4500-1500 BCE (3000 ± 1500 years BCE)

Discussion

Discussion

Event 4 (two events) in Trench T-18 - 2700-2300 BCE (2500 ± 200 years BCE)

Discussion

Discussion

Event 1 in Trench T-19 - 2900-1300 BCE (2100 ± 800 years BCE) or possibly close to 1000 CE

Discussion

Discussion

Event 2 in Trench T-20 - 2000-1400 BCE (1700 ± 300 years BCE)

Discussion

Discussion

Event 5 in Trench T-18 - 1500 BCE - 500 CE (500 BCE ± 1000 years)

Discussion

Discussion

Event 6 in Trench T-18 - 1000 BCE - 1000 CE (0 CE ± 1000 years)

Discussion

Discussion

Event 7 in Trench T-18 - 700-1500 CE and before Events 8 and 9

Discussion

Discussion

Event 3 in Trench T-20 - 800-1000 CE (900 ± 100 years CE)

Discussion

Discussion

Event 8 in Trench T-18 - 700-1500 CE - after Event 7 and before Event 9

Discussion

Discussion

Event 9 in Trench T-18 - 700-1500 CE and after Event 8

Discussion

Discussion

Master Seismic Events Table
Master Seismic Events Table

Calculator
Calculator - Magnitude from Normal Fault Displacement

Source - Wells and Coppersmith (1994)

Amit et al (2002) suggested using maximum displacement to estimate Magnitude.

Variable Input Units Notes
cm.
cm.
Variable Output - not considering a Site Effect Units Notes
unitless Moment Magnitude for Avg. Displacement
unitless Moment Magnitude for Max. Displacement
  

References
References